BNB Chain rolls out eight ecosystem campaigns with $88,000 in rewards through March 3, as the network battles $219M in recent liquidity outflows.
BNB Chain is distributing $88,000 across eight ecosystem campaigns running February 17 through March 3, timing the Year of the Horse promotion as the network works to stem significant capital outflows.
The initiative spans DappBay-hosted quests involving trading, staking, NFT minting, and prediction markets. Each of the eight participating protocols—including ChainGPT, Four.meme, and Predict.fun—is offering $11,000 prize pools distributed via raffle to users completing on-chain tasks.
Campaign Breakdown
The requirements vary considerably across platforms. Four.meme demands just $48 in meme token trading volume for raffle entry, while Renaiss Protocol splits its pool between traders completing buy/sell tasks ($120 per winner) and users purchasing limited Lunar New Year gacha packs ($100 per winner).
ChainGPT’s campaign pushes users toward its staking and AI development tools—participants must gift at least 10 CGPT tokens, stake 1+ CGPT, and deploy a smart contract via the platform’s AI Hub. Predict.fun requires a minimum $5 prediction market order.
Winner counts range from 100 (Renaiss) to 2,200 (SUPERFORTUNE and Audiera), meaning individual reward sizes span roughly $5 to $120 depending on the campaign.
Timing Raises Questions
The promotional push comes during a rough stretch for BNB Chain. Data from February shows the network lost $219 million in net liquidity over the past three months—the second-largest outflow among major chains, trailing only Arbitrum. The broader BNB Chain sector dropped 17.3% earlier this month, erasing $29.7 billion in market value during a period of extreme fear sentiment.
BNB itself has held relatively steady, trading at $621.31 as of February 11 with a $128.26 billion market cap. But ecosystem activity tells a different story.
Renaiss Protocol, one of the campaign participants, recently showcased physical collectibles worth over $15 million at Consensus Hong Kong 2026—a sign that some BNB Chain projects are doubling down on real-world utility plays even as speculative capital exits.
What Traders Should Know
These campaigns aren’t free money. Most require wallet connections, token purchases, or minimum trading volumes that carry their own costs and risks. The raffle structure means completing tasks guarantees nothing—Four.meme’s 440 winner slots from potentially thousands of participants illustrates the odds.
For BNB Chain, the $88,000 spend is modest marketing. Whether it moves the needle on those outflow numbers by March 3 will say more about ecosystem health than the campaigns themselves.
Bitcoin remains under pressure as bears are selling on rallies near the $74,508 resistance
The bears are mounting a solid defense in several major altcoins at higher levels, indicating a negative sentiment.
Bitcoin (BTC) has started the new week on a cautious note as bulls attempt to maintain the price above $67,500. Investors are not rushing in to buy the dip, as seen from the $133.3 million in outflows from BTC exchange-traded products last week. The total outflows from crypto investment products have risen to $3.8 billion over the past four weeks, according to a CoinShares update on Monday.
If BTC ends the month below $79,500, it will record its first-ever consecutive negative monthly closing in January and February. With a more than 22% loss, BTC is staring at its worst first-quarter performance since the 49.7% loss in 2018, per CoinGlass data.
Crypto market data daily view. Source: TradingView
Despite BTC’s weak performance and uncertain near-term direction, Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor indicated in a post on X that the company is buying more BTC. That will be Strategy’s 99th BTC transaction, showing its long-term bullish view remains intact.
Could BTC and the major altcoins defend the support levels and start a strong relief rally? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
S&P 500 Index price prediction
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is witnessing a tough battle between the bulls and the bears at the support line of the ascending channel pattern.
The moving averages are on the verge of a bearish crossover, and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the negative territory, indicating that the bears are making a comeback. The index may start a deeper correction to 6,720 and then to solid support at 6,550 if the price breaks below the 6,780 level.
Buyers will have to propel the price above the 7,002 level to retain control. If they manage to do that, the index may resume its uptrend and surge toward the 7,290 level.
US Dollar Index price prediction
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been trading below the moving averages, but the bears have failed to challenge the 96.21 to 95.55 support zone.
The bulls will try to strengthen their position by pushing the price above the moving averages. If they can pull it off, the index may rally to 99.49 and then to the overhead resistance at 100.54.
Contrarily, if the price turns down sharply from the moving averages, it suggests that the bears continue to sell on rallies. The index may the next leg of the downtrend on a close below the 95.55 support.
Bitcoin price prediction
Sellers are attempting to halt BTC’s recovery near $71,000, indicating that the bears remain sellers on rallies.
The sellers will have to pull the price below the $65,000 level to remain in command. The BTC/USDT pair may then retest the critical $60,000 level. If the $60,000 support cracks, the next stop is likely to be $52,500.
Buyers will have to drive the Bitcoin price above the breakdown level of $74,508 to signal that the bearish momentum is weakening. The pair may then surge toward the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($83,910), where the bears are expected to mount a strong defense.
Ether price prediction
Ether (ETH) once again turned down from the $2,111 level on Sunday, indicating that the bears are fiercely defending the level.
