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BAC Strategists Say Bitcoin’s Shifting Correlations May Indicate That It Is Regaining Popularity

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The current shift in the position of Bitcoin in relation to other digital assets has made it possible for the Bank of America Corp (BoA) to believe it is becoming a safe space in the blockchain industry yet again after experiencing a downfall over the past months.

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BoA digital strategists Alkesh Shah and Andrew Moss observed that bitcoin and gold now have a 40-day correlation of about 0.50, up from a correlation of nearly zero in mid-August. Despite being higher, at 0.69 and 0.72 respectively, the correlations between the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 have leveled out and are now below previous highs. They further hinted that this could be a good sign that bitcoin may soon accelerate.

 

The analysts further stated that “as economic uncertainty persists and a market bottom yet to be seen, investors may consider Bitcoin as a relatively safe haven due to a decelerating positive correlation with SPX/QQQ and a quickly rising correlation with XAU.”

 

More Solutions for Bitcoin

 

There were recent rumors of multiple takeover negotiations at Bitcoin Group. Several potential companies that are involved in deposit-taking or credit institutions from Germany were rumored to have indicated interest to take over the company.

 

Bitcoin Group is a blockchain venture capitalist firm that is based in Germany. The company’s main areas of interest include the acquisition, disposition, and management of investments in diverse businesses. Additionally, they acquire these businesses’ strategic management, control, and coordination.

 

Some stakeholders in the blockchain industries have highlighted measures to be taken, including these acquisitions, for bitcoin to become successful again.

 

Even though Bitcoin had a difficult third quarter, it still managed to beat traditional assets like gold, oil, and other commodities, with the exception of the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the dollar relative to other major currencies according to a report from CoinGecko

 

Market analyst Ali Martinez stated that bitcoin should maintain a price above $19,200 to reduce selling pressure because this is a crucial milestone.

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Crowd Sentiment towards Crypto Turns Bearish as Inflation Data Looms

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The crypto market has not yet been able to find the right footing based on tightened macroeconomic factors and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

As a result, crowd sentiment toward cryptocurrencies has turned negative. Market insight provider Santiment explained:

“With Bitcoin, Ethereum, and most altcoins ticking down slightly Monday, the crowd’s bearish outlook continues to be evident. Green bars indicate more FUD than usual toward an asset, and red bars indicate more FOMO.”

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Source: Santiment

Based on Santiment’s data, fear, uncertainty & doubt (FUD) continue to rock the crypto market, prompting a bearish outlook. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum were down by 1.89% and 2.95% to hit $19,067 and $1,278, respectively, during intraday trading, according to CoinMarketCap. 

This trend is being witnessed ahead of the release of the U.S. inflation data scheduled for October 13. 

Riyad Carey, a research analyst at Kaiko, pointed out:

“There seems to be some jitters and derisking across all markets as we approach Thursday’s CPI release.” 

Carey added:

“Bitcoin is moving closely with equities and I’d expect that to continue as there haven’t been many crypto-specific catalysts in recent weeks. I also expect significant volatility on Thursday, with a move up or down depending on the inflation figure.”

The Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to unveil the consumer price index (CPI) for September, with some economists expecting a 0.3% monthly increase and the annual gain to jump to 8.1%.

The federal reserve (Fed) has been on a roller coaster ride of increasing interest rates to tame runaway inflation, but this has been detrimental to the crypto market.

This trend has prompted concern from various players. For instance, James Butterfill, the head of research at CoinShares, stated:

“We believe there is a building narrative that central banks are beginning to make policy errors. Several of our clients have made the point that they don’t want to buy Bitcoin right now, but as soon as the Fed pivots, they will add to positions.”

The UNCTAD recently pointed out that the Fed should ease interest rate hikes because this could trigger a global recession, Blockchain.News reported. 

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Interview with Noble Gold Investments CEO: Gold as Hedge Tool against Inflation?

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Zimbabwe’s Central Bank launched gold coins in July as part of efforts to help curb surging inflation amid a slump in the country’s currency. The move sparked interest in whether gold could serve as a safe haven investment during a market crisis.

