Bitcoin (BTC) neared $66,000 at Friday’s Wall Street open as analysis called US inflation trends “objectively unsustainable.”
Key points:
Bitcoin drops further on oil-supply woes as Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz.
BTC price performance is set to seal its sixth straight month of losses at the March close.
Traders eye the lows with $70,000 back as resistance.
Oil squeeze creates US bond-market havoc
Data from TradingView captured ongoing BTC price losses, which approached 4% on the day and threatened to turn March into Bitcoin’s sixth consecutive “red” month.
Macro headlines drove weakness across risk assets. US stocks opened downward after Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, sharpening nerves over global oil supplies.
With the US-Iran war set to extend into April, markets showed stress everywhere — including US bonds.
“The US bond market is in major trouble today,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter warned in a post on X.
Kobeissi noted that the 10-year Treasury note was now at its highest levels since the war began, creating a major headache for the Federal Reserve as it tries to tame inflation as labor-market conditions worsen.
“In less than one month, markets have gone from discussing rate cuts to rate hikes, with the base case showing a Fed PAUSE for the next 18 months,” it continued.
“Keep in mind, the Fed was cutting interest rates because the labor market was weak, and it remains weak. However, inflation expectations have just become an even bigger problem than the labor market. This is objectively unsustainable.”
Federal Reserve target rate probabilities (screenshot). Source: CME Group FedWatch Tool
“Inflation expectations have become so bad that the market is trading like an emergency Fed rate hike is imminent,” Kobeissi founder Adam Kobeissi added.
Analyzing four-hour time frames, Telegram trading resource Technical Crypto Analyst predicted a “likely” return to $64,000 next.
“BTC has clearly broken its ascending trendline and is now showing lower highs under the 70–72K supply, confirming a short-term bearish shift; with price losing the 68K support, continuation toward the 64–65K demand zone is likely, and only a reclaim above 70K would invalidate the bearish momentum,” it told subscribers.
Data from CoinGlass revealed the high stakes for price into the March monthly close, with BTC/USD readying its first six straight months of losses since the end of its 2018 bear market.
“Indeed seeing the market derisking into the weekend as expected and as we’ve been seeing several weeks now,” trader Daan Crypto Trades continued.
“Eyes on that $65.6K low from last week Monday. Main area to watch for me will be the range low. Seeing there’s still quite a bit of liquidity around that area.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Bitcoin (BTC) dropped toward $67,000 during the European trading session on Friday despite an increase in long-term buying. Exchange withdrawals also increased to 16-month highs, suggesting reduced “immediate selling pressure,” a new analysis said.
Key takeaways:
Bitcoin withdrawals from exchanges increases, reducing BTC available for sale.
Long-term holders accelerate accumulation, adding 155,450 BTC over the past 30 days.
Bitcoin analysts view $65,000–$66,000 as a potential support zone for a bounce.
Bitcoin supply tightens as long-term buying accelerates
CryptoQuant’s exchange flow data highlighted “renewed signs of supply tightening,” as large Bitcoin withdrawals continue across major exchanges.
The chart below shows that investors withdrew nearly $1.6 billion of BTC from Bitfinex on March 16, as shown by the orange bar in the chart below.
Since then, the trend has expanded across other major exchanges, with a $678 million withdrawal from OKX on Sunday, a $728 million withdrawal from Kraken on Monday, and another $400 million in BTC leaving Binance on Wednesday.
“This pattern suggests that the latest wave of withdrawals is no longer isolated to one platform,” CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha said in his latest QuickTake analysis.
Bitcoin: LTH net position change. Source: Glassnode
When Bitcoin leaves exchanges while LTHs expand their positions, it “usually signals lower immediate sell pressure and stronger conviction from investors with a longer time horizon,” Amr Taha said.
If this trend continues, the market could be entering another phase where tightening sell-side liquidity and stronger LTH demand “create a more supportive backdrop for price,” the analyst added.
Bitcoin price to revisit $65,000 before bounce
As Cointelegraph reported, $70,000 remains the key for the Bitcoin bulls and that losing it could trigger the next leg down.
The BTC/USD pair was trading below $67,000 at the time of writing, below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA).
“It’s quite clear that there’s not enough strength for the markets to move higher after that rejection at $75K,” MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe said in a recent X post.
An accompanying chart suggested that the price was seeking to print a higher low within the $65,000 to $66,000 range, failing which “we’ll start to see an acceleration downwards,” van de Poppe said, adding:
“I would be looking at longs in the lower-$60K range.”
BTC/USD daily chart. Source: Michael van de Poppe
The Glassnode liquidity heatmap highlighted “stronger” whale bid orders near $65,000, suggesting that the BTC price could retest this area before a bounce.
Bitcoin whale orders. Source: CoinGlass
As Cointelegraph reported, a break and close below the ascending trend line at $68,000 could result in Bitcoin price dropping toward $60,000, where it could consolidate next.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
AAVE trades at $104.87 with bearish momentum as technical indicators signal potential drop to $101 support before any recovery attempt toward $109 resistance.