Sellers will attempt to pull the price below the immediate support at $1,897. If they do that, the ETH/USDT pair may drop to the $1,750 level. Buyers are expected to defend the $1,750 level with all their might, as a close below it may sink the pair to $1,537.
Instead, if the Ether price turns up and breaks above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($2,221), it signals that the selling pressure is reducing. The pair may then rally to the 50-day SMA ($2,744).
BNB price prediction
BNB’s (BNB) relief rally fizzled out at $642 on Sunday, indicating that the bears are selling on every minor rise.
The bears will attempt to increase their hold by pulling the BNB price below the $570 level. If they manage to do that, the BNB/USDT pair may extend its decline to psychological support at $500.
The bulls will have to drive the price above the 20-day EMA ($686) to suggest that the bears are losing their grip. The pair may then climb to $730 and subsequently to the 50-day SMA ($817).
XRP price prediction
XRP (XRP) turned up from the support line of the descending channel pattern on Friday and pierced the 20-day EMA ($1.53) on Sunday.
However, the bears successfully defended the breakdown level of $1.61 and pulled the XRP price back below the 20-day EMA. The bulls are unlikely to give up easily and will make another attempt to clear the $1.61 level.
If they succeed, the XRP/USDT pair may rise to the 50-day SMA ($1.81). Such a move suggests that the pair may remain inside the channel for some more time.
Sellers will have to tug the price below the support line to gain the upper hand. The pair may then retest the Feb. 6 low of $1.11.
Solana price prediction
Buyers are attempting to push Solana (SOL) back above the breakdown level of $95, but the bears have held their ground.
The Solana price may trade inside the $76 to $95 range for some time. Such a move increases the likelihood of an upside breakout. The SOL/USDT pair may then rally toward $117.
This positive view will be negated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the $76 support. The pair may then retest the Feb. 6 low of $67, where the buyers are expected to step in.
The 20-day EMA ($0.10) is flattening out, and the RSI is just below the midpoint, signaling a possible range-bound action in the near term. The DOGE/USDT pair may swing between $0.08 and $0.12 for a few days.
Buyers will gain the upper hand on a close above the $0.12 resistance. That opens the doors for a rally to $0.16. Alternatively, the advantage will tilt in favor of the bears on a close below $0.08. The Dogecoin price may then slump to $0.06.
Cardano price prediction
Cardano’s (ADA) relief rally reached the 20-day EMA ($0.29) on Saturday, which is expected to act as a stiff hurdle.
If the bulls do not give up much ground to the bears, the possibility of a break above the 20-day EMA increases. That suggests the ADA/USDT pair may remain inside the descending channel for some more time. A break and close above the downtrend line signals a potential short-term trend change.
Sellers will have to pull the Cardano price below the support line to extend the downward move toward the next support at $0.20.
Bitcoin Cash price prediction
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) surged above the 20-day EMA ($544) on Friday, indicating that the bears are losing their grip.
The recovery is facing resistance at the 50-day SMA ($578), but a positive sign is that the bulls have not allowed the Bitcoin Cash price to slip back below the 20-day EMA. That increases the likelihood of the continuation of the relief rally. If buyers pierce the 50-day SMA, the BCH/USDT pair may reach $600.
Sellers will have to swiftly yank the price below the 20-day EMA to apply pressure on the bulls. The pair may then skid to the $500 support.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
South Korea is transitioning crypto market surveillance to AI-driven systems, in which algorithms automatically detect suspicious trading activity, replacing manual processes.
The new detection model employs a sliding-window grid search technique, scanning overlapping time segments to spot abnormal patterns such as unusual volume surges.
Through 2026, the Financial Supervisory Service plans to enhance AI capabilities with tools to detect coordinated trading account networks and trace manipulation funding sources.
Regulators are exploring proactive intervention measures, such as temporary transaction or payment suspensions, to freeze suspicious activity early and prevent the withdrawal of illicit gains.
South Korea is advancing its cryptocurrency market oversight by shifting to AI-driven surveillance. Algorithms now perform the initial detection of suspicious activities instead of relying solely on human investigators.
As crypto trading grows faster, more decentralized and increasingly difficult to monitor manually, regulators are leveraging artificial intelligence to identify irregularities and anomalies more quickly.
Central to this evolution is the Financial Supervisory Service’s (FSS) enhanced Virtual Assets Intelligence System for Trading Analysis (VISTA). This upgrade reflects the recognition that traditional, manual, case-by-case probes can no longer keep pace with today’s dynamic digital asset markets.
This article explains how South Korea’s financial regulators are using upgraded AI systems to automatically detect crypto market manipulation, improve surveillance, analyze trading patterns and plan advanced tools. It also explores faster intervention and alignment of crypto oversight with broader financial markets.
Why South Korea is enhancing its crypto monitoring tools
Crypto markets produce massive volumes of data across exchanges, tokens and timelines. Manipulative tactics such as pump-and-dump schemes, wash trading or spoofing often create sudden bursts that are difficult to detect. Manually identifying suspicious periods in crypto activity has become increasingly challenging at the current market scale. As interconnected trading patterns grow more intricate, automated systems are designed to continuously scan and flag potential issues.