Based on Zimbabwe’s development, Blockchain.News recently had a conversation with Collin Plume, the President and CEO of Noble Gold Investments, regarding whether gold could be a safe haven investment that investors should rely on during turmoil times.

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The global pandemic raging for over two years has created unemployment, supply chain problems, and more that disrupted economic growth. With the rise of inflation, the US dollar has lost its value and purchasing power. But on the other hand, gold has increased its purchasing power because its value tends to rise with the price of goods.

In light of pandemic worries, rising debts, market downturns, business failures, and mounting inflation realities in regard to economic policies coming out of central banks and other regulators, investors have appeared to rush to invest in gold to secure their financial positions.

Meanwhile, several crypto companies are facing bankruptcy, while many tech firms (such as Klarna, ClickUp, Lacework, Bolt, PayPal, among others) recently announced massive layoffs of employees. But questions remain about how investors can protect themselves from the risks of the ongoing financial crisis.

In the current times of financial instability and turmoil, investors seek opportunities to protect their assets and values.

Inflation Hedge

Asked whether gold is a good investment, Plume said YES. While this can be demonstrated by Zimbabwe’s recent gold adoption, generally, gold is viewed as the ideal hedge against inflation. This is because fiat currency loses its purchasing power when things become more expensive, but gold tends to be priced in those currency units.

Plume explained: “Although the gold market can’t do anything about economic inflation on a macro level, it’s easily the best hedge against inflation for an individual’s investment portfolio”.

Nowadasy, gold’s uses and the demand for physical gold have increased. According to Plume, “Gold’s industrial uses are steadily growing (gold is used in electronics, cars, biotechnology, and even on Mars) while its global supply is quickly shrinking, so its value is guaranteed to go up over time.”

Geopolitical and Economic Instability

Gold also provides investors with a safe haven during economic and political instability. The precious metal has often taken the role of an inflation hedge and a portfolio stabilizer during turbulent financial markets.

The gold market rose above the $2,000 an ounce level in March for the first time since August 2020, in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in late February. Geopolitical uncertainty has increased the attractiveness of the precious metal for investors seeking a safe haven for their funds.

Prices have since retreated, declining by around 6% year-to-date, and have struggled to regain ground above the $1,800 an ounce level where it started the year. 

This year, gold is getting investors’ attention following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Sanctions against Russia have already taken the commodities market for a wild ride, fueling concerns of stagflation — a combination of high inflation and slow economic growth — both of which is positive for gold.

In July, Zimbabwe’s central bank started selling gold coins to the public to help protect people’s savings against the country’s runaway inflation and offer an alternative to the widely used US dollar.

Zimbabwe still remembers the country’s economic collapse under the late Robert Mugabe, who ruled for nearly four decades.

Hyperinflation forced the nation to abandon the Zimbabwe dollar in 2009, and it opted instead to use foreign currencies, mainly the US dollar. During the worst of the crisis, the government stopped publishing official inflation figures, but current statistics put the inflation rate at 89.7%.

Gold Tokenization 

Despite physical assets like gold, silver, among others, having weathered countless financial storms throughout history, Gold might still need alternative trading platforms to help democratize access to gold using modern technology through tokenization.

Investment in physical gold has many advantages, but it has a few drawbacks. The main challenges that investors face in the investment of physical gold are issues associated with accessibility, storage, security and ability to resell on a regulated market.

While Gold is considered a safe bet, buying it is often a challenge for retail investors. For example, an average person will need to pay the costs associated with gold acquisition, trust an intermediary, and have a storage solution. 

In recent years, the excitement surrounding cryptocurrency has been attracting precious metal buyers away from their traditional investments as they dipped their toes into the crypto pool. But with the recent digital asset market crash, that seems to be changing. Many investors are returning to gold to tame the prevailing financial winds in the crypto markets.

Yet, cryptocurrency like Bitcoin is in a tough year because of the recent market crash. Major Cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, and Ethereum, have plummeted, triggered by inflation and Fed’s interest rate hikes.