While specific analyst predictions are limited for the current timeframe, on-chain metrics suggest Aave faces significant technical headwinds. According to available data, a previous prediction from early January anticipated a recovery to the $185-$195 range over 3-4 weeks, though this forecast appears overly optimistic given current market conditions.
Market data platforms indicate that AAVE’s current positioning near multi-month lows reflects broader DeFi sector challenges, with the token trading significantly below its 200-day moving average of $182.46.
AAVE Technical Analysis Breakdown
The technical picture for AAVE reveals concerning momentum signals. With an RSI of 40.34, the token sits in neutral territory but is approaching oversold conditions. The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum has stalled but hasn’t reversed, suggesting sellers remain in control.
AAVE’s position within the Bollinger Bands tells a compelling story. At 0.14 on the %B indicator, the token trades very close to the lower band at $102.29, indicating potential oversold conditions. However, the middle band at $111.30 represents significant resistance that must be reclaimed for any meaningful recovery.
Key moving averages paint a bearish picture across all timeframes. The 7-day SMA at $108.57 sits well above current prices, while the 20-day SMA at $111.30 continues to act as dynamic resistance. Most concerning is the massive gap to the 200-day SMA at $182.46, highlighting the severity of AAVE’s decline from previous highs.
Aave Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
For AAVE price prediction bulls, the immediate target is reclaiming the $107.26 resistance level, followed by a test of the stronger $109.65 resistance. A decisive break above $109.65 could trigger short covering and propel AAVE toward the $115-$120 range, targeting the upper Bollinger Band.
Technical confirmation would require RSI breaking above 50 and MACD histogram turning positive. Volume expansion above the recent average of $9.8 million would validate any upward breakout attempt.
Bearish Scenario
The Aave forecast appears more bearish in the near term. Failure to hold current levels could see AAVE test the $101.61 strong support level. A break below this critical zone opens the door to further downside toward $95-$98, representing a -10% decline from current levels.
Risk factors include continued DeFi sector weakness, regulatory uncertainties, and the technical pattern suggesting further consolidation below key moving averages.
Should You Buy AAVE? Entry Strategy
Conservative investors should wait for a clear break above $109.65 with volume confirmation before considering long positions. For risk-tolerant traders, the $101-$103 zone offers a potential accumulation area with tight stop-losses below $100.
A dollar-cost averaging approach between $101-$107 may be prudent given the high volatility indicated by the 14-day ATR of $6.20. This represents nearly 6% daily price swings, requiring careful position sizing.
Stop-loss levels should be placed below $100 for long positions, while profit-taking opportunities exist at $109 and $115 resistance levels.
Conclusion
The AAVE price prediction suggests a challenging period ahead, with the token likely to test $101 support before any meaningful recovery attempt. While oversold conditions may provide short-term bounce opportunities, sustained upside requires breaking multiple resistance levels and broader DeFi sector improvement.
Confidence level: Medium (60%) for downside test to $101, Low (35%) for immediate recovery above $110. Traders should exercise caution and employ proper risk management given AAVE’s elevated volatility.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Crypto exchange Coinbase Global has launched a mortgage structure with Better Home & Finance that lets qualified borrowers pledge digital assets held in Coinbase accounts to fund down payments on standard conforming mortgages designed in accordance with Fannie Mae guidelines.
According to Coinbase, the structure enables borrowers to pledge digital assets such as Bitcoin (BTC) or USDC (USDC) as collateral for a separate loan used to fund the down payment, while the primary mortgage remains a standard, Fannie Mae–backed loan. Better will originate and service the mortgages.
When rolled out, the new development could mark a shift in how crypto assets are used in US housing finance, extending their role from qualifying assets in underwriting to a more direct component of mortgage financing.
The news follows earlier regulatory signals to integrate crypto into mortgage frameworks. In June, the US Federal Housing Finance Agency directed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to prepare proposals to recognize cryptocurrency as an asset in mortgage risk assessments without requiring conversion to US dollars.
It also builds on a series of developments integrating crypto into home lending, with lenders like Newrez and Rate recently recognizing crypto holdings in underwriting, signaling a broader push to embed crypto across the mortgage stack.
Cointelegraph reached out to Fannie Mae for more information but did not receive a response before publication.
Pledging crypto for down payments comes with added risks
According to Coinbase, borrowers would take out a standard conforming mortgage while using a separate loan secured by crypto holdings to cover the down payment.
The setup allows buyers to retain exposure to digital assets, but replaces upfront cash with additional debt.
Coinbase said the model introduces constraints tied to pledged assets, with borrowers unable to trade collateral while it is locked.
The company said market volatility alone does not trigger margin calls as long as borrowers continue making payments, and mortgage terms remain unchanged once the loan is active.
The model also introduces new risks tied to the pledged assets. While price swings do not directly affect the mortgage, they may still influence borrower risk exposure and financial decisions over time.
Lenders have been gradually integrating crypto into mortgage underwriting
The new development follows several US lenders that recently incorporated crypto assets into mortgage processes.