This automation aligns with Korea’s broader effort to strengthen oversight of digital markets, particularly as crypto has become more deeply integrated with retail investors and the overall financial system.
What VISTA does and how the recent upgrade improves it
VISTA serves as the FSS’s primary platform for examining unfair trading in digital assets. In its earlier version, analysts had to specify suspected manipulation time frames before running analyses, which restricted the detection range.
The recent upgrade adds an automated detection algorithm that can independently pinpoint potential manipulation periods without manual input. The system now searches the entire data set, enabling investigators to review suspicious intervals that might otherwise go unnoticed.
According to the regulator, the system successfully identified all known manipulation periods in internal tests using completed investigation cases. It also flagged additional intervals that had been difficult to detect using traditional methods.
Did you know? Some crypto exchanges process more individual trades in a single hour than traditional stock exchanges handle in an entire trading day, making continuous automated surveillance essential for regulators seeking to monitor real-time risks.
How the automated detection operates
Applying a sliding-window grid search approach, the algorithm divides trading data into overlapping time segments of varying durations. It then assesses these segments for anomalies.
The model scans every possible sub-period, identifying patterns associated with manipulation without requiring investigators to determine where misconduct may have occurred. Examples of such patterns include sharp price spikes followed by rapid reversals or unusual volume surges.
Rather than supplanting human oversight, the model prioritizes high-risk segments, enabling teams to focus on critical windows instead of manually reviewing the entire data set.
Did you know? In crypto markets, price manipulation can sometimes occur in windows lasting less than five minutes, a time frame too short for most human-led monitoring systems to catch reliably.
Upcoming AI enhancements through 2026
The FSS has secured funding for phased AI improvements through 2026. Key planned features include:
Tools designed to identify networks of coordinated trading accounts: These systems aim to detect clusters of accounts acting in sync, a common feature of organized manipulation schemes.
Large-scale analysis of trading-related text across thousands of crypto assets: By examining abnormal promotional activity or narrative spikes alongside market data, regulators hope to better understand how attention shocks and price movements interact.
Tracing the origin of funds used in manipulation: Linking suspicious trades to funding sources could strengthen enforcement cases and reduce the ability of bad actors to obscure their tracks.
Did you know? Early market surveillance algorithms in traditional finance were originally designed to detect insider trading in equities, not crypto. Many of today’s tools are adaptations of models built decades ago for stock exchanges.
Shift toward proactive intervention in South Korea
South Korea’s AI surveillance push seeks quicker responses. The Financial Services Commission is considering a payment suspension mechanism that could temporarily block transactions linked to suspected manipulation.
This approach aims to prevent gains from being withdrawn or laundered early. While not yet finalized, it suggests a shift by regulators from reactive to preventive enforcement.
Preemptive actions raise important governance questions around thresholds, oversight and the risk of false positives, issues regulators will need to address carefully.
This crypto-focused initiative parallels efforts in conventional capital markets. The Korea Exchange is implementing an AI-based monitoring system to identify stock manipulation earlier. The idea is to create a unified approach across asset classes, combining trading data, behavioral cues and automated risk assessment.
Strengths and limitations of AI surveillance
AI-based systems are adept at spotting repetitive, pattern-driven misconduct such as wash trading or coordinated price spikes. They enhance consistency by flagging suspicious behavior even when it occurs in small or short-lived windows.
For exchanges, AI-driven oversight raises expectations around data quality and monitoring capabilities. It also increases cooperation with regulators. With AI models, surveillance becomes continuous rather than episodic.
Traders and issuers should expect greater scrutiny of subtle manipulative patterns that previously evaded attention. While detection begins algorithmically, real-world penalties remain significant.
But automated surveillance has certain limitations. Cross-venue manipulation, off-platform coordination and subtle narrative engineering remain difficult to detect. AI models also require regular evaluation to avoid bias, drift or the flagging of legitimate activity.
AI tools support, not replace, human investigators.
Shaping of a new enforcement framework
South Korea’s strategy involves AI models built around continuous monitoring, automated prioritization and swifter action. As these systems evolve, balancing efficiency with transparency, due process and accountability will be key.
The implementation of these models will shape not only Korea’s crypto markets but also how other jurisdictions approach regulating digital assets in an era of algorithmic trading and mass participation.
Cointelegraph maintains full editorial independence. The selection, commissioning and publication of Features and Magazine content are not influenced by advertisers, partners or commercial relationships.
Ray Dalio warned that the post-World War II order has “officially broken down,” with the world now sliding into what he bluntly calls a “law of the jungle” phase, where power, not rules, decides outcomes, and crypto investors are using the moment to renew the case for assets designed to operate outside state control.
In his latest article on X describing both internal and external disorder, the Bridgewater Associates founder wrote that great powers are now locked in a persistent “prisoner’s dilemma.” They must either escalate or look weak across trade, technology, capital flows and, increasingly, military flashpoints, making what he calls “stupid wars” frighteningly easy to trigger.
That external disorder tends to collide with internal stress, Dalio said. When economies are under strain and wealth gaps are wide, governments reliably reach for higher taxes and “big increases in the supply of money” that devalue existing claims rather than pushing explicit defaults.