For the long term, blockchain technology is increasingly being used to address all these constraints in today’s internet era. Blockchain enables the tokenization of gold and other commodities. The technology allows users to invest in digital gold, therefore helping to resolve various issues tied to physical gold ownership.

Gold as Key Portfolio of Investment 

Gold’s performance moves independently and has low correlation with other assets such as stocks, real estate, commodities, bonds. The precious metal may therefore help serve as a return diversifier within a broader multi-asset portfolio.

Therefore, based on the above analysis, gold is a good investment that investors can use to hedge and diversify their portfolios. However, according to Plume: “Some people believe gold is just for older investors, or they don’t understand the use for it. Many bullish investors focus on the hottest, newest assets, and while gold may not offer the same spikes in value as Tesla or crypto, it also doesn’t bring the same risk of loss as they do.”

Investors are advised to hold around 5-10% of their portfolio’s value in a form of gold, whether physical bars and coins, or digital coins, or instruments such as gold ETFs (exchange-traded funds), to diversify their holdings and potentially hedge against crashes in the value of cryptocurrency, stocks, and bonds.

Gold aligns perfectly with the investment mantra of “not putting all your eggs in one basket” — providing a safety net against events that may plummet the value of popular investments like cryptocurrency and stocks.

“Like any good financial advisor, we highly recommend using gold to diversify your portfolio. Gold is a low-risk, easy-to-access wealth-building tool that can balance out the volatility of other investments like tech stocks or cryptocurrency. It yields the best return when held over a longer period of time, but many younger investors just don’t know about it yet!”, said Plume.

Image source: Noble Gold Investments

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Crypto Talk with OliveX’s CEO Rumjahn: Move-To-Earn Fitness App & DOSE Token

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Working out has become a trending conversation on social network platforms. Exercise, especially indoor-style, is influencing lifestyle amid a wide range of COVID-19 lockdowns globally. 

Blockchain.News spoke to Keith Rumjahn, CEO of OliveX and Founder of DOSE token, to explore the potential development of a move-to-earn business model and how cryptocurrency shapes the virtual fitness and sports industry.

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Riding a bicycle is more than just a fun physical activity nowadays as the connection between fitness facilities and personal mobile devices is about to introduce users to a new chapter in the virtual world.

Move-to-earn: Dustland Rider

OliveX, a Hong Kong-based fitness startup company founded by CEO Keith Rumjahn in 2017, demonstrated their latest upcoming product, Dustland Rider, in a recent press event in Hong Kong. It provided an alternative way to encourage the public to get into the crypto space by simply riding a bicycle. 

By completing specific missions by linking users’ mobile devices, a so-called move-to-earn (M2E) approach and it’s application mechanism so that users can enjoy their fitness achievements in exchange for earning token rewards.

Specifically, the digital health platform designed a series of scenarios with immersive stories and missions for users to experience in the Metaverse while exercising. Users would need to tackle some challenges in this virtual game to win points or tokens; for example, users might be rewarded a unique golden yellow sports suit if they complete riding 100km in the game.

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Tokens would be able to purchase additional equipment or upgrades to characters in the game or be traded on the secondary market.

The company said their Dustland Rider would go live soon, expecting to roll out by the end of September or October of this year.

OliveX is a gamified fitness ecosystem to enhance the workout experience through game design techniques and play-to-earn mechanisms, according to its whitepaper.

Prior to launching the Dustland Rider, the company rolled out another similar move-to-earn audio fitness application to the market in 2021, called Dustland Runner, a survival theme-based fitness game. 

The official whitepaper reads that Dustalnd Runner is the first proof of workout audio game, allowing players to earn some native token or even gain Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) or other monetary incentives through physical running in daily life. In addition, its NFT, named Kettlemine, can be minted on the Polygon chain, followed by earning more DOSE tokens by burning Kettlemine NFT.

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CEO of OliveX and Founder of DOSE Token Keith Rumjahn Rumjahn

In an exclusive interview with Blockchain.News, Keith Rumjahn, CEO of OliveX shared his journey of running a startup business.

