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    Tajikistan’s mining crackdown shows how energy strain shapes crypto policy

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    Key takeaways

    • Tajikistan has criminalized the use of stolen electricity for cryptocurrency mining, introducing fines of up to $8,250 and prison sentences of up to eight years.

    • The move follows an energy crisis in which widespread power shortages and reportedly illegal mining have caused millions in losses and infrastructure damage.

    • The country joins a broader trend, as governments from Asia to the Middle East intensify crackdowns on unauthorized crypto mining to protect national power supplies.

    • Crypto mining may be shifting, with some operators moving toward renewable energy sources and more energy-efficient technologies.

    On Dec. 3, 2025, Tajikistan’s parliament formally approved amendments to its criminal code that make it a criminal offense to use electricity illegally for cryptocurrency mining. The new law introduces Article 253(2), titled “Illegal use of electricity for the production of virtual assets.”

    Under the new law, anyone found mining digital assets using stolen or unmetered electricity faces serious penalties. The basic offense carries fines ranging from about $1,650 to $4,070.

    If the act is committed by a coordinated group, penalties rise to $4,125-$8,250, or two to five years in prison. In cases involving large-scale or organized operations, offenders may face up to eight years in prison.

    The bill was presented to parliament by Attorney General Habibullo Vohidzoda, who warned that unregulated mining had already caused regional power outages, millions in losses and an uptick in related crimes. He told lawmakers that damages from illegal mining had reached about $3.52 million and that several criminal cases were under investigation.

    Power shortages in Tajikistan and mounting pressure

    Tajikistan’s decision comes amid one of the most severe energy crises the country has faced in recent years.

    • The country relies heavily on hydropower, and low water levels in reservoirs have forced authorities to ration electricity during the winter. In many areas, residents receive only two to four hours of power each day.

    • Officials say unlicensed mining farms are worsening the situation. These operations often connect to the national grid illegally or bypass meters to avoid paying for power. The result is not only significant financial losses but also serious damage to power infrastructure.

    Member of Parliament Shukhrat Ganizoda told lawmakers that a typical application-specific integrated circuits (ASIC) mining device draws about 3.5 kilowatts (kW) of power, while more advanced models can draw up to 6 kW. He said large mining farms running thousands of these machines place an enormous strain on the grid. Ganizoda added that perpetrators often tamper with wiring and meters to cut costs and maximize profits.

    He also noted that illegal mining can contribute to tax evasion, untraceable financial transactions and attempts to conceal or launder criminal proceeds. The new legislation, he emphasized, is designed to protect both the country’s economy and its energy security.

    Once signed by President Emomali Rahmon and published in state media, the law will take effect.

    Did you know? Under Tajikistan’s new Article 253(2), mining cryptocurrency using stolen power can carry a prison sentence of up to eight years.

    A global wave of crypto mining crackdowns

    Tajikistan’s move is part of a broader international shift. Around the world, governments are rethinking their stance on cryptocurrency mining as energy costs rise and grids become strained:

    • In Malaysia, authorities have uncovered thousands of illegal mining sites that siphoned off electricity worth more than $1 billion over the past few years.

    • In Kuwait, officials launched a nationwide operation in 2025 to shut down unauthorized mining farms after power shortages worsened. Electricity usage reportedly fell by more than 50% in one area following the crackdown.

    Even in countries that once embraced mining, such as China and Kazakhstan, energy shortages and rising environmental concerns have led to tighter regulations and, in some cases, outright bans. Many of these governments now treat unauthorized mining as theft or economic sabotage rather than a simple administrative violation.

    The common thread is clear: Where electricity is cheap, subsidized or poorly monitored, crypto mining tends to surge. When energy becomes scarce, regulators step in to protect the grid and ensure the public has access to essential power.

    Why Tajikistan’s mining crackdown matters for energy policy

    Tajikistan’s new law highlights how cryptocurrency mining has shifted from a financial curiosity to a matter of national infrastructure and energy policy. Mining Bitcoin (BTC) and other proof-of-work cryptocurrencies consumes large amounts of electricity, and when done illegally, it creates a double burden.

    First, it drains limited energy resources that should be available to households and industry. Second, it deprives the state of revenue and raises maintenance costs as infrastructure is damaged. For countries with fragile power systems, this combination can be very hard to manage.