That combination is exactly the type of environment in which apolitical assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and gold have typically thrived. The pitch from crypto advocates is straightforward: As governments lean more heavily on sanctions, asset freezes and money creation, investors will look harder at assets that can be held and transferred without relying on a bank or a state-backed payments system.
Liquidity data fuels hard assets
Data from Econovis found that global broad money climbed to an estimated $142 trillion in 2025 from $26 trillion in 2000.
Gold prices have also generally tracked the US M2 money supply, reflecting the precious metal’s status as a traditional hedge against monetary expansion.
Dalio’s framework also emphasizes how states use asset freezes, capital market bans and embargoes as standard tactics, showing how dependent traditional savings and payments are on political discretion and jurisdictional risk, and placing the case for an apolitical, borderless money front and center.
Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley captured the crypto community’s thoughts in a single comment, saying, “Is anyone working on global, permissionless, apolitical monetary assets and financial rails?? Could be important.”
Asymmetry made a similar point from the portfolio side, arguing that the setup Dalio is describing, a fracturing world order layered on top of what macro analysts such as Lyn Alden or Luke Gromen call fiscal dominance, where government borrowing needs effectively dictate central bank policy, is among the “most structurally bullish backdrop for hard assets in 80 years.”
Still, Dalio’s warning is not a direct forecast for Bitcoin, and the investment case for crypto remains sensitive to a wide range of factors, including interest rates, regulation, market liquidity and risk appetite. What his latest comments do provide is a clear macro narrative that many in the crypto market are using to argue that demand for “neutral money” could increase as the world becomes more fractured.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
The crypto industry and investors are awaiting the completion of the US CLARITY Act, which has been delayed amid partisan politics and industry concerns.
The bill would rewrite the rules of the road for the crypto industry, from which agency oversees it to regulations for decentralized finance (DeFi).
Currently, lawmakers in the US Senate are hammering out the details, with significant points of contention. Democrats want a bipartisan bill with ethics provisions and a bailout prohibition that Republicans roundly rejected.
The crypto industry itself has taken issue with some of the provisions. Namely, Coinbase, the largest crypto exchange in the US, doesn’t want a bill that prevents it from offering stablecoin yields. The US bank lobby opposes such yields, saying they threaten deposits and the stability of the financial system.
The bill has gone through several iterations. Here’s a look at how far it’s come:
May 2025: CLARITY comes to Washington
House Committee on Financial Services Chairman French Hill first introduced the CLARITY Act on May 29, 2025.
The goal of the bill, according to the committee, was to establish “clear, functional requirements for digital asset market participants, prioritizing consumer protection while fostering innovation.”
The committee said the bill was needed for several reasons, mainly that digital assets represented the next step in digital financial innovation and that the regulatory status quo was stifling possibilities.
June-July 2025: House passes crypto bill
The House of Representatives moved with uncharacteristic speed on the CLARITY Act. In June, the bill moved through markup sessions in the House committees on agriculture and financial services and was placed on the calendar for a vote on the floor by June 23.
On July 17, the House of Representatives passed the bill, 294-134. The vote found more support among Republicans. Some 216 Republicans supported the bill, none opposed, while four abstained from voting.
There was some bipartisan support: 78 Democrats joined in voting “Yea,” while most of them, 134 Democratic Representatives, voted “Nay.” No Democrats abstained from voting.
The CLARITY Act had some bipartisan support: Source: US Congress
With the vote, the bill moved to the upper house, the US Senate, where it has since been under debate.
July-September 2025: Senate starts work
The Senate quickly got underway with work on CLARITY. On July 22, Republican leaders on the US Senate Banking Committee released a draft version of the bill.
The discussion draft would “establish clear distinctions between digital asset securities and commodities, modernize our regulatory framework, and position the United States as the global leader in digital asset innovation.”
Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott was optimistic about the Senate moving just as quickly as the House, giving an initial deadline of Sept. 30, 2025.
October-December 2025: Senators at odds during government shutdown
Democrats on the Senate Banking Committee, including noted cryptocurrency skeptic Senator Elizabeth Warren, were opposed to several parts of the discussion draft.
Warren took issue with how taxes would be treated under the law, saying in a statement that “proposals to clarify crypto’s tax treatment could ultimately give crypto an unfair advantage over other financial products.”
She also said that the proposals “make it harder to track what’s happening in crypto transactions if they are being used for illegal purposes.”
Senate Democrats also came up with their own proposals on how the bill would regulate DeFi. According to partners at Skadden Arps Slate Meagher & Flom, these DeFi rules sought to “leverage existing regulatory frameworks to create a crypto market structure and show Congress’ instinct to retrofit the current system rather than design one built for crypto.”
This was diametrically opposed to Republicans’ and the crypto industry’s vision, which was to create a new, bespoke system for the digital asset industry.
On Nov. 11, 2025, the Senate Agricultural Committee released its own discussion draft of CLARITY. The draft noted that lawmakers were still discussing the idea of which federal agency, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) or the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC), would regulate the industry.