“One of the reasons I founded this company is that I realised some data apps could sell out our exercise data to other commercial companies. As a user, however, we lost our ownership of data ourselves, not aware of (our data) being sold, and even we do not get any benefits or cashback from it,” said Keith Rumjahn. 

OliveX’s Rumjahn disclosed that some well-known data-driven service platforms would purchase or utilise these users’ movement data to enhance the purpose of their sale, such as deploying more rental vehicles to a specific area where more people exercise.

On the other hand, the higher traffic acquisition costs for tech giant platforms such as Google or Apple dominating the market is another reason why Keith Rumjahn intends to establish a decentralised platform by himself.

When asked how to differentiate and make the brand more unique to maintain its advantages among competitors, Keith Rumjahn said understanding the gaming lifecycle and the rate of retention among users are critical to designing gaming products, as users typically intend to look for more stylish or trending products within a short period, said Keith Rumjahn; bringing innovation and a fresh product idea would be key elements for OliveX to differentiate their products among competitors.

The sense of business and industry knowledge helped Keith Rumjahn to equip a sensitive awareness to meet customers’ needs. The Canadian Chinese basketball coach and software developer said users normally enjoy the diversity of sports, as some of them would participate in multiple sports within a period of time. The company would develop more types of sports, including Boxing or Yoga, to expand the “portfolio of game, so that users might have more options to choose their own favourite sports.” 

Nevertheless, the 37-year-old executive said he hopes the public to build up a regular exercise habit in the long term, “I hope the public would be able to build a healthy lifestyle and regular exercise habit, no matter whether playing our game or not in the future,” which is much more important objectives to him personally while leading the company to keep being competitive among competitors.

The company was acquired by Animoca Brands in 2017 and is a spin-off of the parent company. Over 27% of its shares are owned by the leading gamification platform. 

Initially, the former fitness app developer was running a business of establishing smart mirrors. This interactive device can track body movement for analysing body figures with fitness centres before entering the crypto world.

Yet, the pandemic of COVID-19 crushed many fitness centre operations, resulting in massive downsizing or even termination of those fitness centres, forcing OliveX to transform itself again.

Meanwhile, the Hong Kong-based company later discovered the potential development in the crypto space and declared to list on the National Stock Exchange of Australia (NSX: OLX) in Australia in 2020 and launched its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

The Australian-listed company has been raising over $2.6 million between 2017 and 2018 over the last three rounds, according to Fobes.

Furthermore, the company realises the potential business development in the crypto and virtual economy. Senior management decided to expand their footprints in the virtual space.

DOSE Token

Gamification could be an easier way to convince sports lovers who do not become familiar with cryptocurrency to get into virtual sports in the Metaverse. A recent survey by ChianPlay suggests that 75% of investors join the crypto space because of GameFi.

Unlike other traditional or developed fitness applications in the market, OliveX launched its native token called DOSE for its M2E in 2021, which can be traded on at least three major crypto exchange platforms, including OKex and Gate.io and KuCoin. 

Keith Rumjahn said their launching of Initial Coin Offering (ICO) is even earlier than their main competitors, including STPEN, Solana-based move-to-earn apps.

DOSE is the major trading medium within its ecosystem, allowing users and investors to unlock items, purchase NFT or join special events and game modes, according to its whitepaper.

In introducing why OliveX listed their own native token-DOSE, rather than adopting other mainstream or benchmark tokens, Keith Rumjahn Rumjahn said DOSE as an Ethereum-based token, “we wish to build our own specific token in terms of fitness,” adding that “adopting those mainstream or benchmark tokens might be hard to maintain its balance of internal economy (of the game)”

 “Many games (developers) would generate their own tokens to each different game but might not be connective to each other. DOSE token would connect all the products instead, including Dustland Runner and Dustland Rider,”

Subject to the character of the volatility among tokens in the crypto market, Keith Rumjahn further explained that that would be more difficult to peg with their products if they adopted other tokens. A consistent token would be necessary to maintain the stability of the product price and their “in-game economy.”