On Jan. 17, loan servicer Newrez said it would allow borrowers to use BTC, Ether (ETH), crypto ETFs and stablecoins as qualifying assets in underwriting, without requiring liquidation.
On Feb. 23, mortgage lender Rate launched its RateFi program, which allows verified crypto holdings to count toward reserves and, in some cases, income. However, borrowers are still required to convert their crypto into cash for down payments and closing costs.
Ex-Congressman Ryan frames crypto as a housing tool
Ahead of the rollout, Cointelegraph’s Turner Wright spoke with former Ohio Representative Tim Ryan, a member of Coinbase’s advisory council who has focused on middle-class affordability, including housing.
Ryan cast mortgage financing as a practical, real-world use case for crypto, arguing that digital assets can unlock wealth for early investors and help address one of the biggest barriers to homeownership — the down payment.
“Digital assets have a place for working-class people… all the way down to getting a home,” Ryan said. “To see the industry move into… the housing sector… is a really huge deal.”
Affordability remains a major challenge for US homebuyers. Despite slower activity tied to low inventory and elevated mortgage rates, the average home price still exceeded $405,000 in the fourth quarter.
The median home price has come down from its 2022 peak but remains elevated relative to incomes. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
A 20% down payment, often required to avoid private mortgage insurance, would still cost buyers more than $80,000, a hurdle that could be less challenging now for crypto investors.
Additional reporting by Sam Bourgi and Turner Wright.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
Opinion by: Samuel Owusu-Boadi, founder of WellsForAll
Over the past decade, crypto philanthropy has exploded. From a niche experiment to a transformative force channeling billions into global causes, crypto philanthropy’s moment has arrived.
According to data from The Giving Block, crypto donations exceeded $1 billion in 2024, proving that blockchain-based giving is now a legitimate, more transparent (in theory) and efficient alternative to traditional charity fundraising. While these figures show momentum, scale alone does not equate to success, especially in philanthropic projects across Africa.
Across the African continent, many crypto philanthropy initiatives are designed as moments — token launches, non-fungible token drops and campaigns designed to generate attention, capital and optimism in short bursts. These hype cycles rarely account for what happens after the launch window closes. No long-term systems are built to facilitate continued investment and oversight.
Why is this an issue? Public good projects cannot function on hype cycles. They require assets that endure for decades, with maintenance schedules, governance structures and local accountability.
There is no shortage of donation campaigns for philanthropic projects in Africa. What is lacking is long-lasting infrastructure. When philanthropy is structured around visibility rather than durability, the result is predictable: short-term relief followed by quiet failure.
The transparency illusion
Crypto philanthropy evangelists often point to blockchain’s transparency as a solution to these shortcomings. Onchain records can show where funds move, when they move and who authorized them. As valuable as this type of insight is, it is also incomplete.
Transparent records alone solve little without tangible truth on the ground. A transaction hash cannot confirm that infrastructure remains functional, that communities continue to benefit or that maintenance funding still exists. Blockchain systems can record intent, but they cannot verify tangible outcomes in the projects that crypto philanthropy seeks to enable. Academic research has highlighted that while blockchain may improve traceability, it does not automatically guarantee accountability or effect without additional systems that sit beside or within it to link the two.
Without on-the-ground presence and continuous oversight, onchain transparency risks becoming nothing more than performative in its credibility. Accountability must exist where the physical infrastructure exists, which means establishing frameworks outside of the distributed ledger that can track and measure tangible outputs. If effect is only measured at the transaction level, the most important question in any philanthropy project goes unanswered: Did lives meaningfully improve?
Ignoring local ownership makes failure inevitable
This gap between digital transparency and physical reality becomes more frustrating when projects are designed without the input from the communities they aim to serve. Many crypto philanthropy initiatives are conceived and executed by teams that have never visited the regions affected by their decisions.
Without local leadership overseeing these projects, responsibility evaporates once funding slows. Infrastructure that lacks community ownership will deteriorate quickly. Without clearly defined custodianship and locally managed maintenance resources, even well-funded projects deteriorate once initial enthusiasm fades.
At times, crypto-backed charitable initiatives in Africa treat local ownership as a cultural nicety, or an afterthought, rather than the heart and soul of the project. Communities must co-manage and protect assets if those assets are expected to survive. Projects that treat beneficiaries as end users rather than stewards inevitably collapse.
Charity tokens create dependency instead of dignity
Considering these observations, it becomes quite clear that most charity tokens and crypto fundraising models are designed to deliver temporary relief. They perform well at mobilizing attention and capital quickly but struggle to support systems that operate year after year.
Shifting the aim toward structural infrastructure enables philanthropic projects to function as a type of economic infrastructure, where longevity and sustainability are properly accounted for, and not merely as a charitable intervention. When clean water systems, schools or clinics remain operational over long periods, they reduce dependency rather than reinforce it.
Dignity emerges not from receiving aid, but from creating systems from that aid that truly stand the test of time and endure.