Further hindering progress was the US federal government shutdown from Oct. 1 to Nov. 12 — the longest in history after the previous one that occurred in President Donald Trump’s first term. It only ended after a small group of Senate Democrats voted with Republicans to pass a resolution to temporarily fund the government.
December 2025-January 2026: Markup session, crypto industry gets impatient
Senator Cynthia Lummis predicted in the autumn that the crypto framework law would reach Trump’s desk by New Year’s Eve. As the year 2025 drew to a close, this seemed less likely.
On Dec. 19, the White House’s crypto and AI czar, David Sacks, said that, after a meeting with top senators working on CLARITY, there would be a markup session in January.
However, the planned markup session in the Senate Banking Committee was postponed amid substantive disagreements about the bill from the crypto industry lobby and the banking industry.
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said they couldn’t support the bill due to its provisions banning interest-bearing stablecoins, as well as positioning the SEC as the main crypto industry regulator.
Other financial bigwigs like David Solomon, CEO of Goldman Sachs, agreed with Armstrong, saying that the bill “has a long way to go.”
Work on the law did not stop completely. The Senate Agriculture Committee announced that it would have its own markup session on Jan. 27. Committee Democrats attempted to make amendments to the bill, including an ethics provision banning Congress from trading crypto, as well as ruling out any possibility of the government bailing out crypto.
These votes failed along party lines, and the Republican majority advanced the bill to the Senate floor.
February 2026: High-level talks at the White House, political maneuvers
Crypto industry executives, lawmakers and bankers are now meeting frequently at the White House and in the halls of Congress to figure out a solution to their differences. The Digital Chamber of Commerce said that a meeting on Feb. 3 focused on stablecoin yields.
“Clear, bipartisan momentum remains behind sensible crypto market structure legislation. We should move now — while the window is still open,” he said.
Market analyst Michaël van de Poppe said, “I think if the bill were approved in its current form, it would have had a very bad impact on the markets in general. So, now, all the parties are aligned to continue the discussion. It reminds me a lot of the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulations in Europe.”
Many are eager to seal the deal before the midterm elections. The crypto lobby has been building its political machine through donations to political action committees (PACs). Both Republican and Democratic members of Congress are reportedly eager to pass something favorable before the 2026 campaign cycle begins and crypto PACs decide who to support.
Crypto’s strong support in the Republican Party could also prove a liability as the party loses popularity. Midterm elections historically go against the sitting president’s party, and in one year, the crypto lobby could be stuck with a lame-duck president and lukewarm support among a Democrat majority.
The success of CLARITY could end up being a race against the clock.
Cointelegraph Features and Cointelegraph Magazine publish long-form journalism, analysis and narrative reporting produced by Cointelegraph’s in-house editorial team and selected external contributors with subject-matter expertise. All articles are edited and reviewed by Cointelegraph editors in line with our editorial standards. Contributions from external writers are commissioned for their experience, research or perspective and do not reflect the views of Cointelegraph as a company unless explicitly stated. Content published in Features and Magazine does not constitute financial, legal or investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals where appropriate. Cointelegraph maintains full editorial independence. The selection, commissioning and publication of Features and Magazine content are not influenced by advertisers, partners or commercial relationships.
Crypto exchange Binance pushed back against a recent report by Fortune, rejecting allegations that it enabled sanctions-violating transactions tied to Iran and fired compliance investigators who raised concerns.
Fortune reported Friday that internal investigators at Binance discovered more than $1 billion in transfers linked to Iranian entities moving through the platform between March 2024 and August 2025. The transactions were said to involve Tether’s USDt (USDT) stablecoin on the Tron blockchain.
Citing unidentified sources, the report claimed that at least five investigators, several with law-enforcement backgrounds, were later fired after documenting the activity. The outlet also reported that additional senior compliance staff had departed the company in recent months.
Binance disputed the characterization in a formal response. “This is categorically false. No investigator was dismissed for raising compliance concerns or for reporting potential sanctions issues as there are no violations,” the exchange wrote in an email shared by CEO Richard Teng.
Binance’s response to Fortune report. Source: Richard Teng
Binance denies sanctions violations after internal review
Binance said it conducted a full internal review with outside legal advice and found no evidence it had violated applicable sanctions laws in connection with the referenced activity. It also rejected the suggestion that the exchange failed to meet its regulatory obligations under ongoing oversight.
The dispute lands as Binance remains under heightened scrutiny since its 2023 settlement with US authorities in which it agreed to pay $4.3 billion for Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and sanctions violations. Founder Changpeng Zhao stepped down as CEO and later served a four-month prison sentence. Binance also agreed to being monitored and pledged to strengthen compliance controls.
Binance denied claims it is failing to meet regulatory obligations, saying it continues to cooperate under monitoring and oversight requirements. “The article suggests that Binance is “reneging” on its regulatory obligations. This assertion is false,” the exchange said.
Binance acknowledged Cointelegraph’s request for comment, but had not responded by publication.
A December report by the Financial Times also claimed that Binance allowed a group of suspicious accounts to move significant sums through the exchange even after its US criminal settlement in 2023. Internal data reviewed by the publication showed 13 such user accounts had about $1.7 billion in transactions since 2021, including about $144 million after the plea agreement.