    In Tajikistan, authorities hope that criminalizing unauthorized mining will deter offenders and help stabilize the power grid. The law also signals to investors and businesses that the government is serious about regulating digital asset activity.

    The move comes as the country strengthens penalties for other forms of power theft and nonpayment. Those offenses can already result in fines of up to $9,900 or prison sentences of up to eight years.

    How miners and the crypto industry may respond

    The tightening of rules in Tajikistan and elsewhere is likely to accelerate what analysts call “mining migration.” As one country enforces tougher penalties, miners often relocate to jurisdictions with more lenient rules or cheaper energy.

    This pattern has played out before. When China banned crypto mining in 2021, much of the industry shifted to countries such as Kazakhstan, the United States and Russia. But as some of those regions experienced grid strain, many have since reevaluated their stance.

    Experts say the future of mining will increasingly depend on access to renewable or surplus power. Operations that rely on sustainable energy are less likely to attract regulatory scrutiny. Some blockchain networks are also moving toward proof-of-stake models, which typically require far less electricity.

    For Tajikistan, the hope is that the new penalties will discourage illegal mining altogether rather than push it further underground.

    Energy security is now crypto policy

    Tajikistan’s decision underscores a growing recognition that crypto mining is not just about digital finance. It touches on energy security, infrastructure resilience and environmental policy.

    By making illegal mining a criminal offense, the government aims to send a clear message that energy misuse will not be tolerated. In a country where electricity shortages regularly affect daily life, the measure is as much about fairness as it is about technology.

    For miners worldwide, Tajikistan’s example is a reminder that cheap or free electricity comes at a cost. As more governments treat energy theft as a serious crime, the global map of crypto mining will continue to shift toward regions that can balance innovation with responsibility.

    In Tajikistan, that balance now means one thing above all: In the country, mining with stolen or unmetered electricity can now trigger criminal penalties, including prison time.

    This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.

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    AAVE Price Prediction: Testing $215-225 Resistance Zone in Next 30 Days

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    Zach Anderson
    Dec 15, 2025 12:04

    AAVE price prediction points to potential recovery toward $215-225 medium-term target, but must hold critical $190 support level with bullish MACD momentum building.





    With AAVE trading at $194.75 and showing mixed technical signals, the cryptocurrency faces a critical juncture that could determine its direction over the coming weeks. Our comprehensive Aave forecast analysis reveals both bullish momentum indicators and key resistance levels that will shape the token’s near-term trajectory.

    AAVE Price Prediction Summary

    AAVE short-term target (1 week): $207-$210 (+6-8%)
    Aave medium-term forecast (1 month): $215-$225 range
    Key level to break for bullish continuation: $207.16
    Critical support if bearish: $190.00

    Recent Aave Price Predictions from Analysts

    The latest AAVE price prediction landscape shows notable divergence among analysts. Blockchain.News maintains an optimistic medium-term AAVE price target of $215-$225, citing bullish MACD histogram readings and the token’s ability to hold above the crucial $190 support level. This aligns with our technical analysis showing strengthening momentum indicators.

    Conversely, CoinMarketCap AI warns of potential downside below $195 in the short term, pointing to governance controversies that could weigh on sentiment. Yellow.com’s Aave forecast suggests a possible retreat to $230, though this appears to be a typo given current price levels, likely referring to a drop toward the $180-$190 zone based on double-top pattern analysis.

    The consensus reveals a market at an inflection point, with medium-term bulls facing near-term technical headwinds.

    AAVE Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Breakout

    Current Aave technical analysis reveals several encouraging signals supporting our bullish AAVE price prediction. The MACD histogram reading of 1.3692 indicates building positive momentum, while the RSI at 51.88 sits in neutral territory with room for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions.

    The Bollinger Bands positioning tells a compelling story, with AAVE trading at 0.67 of the band width, suggesting the token is approaching the upper band at $204.87 but hasn’t reached extreme overbought levels. This positioning often precedes continuation moves higher when supported by volume confirmation.

    Volume analysis shows $12.17 million in 24-hour Binance spot trading, providing adequate liquidity for the next leg higher. The key resistance at $207.16 represents the immediate hurdle, followed by stronger resistance at $249.00.

    Aave Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

    Bullish Case for AAVE

    Our primary AAVE price target focuses on the $215-$225 zone within the next 30 days. This target aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement from the recent decline and represents a logical profit-taking area for swing traders.