Keith Rumjahn believes the external and floating price of its token in the market would not undermine the company’s performance, adding that he would not set any targeting price for DOSE as the milestone for the long-term achievements.

DOSE reached its all-time high at $0.4051 on Nov 3 in 2021. As per the time of writing, DOSE was trading at $0.01097, according to data platform provided by CoinMarketCap, with a market cap of over $3,703,000, per the current circulating supply of DOSE of about 337.6 million. Its maximum supply would be reached 5 billion DOSE coins.

OliveX’s token offers different kinds of trading services, including staking and swapping with other token trading pairs.

Subject to recent crypto winter influenced by the collapse of LUNA and UST, most of the leading benchmark tokens sank from their all-time-high, 

Regarding risk management, Keith Rumjahn said the company has the expertise teams in managing risk and the tools of treasury governance for financial operations, whether in the stock market or the crypto market. The company is confident in avoiding liquidity risks from the crypto market, backed by Animoca Brand’s liquidity pool, especially to strengthen its liquidity when necessary. 

As a result, the fitness-based company could concentrate its resources on game development, “Our capital is mainly used for operating the game, rather than putting them for investment-purposed,” added Keith Rumjahn.

Building a virtual fitness centre in Metaverse

The fitness-based company also shows its ambition by entering into the Metaverse. OliveX enjoys a 12X 12 land plot on the Sandbox, where the company is establishing a virtual entertainment and even virtual Sales space, according to the official whitepaper.

By introducing strategic partners, including Stages Cycling, TRIB3, and TRAX, the company aims to bring digital fitness experience and NFT collectables to the Metaverse community. 

Through partnerships with some local fitness brands, the company believes that would be an effective way to attract sports lovers to join the Metaverse, who are outsiders to this industry.

OliveX intends to overseas market in the long-term, including Japan and South Korea, by recruiting local operation teams for community management.

Outlook towards virtual industry development in HK

Developing blockchain-based startups in Hong Kong is challenging in terms of legal and regulatory challenges. Keith Rumjahn suggests local regulators should optimise policies, allowing more open-mind and crypto-friendly regulations in the city.

In terms of investment, that would be great to allow companies to invest in crypto-related industries or startup companies in terms of licensing so that more capital from the top-end might penetrate to the bottom-end side of the business. 

Image source: OliveX

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ETH Merge Will Propel Narrative of Cryptos Being Eco-Friendly: Head of Sales at Moneycorp

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As the Ethereum (ETH) merge slated for September 15 is a stone’s throw away, Blockchain.News conducted an exclusive interview with Anil Sawrup, the head of sales at Moneycorp Americas, to get more insights about what this much-anticipated event has to offer. 

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Despite the merge being the talk of the town, it has been elusive for quite some time because it was launched in December 2020 as Ethereum 2.0 or the beacon chain, and it sought to transition the current proof-of-work (PoW) framework to a proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism.

 

Nevertheless, various indicators show that September 15 is the most probable date for the merger. For instance, Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum’s co-founder, recently hinted that this date was the day to watch.

 

Speaking in an exclusive interview, Sawrup told Blockchain.News that since the ETH merge was in sight, it would undoubtedly change various narratives about the crypto space. He noted:

“I believe the merge will increase the scenario around crypto being environmentally friendly. Obviously, reducing emission costs and changing the whole blockchain theory.”

Since the PoW framework necessitates solving a cryptographic puzzle, it is energy-intensive, which pollutes the environment.

 

Once Ethereum shifts to a PoS consensus mechanism, validators will replace miners in the confirmation of blocks because they will use the staked Ether. As a result, prompting a more cost-efficient and environmentally friendly approach. 

 

On the other hand, Sawrup stated that Bitcoin and Ethereum had emerged as notable equity market indicators. Therefore, this trend was likely to continue with the advent of the merger. He noted:

“Since everybody is looking forward to the merge based on the crypto winter, what we are finding more so Bitcoin and Ethereum are becoming the leading indicators of the equity market, which is very interesting.”