“We take compliance seriously and reject the framing of the Financial Times report,” a Binance spokesperson told Cointelegraph at the time, adding that all transactions are assessed “based on information available at the time,” and that none of the wallets referenced were sanctioned when the activity referenced occurred.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
While specific analyst predictions are limited for the current market conditions, historical forecasts from January 2026 provide context for AAVE’s potential trajectory. Caroline Bishop previously suggested AAVE could reach the $190-195 range, though current technical conditions indicate a more conservative near-term outlook.
According to on-chain data platforms, DeFi tokens like Aave have shown resilience during market consolidations, with institutional adoption of decentralized lending protocols continuing to drive long-term value accrual. The current price action suggests AAVE is in a consolidation phase rather than a sustained downtrend.
AAVE Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current AAVE price prediction is supported by several key technical indicators showing mixed but stabilizing conditions. Trading at $127.28, AAVE sits well above its 7-day SMA ($118.89) and 20-day SMA ($123.13), indicating short-term bullish momentum despite recent weakness.
The RSI reading of 47.57 places AAVE in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This neutral positioning often precedes directional moves, making the next few trading sessions critical for determining trend direction.
MACD indicators show bearish momentum with a histogram reading of 0.0000, though the convergence suggests weakening selling pressure. The Bollinger Bands position at 0.58 indicates AAVE is trading in the upper half of its recent range, with the upper band at $150.30 serving as a key resistance target.
Key resistance levels emerge at $130.21 (immediate) and $133.14 (strong), while support is found at $123.48 and $119.68. The daily ATR of $10.48 suggests moderate volatility, providing reasonable risk-reward ratios for swing trades.
Aave Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The bullish AAVE forecast hinges on breaking above the $133.14 resistance level with strong volume. Such a breakout could trigger momentum toward the Bollinger Band upper boundary at $150.30, representing an 18% upside from current levels.
Technical confirmation would require RSI moving above 60 and MACD histogram turning positive. A sustained move above the 50-day SMA at $146.93 would signal a broader trend reversal, potentially targeting the $145-155 range within 4-6 weeks.
The stochastic indicators show %K at 88.17, suggesting short-term overbought conditions that could support a brief pullback before the next leg higher.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case for AAVE centers on a failure to hold the $123.48 support level, which could trigger selling toward the strong support at $119.68. A break below this level would likely test the Bollinger Band lower boundary at $95.95.
Risk factors include continued weakness in the broader DeFi sector and potential regulatory headwinds affecting decentralized lending protocols. The significant distance between current price and the 200-day SMA at $219.37 highlights the longer-term downtrend that remains intact.
Should You Buy AAVE? Entry Strategy
For the current AAVE price prediction scenario, a layered entry approach appears most prudent. Initial positions could be established near current levels ($127-128) with additional accumulation on any pullback to the $123-125 support zone.
Stop-loss levels should be set below $119.68 to limit downside risk, representing approximately 6-7% from current entry points. Take-profit targets can be set at $133.14 (first resistance) and $145-150 for the broader recovery target.
Risk management suggests position sizing of no more than 2-3% of portfolio value given the current consolidation phase and mixed technical signals.
Conclusion
The AAVE price prediction suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook with targets of $133-145 over the next 4-6 weeks. While technical indicators show mixed signals, the neutral RSI and stabilizing MACD provide a foundation for potential upside moves.
The Aave forecast remains dependent on broader market conditions and the token’s ability to break above key resistance levels with conviction. Traders should monitor volume patterns closely as AAVE attempts to establish a new directional trend.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and prices can be highly volatile. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
While specific analyst predictions from key opinion leaders are limited in recent days, third-party forecasting platforms have provided some insight into LDO’s trajectory. According to CoinCodex’s analysis from January 2026, Lido DAO Token was predicted to reach $0.651700, though this target appears increasingly ambitious given current market conditions.
More recently, Blockchain.News projected an LDO price prediction showing potential 16-23% upside to the $0.66-$0.70 range within 4-6 weeks, though this forecast was made when LDO was trading at higher levels in late December 2025.
According to on-chain data and current market structure, LDO’s liquid staking dominance continues to provide fundamental support, even as token price faces technical headwinds.
LDO Technical Analysis Breakdown
Lido DAO’s technical picture reveals a token under significant pressure, trading at $0.34 with a -3.73% decline over the past 24 hours. The current price action shows LDO testing the lower portion of its recent trading range between $0.33-$0.36.
The RSI reading of 32.50 places LDO in neutral territory but approaching oversold conditions, which historically has provided buying opportunities for the token. However, the MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum remains intact, with the MACD line at -0.0493 sitting below the signal line.
LDO’s position within the Bollinger Bands tells a concerning story, with the token trading at just 0.30 of the band width – significantly closer to the lower band at $0.28 than the upper band at $0.49. This positioning suggests the recent selling pressure has been intense.
The moving average structure confirms the bearish trend, with LDO trading well below all key averages: the 7-day SMA at $0.34 (current support), 20-day SMA at $0.38, 50-day SMA at $0.51, and the critical 200-day SMA at $0.84. This creates a formidable resistance structure for any recovery attempt.