Without long-term operational thinking, projects inadvertently recreate the very dependency dynamics they claim to disrupt.
Repeated failure harms the entire crypto industry
The consequences of these failures extend beyond individual projects. Whenever an initiative collapses, or public trust in a crypto-backed charity project erodes, not only is the power of philanthropy questioned, but so is belief in blockchain itself. With these failures, skepticism toward future crypto-powered initiatives only gets louder.
Africa experiences this damage the most. Failed experiments leave behind broken infrastructure and weakened confidence, making it harder for responsible models to gain support and traction. Philanthropy should never be treated as an experimental case study or showcase for blockchain technology. When human well-being is at stake, failure is not as abstract as we like to think.
For the crypto industry, this represents a credibility challenge. If blockchain is to play a meaningful role in global development, it must demonstrate discipline, restraint and accountability — not novelty for its own sake.
Maturity, not abandonment
With all this being said, is it time to abandon crypto philanthropy projects? Certainly not. Crypto advocates often highlight the advantages of digital assets in philanthropy, including borderless transfers, reduced transaction costs and immutable records. These benefits are real and largely undisputed.
For blockchain to contribute meaningfully to sustainable effects, then it must be treated as governance infrastructure rather than a marketing fundraising function. That means prioritizing local ownership, multi-year planning, maintenance funding and accountability frameworks that extend beyond the ledger.
Until crypto philanthropy builds systems instead of hype, it will continue to fail the communities it claims to serve.
Opinion by: Samuel Owusu-Boadi, founder of WellsForAll.
This opinion article presents the author’s expert view, and it may not reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. This content has undergone editorial review to ensure clarity and relevance. Cointelegraph remains committed to transparent reporting and upholding the highest standards of journalism. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research before taking any actions related to the company.
Stand With Crypto (SWC), the advocacy organization launched by cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase, said that its strategy for turning out crypto-minded voters in the 2026 US midterm elections will prioritize races in Ohio and Pennsylvania.
In a Thursday announcement, SWC said its November 2026 battleground races would include industry-supported candidates in Iowa, Nevada, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, where “crypto voters represent a meaningful and potentially decisive share of the electorate.”
The advocacy group added that its priority for the midterms would be in Ohio’s 9th Congressional District and Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District, where the respective incumbents Democrat Marcy Kaptur and Republican Scott Perry “have concerning records on crypto policy.” Perry voted against the GENIUS Act in 2025, while Kaptur voted against the payment stablecoins bill and the CLARITY market structure bill.
Stand With Crypto said it would use an “aggressive, get-out-the-vote effort” with its advocates, including “paid media campaigns across digital and direct mail, targeted SMS outreach, and robust digital organizing through email and social platforms” as well as groundwork to turn out crypto voters. The group’s platform includes information on candidates’ positions on crypto policy based on their public statements, voting records and their responses to the organization’s questionnaire.
Launched in 2023 as part of an effort to “unite global crypto advocates,” SWC is one of several crypto-affiliated organizations expected to influence voters in 2026. The group reported about 270 “pro-crypto” candidates won seats in the US House of Representatives and Senate in 2024, with many of the same candidates up for reelection this year.
Stand With Crypto said in November 2025 that how US lawmakers vote on a crypto market structure bill could impact their reelection prospects. At the time, the Senate was expected to move forward on market structure legislation, but it is still unclear if or when the bill will advance out of committee and for a full floor vote.
“[As] market structure legislation continues to be negotiated in Congress, 74% of crypto owners say they would be more likely to support a candidate who supports making clearer regulations for cryptocurrency, with nearly a third (31%) who say they would be much more likely to support such a candidate,” SWC said as part of a February survey of 1,000 crypto holders.
2026 races seen testing crypto industry’s impact on candidates
Money from the crypto industry funneled through political action committees (PACs) like Fairshake may have already influenced 2026 voters in early state primaries.
Protect Progress, a Fairshake affiliate spent $1.5 million opposing the reelection of Texas Representative Al Green, who has served in Congress since 2005. Although Green did not lose the Democratic primary, he will head to a runoff with Christian Menefee in May. SWC rated Menefee as “strongly supports crypto.”
However, in Illinois, Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton won the Democratic Senate primary against Representatives Raja Krishnamoorthi and Robin Kelly. The victory came despite crypto-tied lobbyists spending millions of dollars on media buys supporting Krishnamoorthi. Stratton is expected to win in the general election and take the seat of retiring Democratic Senator Dick Durbin.
In 2024, Ohio saw some of the biggest spending from the crypto industry and other PACs to unseat Senator Sherrod Brown. Although the Democrat lost to Republican Bernie Moreno, he announced in August 2025 that he plans to run again, potentially leading to the industry eyeing the US state as a battleground for crypto.
“I would assume given the politics and the candidates in Ohio that there will be a s–tload of money spent here again,” former Ohio Representative Tim Ryan, who also sits on Coinbase’s Global Advisory Council, told Cointelegraph.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
Aave (AAVE) trades at $106.76 with bearish momentum signals. Technical analysis suggests downside to $99-103 support before potential bounce targeting $113-120 resistance.
