Alvin Lang
Dec 22, 2025 11:24
AAVE price prediction shows potential rebound to $168-$240 if critical $162 support holds, though bearish momentum suggests caution for traders.
AAVE Price Prediction: Critical Support Battle Could Determine Next Major Move
Aave (AAVE) is currently trading at a pivotal juncture, with the token down 10.90% in the last 24 hours to $159.05. This AAVE price prediction analysis examines whether the DeFi protocol’s native token can mount a recovery from oversold conditions or if further downside awaits.
AAVE Price Prediction Summary
• AAVE short-term target (1 week): $168-$175 (+5.7% to +10%) if $162 support holds
• Aave medium-term forecast (1 month): $165-$240 range, heavily dependent on market conditions
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $178.60 (EMA 12)
• Critical support if bearish: $147.13 (strong support level)
Recent Aave Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest Aave forecast from multiple sources presents a mixed but predominantly cautious outlook. CoinDataFlow’s AAVE price prediction of $168.58 aligns closely with technical resistance levels, while their analysis notes that 32 out of 34 technical indicators are showing bearish signals.
MidForex projects a more conservative $165.15 AAVE price target, suggesting a trading range between $162.67 and $167.62. This range-bound prediction acknowledges the current volatility while maintaining a relatively neutral stance.
The most optimistic Aave forecast comes from MEXC News, projecting a $240 target – representing a 50% upside from current levels. However, this bullish scenario is contingent on the critical $162 support level holding firm.
Investing.com’s technical analysis presents the most bearish perspective, with moving averages and technical indicators generating a “Strong Sell” signal, though no specific price target was provided.
AAVE Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Potential Reversal
The current Aave technical analysis reveals a token in oversold territory but facing significant headwinds. The RSI reading of 36.21 suggests AAVE is approaching oversold conditions without quite reaching them, providing some potential for a bounce.
The MACD histogram at -2.9884 confirms bearish momentum remains strong, with the MACD line (-5.3055) well below the signal line (-2.3170). This divergence indicates that selling pressure continues to dominate.
AAVE’s position relative to its Bollinger Bands is particularly telling. At -0.1235, the token is trading below the lower band ($164.55), suggesting it’s oversold and potentially due for a technical bounce toward the middle band at $186.81.
Volume analysis shows $44 million in 24-hour trading on Binance, indicating moderate interest but not the surge typically seen during major reversals.
Aave Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for AAVE
In the optimistic scenario, AAVE could target $168-$175 initially, representing the confluence of the EMA 12 ($178.60) and previous support levels. A break above $178.60 would signal the first sign of trend change and could open the door to $207.16 (immediate resistance).
The most aggressive AAVE price target of $240 would require a complete reversal of current bearish sentiment and a break above multiple resistance levels. This scenario assumes broader DeFi sector recovery and successful defense of the $162 support level.
Key technical requirements for the bullish case include:
– RSI breaking above 50 to confirm momentum shift
– MACD histogram turning positive
– Volume surge above $60 million daily average
Bearish Risk for Aave
If the $162 support fails, the next major level sits at $156.20 (24-hour low), followed by the strong support at $147.13. A break below $147 could trigger a test of the 52-week low at $133.98.
The bearish scenario gains credibility from the fact that AAVE is trading below all major moving averages, with the 200-day SMA at $257.41 representing a significant overhead resistance.
Should You Buy AAVE Now? Entry Strategy
For traders asking “buy or sell AAVE,” the current setup suggests a cautious approach. Conservative buyers might consider scaling into positions between $156-$162, with strict stop-losses below $147.
A more aggressive strategy would wait for confirmation above $168 before entering, targeting the $175-$180 resistance zone for partial profit-taking.
Risk management is crucial given the 55% distance from 52-week highs. Position sizing should reflect the high volatility, with the ATR of $14.13 suggesting potential daily moves of 8-9%.
AAVE Price Prediction Conclusion
This AAVE price prediction favors a cautious bullish bias in the short term, with a target range of $168-$175 over the next week if support holds. The medium-term Aave forecast remains uncertain, heavily dependent on whether DeFi tokens can regain broader market favor.
Confidence level: Medium – The technical setup suggests oversold conditions that could support a bounce, but the overwhelming bearish momentum requires careful risk management.
Key indicators to monitor for confirmation include RSI breaking above 40, MACD histogram turning less negative, and daily volume exceeding $50 million. Failure to hold $156 would invalidate the bullish thesis and suggest further downside toward $147-$133 levels.
The prediction timeline spans 1-4 weeks for initial targets, with the broader $165-$240 range playing out over 1-3 months depending on overall crypto market conditions.
Image source: Shutterstock