Lido DAO Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
For LDO to stage a meaningful recovery, the token needs to reclaim the immediate resistance at $0.35, followed by the stronger resistance level at $0.37. A successful break above $0.37 would target the 20-day moving average at $0.38, representing a potential 11% gain from current levels.
The bullish case strengthens if LDO can maintain above the $0.33 support level while the RSI moves toward oversold territory below 30, potentially triggering a technical bounce. Volume expansion above the current $2.33 million daily average would provide additional confirmation.
A Lido DAO forecast under this scenario suggests prices could reach $0.40-$0.42 if broader crypto markets provide supportive conditions and liquid staking adoption continues growing.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case for LDO involves a breakdown below the critical $0.32 strong support level, which would likely trigger additional selling toward the Bollinger Band lower boundary at $0.28. Such a move would represent an 18% decline from current prices.
Further deterioration could see LDO testing psychological support at $0.25, especially if broader DeFi tokens face continued pressure or if Ethereum staking dynamics shift unfavorably.
Risk factors include potential regulatory scrutiny of liquid staking protocols, increased competition in the staking space, and overall crypto market weakness that could pressure DeFi tokens disproportionately.
Should You Buy LDO? Entry Strategy
For traders considering LDO positions, the current technical setup suggests waiting for clearer directional signals. Conservative buyers might consider dollar-cost averaging between $0.32-$0.34, with strict stop-losses below $0.31.
More aggressive traders could look for a bounce from the $0.33 support level with confirmation from increasing volume and RSI divergence. Entry at current levels around $0.34 offers a reasonable risk-reward ratio targeting $0.37 resistance.
Position sizing should account for LDO’s elevated volatility, with the Average True Range of $0.03 indicating significant daily price swings. Risk management becomes crucial given the token’s position below all major moving averages.
Conclusion
The LDO price prediction for the coming weeks suggests a challenging environment with potential for limited upside recovery. While the token faces significant technical headwinds with bearish momentum and unfavorable moving average structure, oversold conditions may provide near-term bounce opportunities.
Our base case Lido DAO forecast targets a gradual recovery toward $0.37 over the next 4-6 weeks, contingent on broader market stability and LDO holding above $0.32 support. However, traders should prepare for continued volatility and potential further downside if support levels fail.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are highly speculative and subject to extreme volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
AAVE trades at $129.03 with neutral RSI at 48.60. Technical analysis suggests potential upside to $135-140 range within 4-6 weeks, though bearish MACD signals caution for short-term traders.
While specific analyst predictions are limited for the current period, on-chain data from major platforms suggests mixed sentiment around AAVE’s current price action. According to technical data from exchanges, the token is experiencing consolidation after recent volatility, with trading volume remaining steady at approximately $14.9 million over the past 24 hours.
Market data indicates that institutional interest in DeFi protocols like Aave continues to drive longer-term adoption, though short-term price movements remain heavily influenced by broader cryptocurrency market sentiment and technical trading patterns.
AAVE Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current AAVE price prediction relies heavily on several key technical indicators showing mixed signals. At $129.03, AAVE sits comfortably above its 7-day and 20-day simple moving averages ($117.26 and $124.88 respectively), indicating short-term bullish momentum despite recent consolidation.
The RSI reading of 48.60 places AAVE in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This neutral positioning often precedes significant price movements in either direction, making the next few trading sessions critical for determining trend direction.
The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum, with the MACD line (-8.9463) matching the signal line exactly. This convergence often signals potential trend changes, though the negative values suggest underlying bearish pressure remains present.
Bollinger Bands analysis shows AAVE trading at 0.57 position between the bands, with the upper band at $156.27 and lower band at $93.48. This positioning suggests room for upward movement before reaching overbought territory.
The Stochastic oscillator presents a more bullish picture, with %K at 92.57 indicating strong upward momentum, though this reading also suggests the token may be approaching overbought levels in the short term.
Aave Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The Aave forecast turns optimistic if AAVE breaks above the immediate resistance at $132.10. A successful break of this level would likely target the strong resistance at $135.18, representing approximately 5% upside from current levels.
Beyond $135.18, the next major target aligns with the Bollinger Band upper limit around $156, though reaching this level would require significant volume and broader market support. The bullish case strengthens if AAVE can maintain above the 20-day SMA of $124.88 while building volume on any upward moves.
Technical confirmation for the bullish scenario would include RSI breaking above 60, MACD histogram turning positive, and sustained trading above $132 for multiple sessions.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish AAVE price prediction scenario activates if support at $125.83 fails to hold. A break below this level would likely test the strong support at $122.64, representing potential downside of approximately 5%.
More concerning would be a break below the 7-day SMA at $117.26, which could signal a return to lower trading ranges and test the psychological $100 level. The current MACD negative reading supports this bearish potential, especially if broader cryptocurrency markets face headwinds.
Risk factors include the significant gap between current price and longer-term moving averages (50-day SMA at $147.52 and 200-day SMA at $220.06), indicating AAVE remains well below its longer-term trend.