    For this bullish Aave forecast to materialize, AAVE needs to break above $207.16 with volume confirmation. A successful break would likely trigger momentum buying toward $220, with potential extension to $235 if governance concerns subside.

    Bearish Risk for Aave

    The primary risk scenario involves a break below the critical $190 support level. Such a breakdown could trigger stops and accelerate selling toward the stronger support zone at $162.29. A deeper correction could test the $147.13 level, representing the major support from our analysis.

    Traders should monitor the governance controversy developments closely, as negative news could override technical bullishness and force a retest of lower levels.

    Should You Buy AAVE Now? Entry Strategy

    Based on our AAVE price prediction, the optimal entry strategy involves scaling into positions on any pullback toward $190-$192. This approach provides favorable risk-reward with stops below $187.

    For aggressive traders, a breakout entry above $207.16 with volume confirmation offers momentum participation, though at higher risk. Conservative investors should wait for a successful retest of $207 as support before adding exposure.

    Position sizing should remain moderate given the mixed sentiment and governance uncertainties. Consider allocating no more than 2-3% of portfolio value initially, with plans to add on confirmed breakout.

    AAVE Price Prediction Conclusion

    Our Aave forecast anticipates a recovery toward $215-$225 over the next 30 days, supported by improving technical momentum and oversold conditions from recent declines. The bullish MACD histogram and neutral RSI provide the foundation for this move, with medium confidence in the prediction.

    Key indicators to monitor include the $207.16 resistance break and governance news flow. A decisive break above $210 with volume would increase confidence in reaching the upper target range. Conversely, failure to hold $190 support would invalidate the bullish case and trigger our bearish scenario.

    The prediction timeline spans 2-4 weeks for initial targets, with potential extension to $235-$250 if broader DeFi sentiment improves alongside AAVE’s technical breakout.

    Image source: Shutterstock


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    LDO Price Prediction: Recovery to $0.70 Target by January 2025 Despite Current Consolidation

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    Caroline Bishop
    Dec 15, 2025 11:58

    Lido DAO shows bullish momentum signs with MACD histogram positive at 0.0063. Technical analysis suggests LDO price prediction targets $0.70 within 4-6 weeks.





    Lido DAO (LDO) is currently trading at $0.60, showing signs of potential recovery after testing critical support levels. With the MACD histogram turning positive and RSI maintaining neutral territory, our comprehensive Lido DAO technical analysis suggests a measured bullish outlook for the coming weeks.

    LDO Price Prediction Summary

    LDO short-term target (1 week): $0.65 (+8.3%)
    Lido DAO medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.68-$0.72 range
    Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.68 (Bollinger Band upper resistance)
    Critical support if bearish: $0.55 (strong support confluence)

    Recent Lido DAO Price Predictions from Analysts

    Recent analyst predictions present a mixed but cautiously optimistic picture for LDO. CoinLore’s AI models project an LDO price prediction of $0.5915 for the short term, while their long-term Lido DAO forecast extends to $5.58, indicating substantial upside potential over extended timeframes.

    The consensus among recent predictions shows bearish short-term sentiment, with CMC AI targeting $0.45 following whale sell-offs. However, this contrasts sharply with the current technical setup, where LDO has already found support above the $0.55 level and shows early bullish momentum signals.

    The divergence between pessimistic short-term predictions and improving technical indicators suggests the market may be oversold at current levels, presenting a potential opportunity for contrarian positioning.

    LDO Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Recovery

    Current Lido DAO technical analysis reveals several encouraging signals despite the recent downtrend. The MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.0063, indicating early bullish momentum building beneath the surface. This divergence from recent price action often precedes meaningful reversals.

    LDO’s position at 0.3817 within the Bollinger Bands suggests the token is trading in the lower portion of its recent range, but not oversold. The RSI at 43.40 remains in neutral territory, providing room for upward movement without immediately triggering overbought conditions.

    Trading volume of $3.11 million on Binance spot shows adequate liquidity, though increased volume confirmation would strengthen any breakout attempt. The daily ATR of $0.05 indicates moderate volatility, suggesting controlled price movements rather than panic selling.

    Lido DAO Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

    Bullish Case for LDO

    Our primary LDO price target sits at $0.70, representing a 16.7% gain from current levels. This target aligns with the 50-day SMA at $0.71, which has acted as significant resistance. A successful break above the immediate resistance at $0.68 (Bollinger Band upper) would likely trigger momentum toward this level.