Aave (AAVE) is experiencing notable selling pressure as the token trades at $106.76, down 6.64% in the past 24 hours. With key technical indicators flashing warning signs, this AAVE price prediction examines whether the DeFi protocol’s native token can find support or faces deeper correction ahead.
AAVE Price Prediction Summary
• Short-term target (1 week): $99-$103 support zone test likely
• Medium-term forecast (1 month): $95-$120 range with high volatility expected
• Bullish breakout level: $120.08 (strong resistance breach needed)
• Critical support: $99.62 (major technical floor)
What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Aave
While specific analyst predictions are limited in recent trading sessions, on-chain data reveals mixed signals for AAVE’s near-term trajectory. According to technical analysis platforms, the current price action suggests institutional profit-taking may be driving the recent decline from the $116.51 daily high.
Market data indicates that AAVE has broken below several key moving averages, with the token now trading significantly below its 200-day SMA of $183.46, highlighting the extended bear market conditions that continue to pressure DeFi tokens.
AAVE Technical Analysis Breakdown
The technical picture for AAVE presents clear bearish momentum signals across multiple timeframes. The RSI reading of 42.06 positions the token in neutral territory but trending toward oversold conditions, suggesting potential buying interest may emerge at lower levels.
MACD indicators show bearish alignment with the histogram at 0.0000, indicating momentum remains negative despite the recent consolidation. The Stochastic oscillator readings of %K at 10.54 and %D at 8.44 signal oversold conditions, which could trigger short-term bounces.
Bollinger Bands analysis reveals AAVE trading in the lower portion of the bands with a %B position of 0.2137, indicating the price sits closer to the lower band at $103.17 than the upper band at $119.97. This positioning suggests continued downward pressure with the middle band at $111.57 serving as immediate resistance.
The daily ATR of $6.42 indicates elevated volatility, typical of correction phases and suggesting traders should prepare for significant price swings in either direction.
Aave Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
For bulls to regain control, AAVE must reclaim the immediate resistance at $113.42, followed by a decisive break above $120.08. This Aave forecast scenario would require substantial buying volume and could target the upper Bollinger Band near $119.97 as an initial objective.
A successful breakout above $120 could open the path toward testing the 50-day SMA at $114.51, though this appears challenging given current momentum conditions. Bulls need RSI to break above 50 and MACD to turn positive for sustainable upward movement.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case appears more technically supported, with AAVE showing vulnerability to further downside. Immediate support at $103.19 aligns closely with the lower Bollinger Band, making this a critical level to watch.
Should this support fail, the strong support zone at $99.62 becomes the primary target, representing approximately 7% additional downside from current levels. A break below $99 could trigger accelerated selling toward psychological support at $90-95, coinciding with longer-term technical levels.
Should You Buy AAVE? Entry Strategy
Conservative investors should wait for clear support confirmation before establishing positions. The $103-$99 zone offers the most attractive risk-reward setup, with stops placed below $95 to limit downside exposure.
For active traders, the current level near $106.76 presents high risk given the bearish momentum signals. A more prudent approach involves waiting for RSI to reach oversold levels below 30 or for price to test the strong support at $99.62.
Risk management remains crucial, with position sizes kept small given the 6.64% daily decline and elevated ATR readings indicating continued volatility.
Conclusion
This AAVE price prediction suggests near-term weakness toward the $99-103 support zone before potential stabilization. The confluence of bearish technical indicators, including MACD momentum and Bollinger Band positioning, supports a cautious outlook for the next 1-2 weeks.
However, Aave forecast models indicate oversold conditions could provide buying opportunities for patient investors willing to dollar-cost average into positions. The key inflection point remains the $99.62 support level, which will determine whether AAVE can establish a base for recovery or faces deeper correction.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve substantial risk. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to face significant resistance at the $72,000 level, but the bulls have kept up the pressure. Trader Daan Crypto Trades said in a post on X that BTC will have to cross and stay above the $72,000 resistance area to “test the $80Ks again.”
Markets tend to hate uncertainty, but BTC’s resilience since the start of the US and Israel-Iran war shows that traders are not keen to sell at lower levels. CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost said in a post on X that March has mostly recorded BTC outflows from crypto exchanges. Although the demand is not sufficient to start a new uptrend, it does signal accumulation by investors.
Crypto market data daily view. Source: TradingView
One of the reasons for accumulation could be that investors believe BTC is in value territory. Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards said in a post on X that BTC is in deep value when the BTC Yardstick metric is considered. In February, the Yardstick numbers fell below the 2022 bear market low reading.
Could BTC and select major altcoins maintain above their overhead resistance levels? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin price prediction
BTC continues to trade inside a bullish ascending triangle pattern, a sign that buyers are attempting a comeback.
The flattish 20-day exponential moving average ($70,303) and the relative strength index (RSI) near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. Buyers will have to drive and maintain the BTC price above the $74,508 resistance to complete the ascending triangle. If they manage to do that, the BTC/USDT pair may rally to $84,000.