Is Ethereum’s deflationary aspect valid with the merge?

The burning mechanism introduced in the ETH ecosystem has played an instrumental role in slashing supply. Therefore, the merge is expected to continue cutting supply, leading to the notion that it will make Ethereum a deflationary asset.  

 

“Everything that we are seeing and reading shows it will become deflationary with the cost coming down,” Sawrup told Blockchain.News in an interview.

 

A recent report by American multinational investment bank Citigroup Inc. or Citi pointed out that the merger would slash the overall Ether issuance by 4.2% annually, making it a deflationary and yield-bearing asset. Therefore, shifting to a PoS consensus mechanism would enhance Ethereum’s quest to become a store of value. 

 

LuckyHash, a crypto service provider, had previously shared similar sentiments by noting that the merge would prompt a 1% annual deflation rate, Blockchain.News reported. 

 

Therefore, based on slashed supply, Sawrup hinted in the interview that Ethereum’s price was likely to continue increasing in the long term and said:

“If you reduce the supply, the price is expected to increase based on market forces.”

The merge is anticipated to happen in two phases. The consensus layer upgrade, Bellatrix will prompt the merge awareness on the Beacon Chain or Ethereum 2.0 and is expected to happen around September 6.

 

On the other hand, Paris is the execution layer that will trigger the transition from a proof-of-work (PoW) to a proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism. It is slated for September 15.

 

Bridging the gap between the crypto and FX markets 

As a leading payments fintech, Moneycorp recently launched a forex exchange (FX) liquidity management solution for crypto exchanges. 

 

The FX liquidity solution is powered by APIs and is meant to bridge the gap between the foreign exchange and crypto markets by eliminating some of the high rates accrued. 

 

During an interview with Blockchain.News, Sawrup stated:

“Since the blockchain or crypto is still considered a higher risk space, what we are finding is most of the exchanges or assets still need the fiat portion of moving money around the world even from a treasury. We come through our API channel, the FX liquidity, which helps bridge the gap between the foreign exchange and crypto markets because the fiat service is still needed.”

The FX liquidity solution is also meant to help financial institutions develop appropriate pricing mechanisms. Sawrup added:

“The current tier 3 and tier 4 financial institutions don’t have the pricing or the network to make sure that they are priced appropriately.”

Despite the crypto winter being experienced, Sawrup believes the dust will settle probably from next year because the market is currently correcting. He said:

“Volumes are down, but I think it’s a correction point. As we continue going through this high-interest rate environment and derisking, I think what we will see is things start settling down probably next year. We will see trade volumes start to come back into the crypto space from a retail perspective.”

Since the merge is around the corner, it remains to be seen how things play out in the ETH network, given that crypto exchange OKX recently unveiled precautionary measures ahead of this event.  

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Potential Fed Tightening Driving Short Term Crypto Sentiments: Analyst

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The digital currency ecosystem has continued to experience volatility, with a declining market capitalization sweeping across the board.

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While the combined cryptocurrency market capitalization is down by 1.58% to $1.01 trillion, with Bitcoin (BTC) leading the losses.

Considering the state of the digital currency ecosystem, Morgan Stanley’s analyst, Sheena Shah, revealed in a note to clients on Monday that the nascent crypto market is still very much subjected to the Federal Reserve’s continuous quantitative tightening expectations. 

According to Shah, the fact that the stablecoin’s market capitalization has stopped falling is a very positive sign that institutional crypto deleveraging appears to have paused. 

“Stablecoin availability is a sign of liquidity within the crypto world and demand for crypto leverage. In early June, Tether (USDT), the largest stablecoin, saw its market capitalization fall 20% in about a month, causing the crypto equivalent of quantitative tightening,” Shah said in a note to clients.

Around the same time, bitcoin fell 45% and traded below $30k. This week marked the first time since April that stablecoin market capitalisation has stopped falling on a monthly basis. The market cap is still down 20% from the peak (12% excluding TerraUSD), but this may be a sign that the extreme institutional deleveraging appears to have paused for now.”