    The path higher requires LDO to first reclaim the 20-day SMA at $0.62, then challenge the $0.68 resistance zone. Success at these levels could extend the rally toward $0.75-$0.80, where the next major resistance cluster resides.

    Bearish Risk for Lido DAO

    Should the current support at $0.55 fail, our bearish Lido DAO forecast targets the $0.45-$0.50 range, aligning with recent analyst predictions. This scenario would represent a 25% decline from current levels and would likely coincide with broader crypto market weakness.

    The critical level to monitor is $0.55, which represents both the Bollinger Band lower boundary and strong technical support. A decisive break below this level with volume confirmation would invalidate our bullish thesis and trigger deeper selling pressure.

    Should You Buy LDO Now? Entry Strategy

    Based on current technical positioning, a measured approach to buy or sell LDO decisions appears warranted. For aggressive traders, current levels around $0.60 offer reasonable risk-reward, with stops placed below $0.55 support.

    Conservative investors should wait for confirmation above $0.62 (20-day SMA) before initiating positions. This approach sacrifices some upside potential but provides greater confidence in the recovery narrative.

    Position sizing should reflect the mixed prediction environment, with initial allocations kept modest pending clearer directional signals. Risk management remains paramount given LDO’s 61% decline from 52-week highs.

    LDO Price Prediction Conclusion

    Our LDO price prediction anticipates a recovery to $0.70 within the next 4-6 weeks, representing medium confidence based on improving technical indicators despite bearish analyst sentiment. The positive MACD histogram and neutral RSI provide the foundation for this forecast.

    Key indicators to monitor include volume confirmation on any breakout attempt, RSI movement above 50, and successful reclamation of the 20-day SMA at $0.62. Failure to hold $0.55 support would invalidate this prediction and suggest deeper correction toward analyst targets near $0.45.

    The timeline for this Lido DAO forecast extends through January 2025, with initial confirmation signals expected within the next 7-10 trading days. Traders should remain flexible as crypto markets can shift rapidly, particularly during year-end trading conditions.

    Image source: Shutterstock


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    Memecoins will rise from the dead, but in a new form: Crypto exec

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    Memecoins are not dead because the market is down and the narrative has faded, according to president of payment infrastructure company MoonPay, Keith A. Grossman, who said that memecoins will be back but in a different form.

    The real innovation of memecoins is that attention can be tokenized easily and at low costs through blockchain technology, democratizing access to the attention economy, Grossman said. He continued:

    “Before crypto, attention could only be monetized by platforms, brands and a small group of influencers. Everyone else generated value and gave it away for free. Likes, trends, inside jokes and communities created massive economic value.”

    The memecoin sector declined significantly in 2025. Source: CoinMarketCap

    However, that value did not flow back to participants and mostly remained trapped by large, centralized platforms, he added.

    Grossman compared the dismal memecoin outlook among analysts to forecasts of the demise of social media after the first generation of social platforms failed in the early 2000s, before the rise of a latter cohort of companies that turned the niche sector into a cultural phenomenon.

    Memecoins were one of the best-performing crypto asset sectors in 2024 and were the top narrative that year among crypto investors, according to crypto market data platform CoinGecko. 

    However, sharp criticisms that memecoins and other social tokens have no value and several high-profile token implosions eventually caused the market to crater and investors to move on from the narrative.

    Related: Bubblemaps challenges PEPE’s fair launch, alleges 30% of genesis supply bundled

    Presidential antics and the downfall of the memecoin sector

    The memecoin market collapsed in Q1 2025 following several high-profile token collapses and significant drawdowns that were characterized as “rug pulls.”

    United States President Donald Trump launched a memecoin ahead of the January 2025 inauguration, which reached a peak of $75 before collapsing by over 90% to about $5.42 at the time of this writing, according to CoinMarketCap.

    Memecoin, Tokenization, RWA Tokenization
    The Official Trump memecoin from Donald Trump, president of the United States, has declined by over 90% since launch. Source: CoinMarketCap

    Javier Milei, the president of Argentina, endorsed a social token called Libra in February, which also crashed, leaving 86% of LIBRA holders with realized losses of $1,000 or more

    The token had reached a market cap of $107 million before its collapse and was characterized as a rug pull by the crypto community.

    Although Milei attempted to distance himself from the token launch, a government probe was launched into Milei’s involvement, which culminated in lawsuits from retail investors and calls for impeachment from Argentine lawmakers.

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