This positive view will be negated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the support line. That signals the bulls have given up. The pair may then plummet to the $62,500 to $60,000 support zone.
Ether price prediction
Ether (ETH) bounced off the 50-day simple moving average ($2,042) on Monday, indicating a positive sentiment.
The flattish 20-day EMA ($2,121) and the RSI near the midpoint suggest a balance between supply and demand. Buyers will have to push the price above the $2,400 level to indicate the start of a new up move. The ETH/USDT pair may rally to $2,600 and later to $3,050.
Instead, if the ETH price turns down and breaks below the 50-day SMA, it signals that the market has rejected the break above the $2,111 level. That may pull the pair to $1,900 and subsequently to the $1,750 level.
BNB price prediction
Buyers are attempting to maintain BNB (BNB) above the 20-day EMA ($643), but the bears are posing a strong challenge.
The flattish 20-day EMA and the RSI just below the midpoint suggest that the BNB/USDT pair may remain inside the $570 to $687 range for a few more days. The longer the price remains inside a range, the stronger the eventual breakout from it.
If buyers drive the BNB price above $687, the pair may surge to $730 and later to $790. Contrarily, if the price turns down and breaks below $600, it suggests that the bears have a slight edge. The pair may then slump to $570.
XRP price prediction
Sellers are attempting to maintain XRP (XRP) below the moving averages, but the bulls continue to exert pressure.
If the XRP price breaks and sustains above the moving averages, the rally may reach the breakdown level of $1.61 and then to the downtrend line. Sellers are expected to fiercely defend the downtrend line, as a close above it signals a potential trend change.
On the other hand, if the price turns down and breaks below $1.27, it suggests that the bears remain in control. The XRP/USDT pair may then slump to the support line of the channel, where buyers are expected to step in.
Solana price prediction
Solana (SOL) has been trading between the 50-day SMA ($86) and the overhead resistance of $95 for the past few days.
The gradually upsloping 20-day EMA ($89) and the RSI just above the midpoint suggest a slight edge to the buyers. If bulls clear the overhead barrier at $95, the SOL/USDT pair may soar to $117.
On the downside, sellers will have to pull the SOL price below the 50-day SMA to get back into the game. If they do that, the pair may slump toward the bottom of the $76 to $95 range. A solid bounce off the $76 level may extend the stay inside the range for some more time.
Dogecoin price prediction
Dogecoin (DOGE) bounced off the $0.09 support on Monday, but the bulls are struggling to push the price above the moving averages.
If the DOGE price turns down sharply from the moving averages, the possibility of a break below the $0.09 level increases. The DOGE/USDT pair may then tumble to the next support at $0.06.
Alternatively, a close above the moving averages shows solid buying at the $0.09 level. The pair may then rise to $0.10 and later to $0.12, which is expected to pose a substantial challenge for the bulls.
Hyperliquid price prediction
Hyperliquid (HYPE) rebounded off the breakout level of $36.77 on Tuesday, indicating that the bulls are attempting to flip the level into support.
The upsloping moving averages and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that the bulls have the upper hand. If buyers drive the HYPE price above the $43.77 level, the next stop is likely to be $50.
This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the $36.77 level. That suggests the market has rejected the breakout. The HYPE/USDT pair may then tumble to the 50-day SMA ($33.16).
A close above the moving averages opens the doors for a rally to the downtrend line. Sellers are expected to aggressively defend the downtrend line as a close above it signals a potential trend change. The ADA/USDT pair may ascend to $0.39 and thereafter to $0.44.
Conversely, if the ADA price turns down sharply from the downtrend line and breaks below the moving averages, it shows that the bears remain sellers on rallies. That increases the likelihood of a decline below the $0.25 level. The pair may then plunge toward the support line.
Bitcoin Cash price prediction
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) closed above the 20-day EMA ($470) on Monday, but the bulls are struggling to push the price to the 50-day SMA ($492).
That shows the bears are active at higher levels. The sellers will attempt to strengthen their position by pulling the BCH price below the 20-day EMA. If they can pull it off, the BCH/USDT pair may drop to the $443 level. This is a critical level for the bulls to defend, as a close below $443 will complete a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. The next support on the downside is at $375.
On the upside, if buyers thrust the price above the 50-day SMA, it suggests the start of a stronger relief rally to $520.
Chainlink price prediction
Chainlink (LINK) has been gradually rising inside an ascending channel pattern, indicating a series of higher lows in the short term.
The bulls will attempt to push the LINK price to the resistance line of the channel, where the bears are expected to mount a strong defense. If the price turns down sharply from the resistance line, the LINK/USDT pair may remain inside the channel for a few more days.
However, if buyers propel the price above the resistance line, it signals the start of a stronger recovery. The $11.61 level may act as an obstacle, but if the bulls overcome it, the rally may reach the $14.98 level.
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Argentina’s nationwide ban on Polymarket shows that rapid global growth does not shield platforms from local regulation, especially when their core activity resembles unlicensed gambling.