Shah also pointed out that the price of Bitcoin typically weakened in Asian trading hours in June. The Morgan Stanley analyst noted this decline to align with their observation that U.S. treasury yields were rising most during the U.S. hours, a representation of Fed tightening expectations.

“We do not think that bitcoin weakening most during U.S. hours necessarily tells us that it was U.S. investors selling bitcoin as crypto traders could trade 24 hours a day. However, it does suggest that U.S. central bank monetary policy tightening expectations have been an important driver of the crypto bear market this year,” the note reads.

The digital currency ecosystem is expected to react in a very significant swing over the next few months until both the US and the global economy remain steady.

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Fed Rate Hike Unclear, Bitcoin Falls Below $21,000

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The largest cryptocurrency, bitcoin, tumbled more than 9 percent to below $21,000, hitting a new low in late July. Bitcoin also posted its biggest one-day drop since June.

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Bitcoin fell with U.S. stock futures falling as selling emerged during European trading the next day.

At the time of writing, the benchmark cryptocurrency was trading at $21,217, according to CoinMarketCap data,

About $220 million in crypto positions were liquidated within an hour on Friday, with bitcoin accounting for about half of that, according to Coinglass data.

In the past 24 hours, nearly 170,000 positions were liquidated, and the liquidation amount was close to $600 million.

Analysts believe the sell-off was prompted by the close correlation between U.S. stocks and cryptocurrencies in recent months and disagreements within the Federal Reserve over the pace of interest rate hikes.

Germany’s producer price index for industrial goods (PPI) rose to a record 37.2% in July, compared to expectations of 32%, a report that spurred central banks to raise interest rates to curb inflation, sparking selling pressure on cryptocurrencies.

St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard backed a 3-yard rate hike at the Fed’s regular September meeting. Esther George, president of the Kansas Federal Reserve Bank, said there are still good reasons to keep raising rates.

Craig Erlam, a senior market analyst at Oanda, said the trigger for the sell-off in bitcoin is unclear, but the move is well-founded, judging by the fact that it has barely recovered to regain lost ground. He believes that the next support is at $20,000, and “the crypto winter is not over yet.”

The Bitcoin “Fear and Greed Index” is now in the fear territory at 29.

 

 According to cryptocurrency analyst Il Capo, BTC levels: Main resistances: 22500 and 23500. Every short squeeze to these levels is a good sell opportunity. Main support: $19k. This is the ultimate bearish confirmation for new lows. Main target: same as always, $16k. Very likely for the coming weeks.,” He wrote on his Twitter.

Bitcoin’s price has rebounded since hitting a low of $17,599 on June 18, but it is still down 54 percent this year.

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Enthusiasm to Sell in the Crypto Market Subsided amid Prices Stabilize

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The urge to sell in the cryptocurrency market has dwindled based on the surge of leading coins, according to on-chain insight provider Santiment.

Santiment stated:

“Crypto traders’ enthusiasm to sell has quickly subsided, especially as Bitcoin jumped back over $25k and Ethereum over $2k this weekend. Ideally, bulls will actually want FUD to stay high, as prices historically flourish when there is doubt.”

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Source: Santiment

This is a bullish sign because once selling pressure shrinks, the demand to buy kicks in and this triggers an upward push. 

Despite retracing to the $24K and $1,880 levels, Bitcoin and Ethereum were up by 0.74% and 5.88%, respectively, during intraday trading, according to CoinMarketCap.

Meanwhile, a hodling culture continues to play out in the BTC market, given that the balance on crypto exchanges hit a 4-year low. Market insight provider Glassnode stated:

“Bitcoin balance on exchanges just reached a 4-year low of 2,366,543.394 BTC Previous 4-year low of 2,368,067.658 BTC was observed on 15 August 2022.”

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Source: Glassnode

This correlates with the fact that the amount of BTC hodled or lost hit a 21-month high, Glassnode added.