Should You Buy AAVE? Entry Strategy
Based on current technical levels, the optimal entry strategy for AAVE involves waiting for clear directional confirmation. Conservative buyers should consider entries near the $125.83 support level with stop-losses placed below $122.64.
More aggressive traders might consider buying any dip toward $128.91 (pivot point) with targets at $132.10 and $135.18. However, the mixed technical signals suggest position sizing should remain modest until clearer trends emerge.
Risk management remains crucial given AAVE’s daily ATR of $10.69, indicating significant volatility potential. Traders should avoid overleveraging and maintain strict stop-loss discipline given the current technical uncertainty.
Conclusion
The AAVE price prediction for the coming weeks suggests cautious optimism with upside potential to the $135-140 range, contingent on breaking immediate resistance levels. While technical indicators show mixed signals, the neutral RSI and consolidation pattern suggest AAVE may be preparing for its next significant move.
Investors should monitor the $132.10 resistance break as a key catalyst for the bullish scenario, while remaining aware that failure to hold $125.83 support could trigger deeper retracement. The Aave forecast remains constructive for patient investors, though short-term traders should exercise caution given current market conditions.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
LDO trades at $0.35 with neutral RSI at 34.08. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $0.42 resistance level within 4-6 weeks amid bearish MACD signals.
Lido DAO (LDO) is currently navigating a consolidation phase at $0.353979, showing mixed technical signals that suggest cautious optimism for the coming weeks. With the token trading significantly below its major moving averages, our LDO price prediction focuses on potential recovery scenarios and critical levels to watch.
While specific analyst predictions for LDO are limited in recent days, historical forecasts provide some context for the current market environment. CoinCodex previously projected Lido DAO could reach $0.651700 by early January 2026, while analyst James Ding suggested potential upside to the $0.66-$0.70 range within 4-6 weeks during late December 2025.
However, these earlier predictions haven’t materialized as LDO continues to trade well below these targets. According to on-chain data, the token faces significant resistance levels that align more closely with current technical indicators than these optimistic forecasts.
LDO Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current technical picture for Lido DAO presents a mixed but gradually improving scenario. With an RSI of 34.08, LDO sits in neutral territory, suggesting the token is neither oversold nor overbought at current levels.
The MACD indicator shows bearish momentum with a histogram reading of 0.0000, indicating minimal directional bias. The MACD line at -0.0501 matches the signal line, suggesting potential for trend reversal if buying pressure emerges.
LDO’s position within the Bollinger Bands reveals interesting dynamics. Trading at 33.22% of the band range, the token sits closer to the lower band ($0.27) than the upper band ($0.52), indicating potential for mean reversion toward the middle band at $0.39.
Key resistance levels emerge at $0.36 (immediate) and $0.37 (strong), while support holds at $0.35 (immediate) and $0.34 (strong). The 7-day SMA at $0.35 currently aligns with the spot price, suggesting short-term equilibrium.
Lido DAO Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish case for our Lido DAO forecast, LDO could target the EMA 12 level at $0.37 as the first milestone. Breaking above this level with sustained volume could open the path toward the 20-day SMA at $0.39, representing a 10% upside from current levels.
The ultimate bullish target lies at the Bollinger Band upper limit of $0.52, which would require breaking through multiple resistance layers. Such a move would represent a 48% gain and would likely coincide with broader market recovery or positive developments in the liquid staking sector.
Technical confirmation for the bullish scenario would require the RSI to break above 50 and the MACD histogram to turn positive, indicating genuine momentum shift.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case centers around the significant gap between current price and major moving averages. With the 200-day SMA at $0.85 – more than double the current price – LDO faces substantial overhead resistance.
Immediate downside risk targets the strong support at $0.34. A break below this level could accelerate selling toward the Bollinger Band lower limit at $0.27, representing a 23% decline from current levels.
The bearish scenario would likely unfold if broader crypto markets face headwinds or if Ethereum staking rewards continue to compress, reducing demand for liquid staking tokens.
Should You Buy LDO? Entry Strategy
For traders considering LDO positions, the current level around $0.35 offers a reasonable risk-reward setup. The proximity to the 7-day SMA and neutral RSI reading suggest limited immediate downside risk.
A conservative entry strategy would involve scaling into positions between $0.34-$0.35, with stop-losses placed below the strong support at $0.34. This approach limits downside risk to approximately 3-4% while maintaining upside potential to resistance levels.
More aggressive traders might wait for confirmation above $0.37 before entering, accepting higher entry prices in exchange for technical confirmation of upward momentum.
Position sizing should remain conservative given the token’s distance from major moving averages and the mixed technical signals currently present.
Conclusion
Our LDO price prediction suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for the next 4-6 weeks, with potential for recovery to the $0.42-$0.45 range representing the EMA 26 and middle-term resistance levels. The neutral RSI and balanced MACD signals provide room for upward movement, though traders should remain mindful of the broader bearish context reflected in the moving average structure.
The confidence level for this Lido DAO forecast remains moderate at approximately 60%, given the mixed technical signals and lack of clear directional catalysts in the immediate term.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