Authorities applied an “economic reality” approach, focusing on user behavior rather than the technology, and concluded that staking money on uncertain outcomes aligns with traditional definitions of gambling.
Weak identity and age verification measures were a major concern, with regulators highlighting the risks of underage participation and inadequate user safeguards as justification for enforcement.
Polymarket’s inflation-related markets intensified scrutiny in Argentina, raising fears about insider information, the monetization of sensitive economic data and potential influence on public perception.
Prediction markets are gaining popularity worldwide. People are increasingly using them as high-stakes forecasting tools for topics ranging from politics to the economy.
But in Argentina, that growth has hit a wall. A Buenos Aires court has mandated a countrywide block on Polymarket, arguing that the platform operates as an unlicensed gambling site with insufficient safeguards for its users.
This crackdown underscores a broader global debate over whether prediction markets should be treated as information tools, financial instruments or forms of digital betting.
A rapidly expanding platform meets firm legal resistance
Polymarket has established itself as one of the leading crypto-powered prediction markets globally. Participants wager on a wide range of future events, from political elections to macroeconomic indicators, using stablecoins as the medium.
Its swift rise stems from several key drivers:
Growing fascination with instantaneous, market-driven forecasting
Heightened engagement during high-profile international events
The unique appeal of turning knowledge and insights into tradable financial stakes
Nevertheless, this momentum has drawn increased regulatory scrutiny. In Argentina, that scrutiny has escalated into decisive action.
Did you know? Prediction markets date back centuries. In the 1500s, Europeans placed bets on papal elections, showing that wagering on future events long predates modern crypto-based platforms.
Enforcement measures taken by Argentina
A court in Buenos Aires mandated that the national communications authority, Ente Nacional de Comunicaciones (ENACOM), enforce a ban on Polymarket and related domains throughout the country. The directive includes:
Removing or restricting the platform’s applications in the Google and Apple app stores for users in Argentina
Implementing blocks through internet service providers nationwide
The proceedings originated from a formal complaint lodged by Lotería de la Ciudad de Buenos Aires (LOTBA), the Buenos Aires City Lottery authority, with prosecution led by a dedicated gambling crimes office.
Although the ruling came from a municipal court, its enforcement effectively spans the nation, prompting debate over how localized decisions can impose sweeping digital barriers.
Regulators’ rationale for deeming Polymarket unlawful
The core contention is straightforward. When individuals stake real money on uncertain future outcomes, the activity constitutes gambling.
Argentine officials have largely disregarded the underlying blockchain and cryptocurrency elements, instead adopting a practical “economic substance” approach that examines actual user behavior.
Under this view:
Participants commit funds as stakes
Outcomes remain uncertain
Payouts depend directly on event resolution
This framework closely matches conventional legal definitions of gambling. Since Polymarket allegedly operates without the required local licensing or approval, authorities contend that it violates national gambling regulations.
Concerns about identity verification and age controls
A primary focus of the authorities’ critique centers on deficiencies in user safeguards. Regulators argued that Polymarket did not enforce adequate:
Such shortcomings create risks that:
In regulatory environments, these protective gaps are enough to justify intervention, regardless of any cryptocurrency involvement.
Did you know? The US once experimented with political futures markets at the University of Iowa, where participants traded real-money contracts on election outcomes as part of a university-run academic research project.
Heightened scrutiny over inflation-related markets
Argentina’s persistent economic challenges, particularly high inflation, make economic indicators politically and socially sensitive. Polymarket featured active markets predicting the country’s official inflation statistics. At times, these market prices aligned remarkably closely with the eventual official releases.
This alignment sparked concerns, including:
Possible access to nonpublic or insider information among participants
The commercialization of sensitive national economic data
The potential for market-driven distortions
Given the significance of inflation in Argentina, this further intensified regulatory alarm.
How global expansion fuels local regulatory pushback
Polymarket’s international prominence is precisely what makes it impossible for regulators to ignore. As the platform expands:
User participation surges
Transaction volumes and capital inflows increase
Public visibility and political attention intensify
An initiative once seen as an innovative venture now appears to be an unregulated betting system that operates outside oversight. In this dynamic, the platform’s rapid growth brought it into the regulatory spotlight.
A growing pattern of global restrictions
Argentina’s measures do not stand alone. Comparable regulatory actions have taken shape in various regions:
Warnings, limitations or outright bans in select European markets
Regulatory interventions across parts of Latin America
Ongoing legal and compliance discussions in the US
This pattern signals a clear regulatory shift. Scrutiny is moving away from technical architecture and toward functional reality. When platform activities resemble gambling or unregulated financial speculation, authorities are more likely to apply corresponding controls.
The enduring dilemma: Gambling versus financial innovation
Prediction markets inhabit a persistent regulatory gray area. Advocates maintain that they deliver substantial value by:
Enhancing the discovery and aggregation of dispersed information
Offering immediate, market-based reflections of collective expectations
Frequently surpassing the accuracy of conventional polling
Opponents counter that they promote:
Purely speculative wagering
Inadequate protections for participants
Vulnerability to insider advantages or market manipulation
This inherent uncertainty complicates classification and makes it easier for authorities to apply preexisting gambling statutes.