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Source: Glassnode

Coins leaving exchanges illustrate a hodling trend because coins are transferred to cold storage and digital wallets for future purposes other than speculating and selling. Therefore, it is another bullish signal.

Meanwhile, the leading cryptocurrency has held the 200-week moving average (WMA) as support for three consecutive weeks. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital explained:

“Notice how the BTC $23400 level (blue) is approximately confluent support with the orange 200-week MA A dip into ~$23400 would constitute another retest of the 200-week MA. The 200-week MA has been held as support for three consecutive weeks thus far.”

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Source:TradingView/RektCapital

The 200 WMA is a long-term indicator that shows whether a market is bullish or bearish. 

On the other hand, Bitcoin’s open interest has been experiencing an uptick, Blockchain.News reported. 

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Crypto Weekly Outflows Touches $17m, Ending Six Consecutive Weeks Inflow: CoinShares

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Outflows from crypto investment products reached $17 million in the week ended Aug. 12, according to digital asset management firm Coinshares, ending a six-week run of inflows for the cryptocurrency industry.

Bitcoin (BTC) accounted for the lion’s share of these outflows with $21 million, driving a 2-week streak of outflows throughout August. However, falling Bitcoin short positions flowed into $2.6 million.

ProShares, Purpose, 3iQ Digital Asset Management and CI Investments crypto investment providers all saw corresponding outflows.

Source: CoinShares

Per the statistics from Coinshares show that capital outflows are distributed across regions. Canadian outflows totalled $26 million, $10 million outflows from the U.S., accounting for the majority of outflows, and inflows to European exchanges totalled $20 million.

The corresponding outflows from other regions are not particularly large. The most notable were Australia, Brazil, and Switzerland, with outflows of $800,000, $1 million, and $600,000, respectively.

According to a report by James Butterfill, an investment strategist at CoinShares:

“It is difficult to discern if this is a meaningful change in sentiment given its small size, although minor outflows were seen across a broad set of providers. It also comes at a time of low trading volume and a recovery in prices, suggesting there could be an element of minor profit-taking.”

Last week, blockchain-related equities saw an inflow of $8 million, indicating an improvement in market sentiment.

Bitcoin rose 1.47% over the past seven days and regained $25,000 on Sunday, according to CoinMarketCap. During the same period, Ethereum rose 7.38% over the week to $1,905.

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Crypto Weekly Inflows Have Topped $500M for Six Consecutive Weeks: CoinShares

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Inflows into crypto investment products have been experiencing an uptick for six consecutive weeks, topping $500 million, according to a report by market insight provider CoinShares.

The study dubbed “Volume 92: Digital Asset Fund Flows Weekly Report” highlighted:

“Digital asset investment products saw inflows totalling US$3m last week marking the 6th consecutive week of inflows that total US$529m, representing 1.7% of total assets under management (AuM).”

Source:CoinShares

 

CoinShares noted that constant inflows are happening despite the crash in the crypto market witnessed in the second quarter of 2022.

 

As the much-anticipated merge in the Ethereum network edges closer, more inflows have been trickling into the second-largest cryptocurrency. The report pointed out:

“Ethereum saw inflows totalling US$16m and is enjoying a near 7 consecutive week run of inflows totalling US$159m. We believe this turn-around in investor sentiment is due to greater clarity on the timing of The Merge.”

The merge, which is expected to happen on September 19, will change the current proof-of-work (PoW) framework to a proof-of-stake (PoS) consensus mechanism. Moreover, it’s speculated to be the biggest software upgrade in the Ethereum ecosystem.

 

American multinational investment bank Citi recently noted that the merge would make Ethereum a “yield-bearing asset,” Blockchain.News reported. 

 

On the other hand, CoinShares noted that despite sentiment in the crypto market improving, trading volumes remained low the past week at $1.1 billion compared to the year-to-date weekly average of $2.4 billion.

 

“Bitcoin saw very minor outflows totalling US$8.5m while short-Bitcoin investment products saw a record outflow totalling US$7.5m, and for the second consecutive week suggesting investors believe Bitcoin prices have troughed,” CoinShares added. 

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