Factors driving greater caution in Latin America
Regions such as Latin America exhibit particular regulatory vigilance due to:
Pronounced economic instability and volatility
Acute sensitivity to financial and macroeconomic data
A strong focus on consumer safeguards
Lower tolerance for unlicensed financial operations
In such contexts, platforms involving real-money stakes, even when presented as predictive “markets,” are more likely to face restrictions.
Did you know? Decentralized prediction platforms often use stablecoins instead of more volatile cryptocurrencies to make outcomes easier to calculate and reduce exposure to price fluctuations during trades.
The striking paradox: a municipal ruling with nationwide effect
Issued by a Buenos Aires city court, the order nonetheless resulted in a nationwide block on Polymarket. This illustrates the realities of digital platforms:
Their services transcend borders
Enforcement occurs locally
Consequences extend nationally
It also explains why users quickly turned to tools like virtual private networks (VPNs), highlighting the practical limits of territorial jurisdiction on an interconnected internet.
Implications for prediction markets going forward
The Polymarket episode in Argentina highlights a critical lesson: Expansion alone does not ensure legitimacy or regulatory tolerance. As these platforms continue to scale, they will face:
Increasing regulatory scrutiny
Growing demands for jurisdictional compliance
Stronger requirements for participant protections
Platforms operating in legal gray areas may ultimately have to choose between formal regulation and persistent barriers.
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Opinion by: Joshua Kim, CEO and founder of DonaFi.
Traditional crowdfunding has always been pitched as a lifeline for creators. For non-fungible token (NFT) artists, most centralized models feel out of sync with reality. Fees are high, visibility is inconsistent and platforms increasingly optimize for momentum rather than need. During a market downturn, when liquidity dries up dramatically, the deck is stacked even higher against artists.
Decentralized crowdfunding ensures a more direct, transparent capital flow onchain from collectors who care about art, as opposed to quick flips. The recent effort led by longtime collector Batsoupyum and curator Lanett Bennett Grant makes the case very well.
Rather than launch a flashy fund or token, they committed to spending 1 Ether (ETH) every week on Ethereum mainnet works from emerging artists, sharing the stories behind each piece and explicitly not flipping for profit. No middlemen or no platform deciding who “deserved” attention. Just consistent, visible support when artists need it most.
When markets crash, artists feel it first
NFT bear markets don’t just reduce floor prices; they erase income for aspiring artists. Many artists rely on primary sales to pay rent, fund new work or stay in the space at all. When speculation collapses, attention moves elsewhere, and artists are often left invisible.
What’s striking about this decentralized crowdfunding effort is how fast others stepped in, despite brutal conditions. Punk6529 matched the weekly ETH pledge. Sam Spratt added $20,000. Bob Loukas followed with another $100,000. Galleries offered exhibitions. Platforms like Foundation committed to features. None of it required permission, approvals or centralized coordination — it just spread.
That’s the strength of decentralized crowdfunding in downturns. It doesn’t depend on optimism; it depends on conviction.
Crowdfunding without platforms or promises
Everything happens onchain, in public, one purchase at a time. Artists receive direct payment and immediate visibility. Collectors know exactly where funds go. The social layer, stories, context and curation travel alongside the transaction instead of being abstracted away by a platform UI.
Monthly opens create a repeatable pipeline for discovery and support. That matters. One-off gestures help, but sustained visibility plus cash flow is what keeps artists producing through a downturn. This is crowdfunding stripped down to its essentials: capital, trust and consistency.
A network effect, not a charity
What makes this different from patronage is that it’s networked. Each participant amplifies the others. Collectors don’t replace markets; they stabilize them. Artists aren’t boxed into charity narratives; they’re valued for their work. Platforms and galleries don’t compete with the effort; they actually extend it.
Decentralized crowdfunding works here because it aligns incentives without forcing them. No one is locked in. No one is promised upside, yet the result is tangible support, fast.
The importance of this model in 2026
This isn’t about saving NFTs; it’s about proving that decentralized capital still functions when markets are cold. When speculation leaves, what remains is community, transparency and conviction. That’s exactly what artists need right now.
If the next phase of NFTs is going to mean anything, it won’t be built on hype cycles or centralized gatekeeping. It will be built on collectors showing up consistently, using onchain tools to move money directly to creators and telling their stories along the way.
Decentralized crowdfunding won’t fix every problem artists face. In a downturn, however, it’s already doing something far more important: keeping artists alive in the ecosystem when everything else goes quiet.
Opinion by: Joshua Kim, CEO and founder of DonaFi.
This opinion article presents the author’s expert view, and it may not reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. This content has undergone editorial review to ensure clarity and relevance. Cointelegraph remains committed to transparent reporting and upholding the highest standards of journalism. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research before taking any actions related to the company.
