Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the world’s largest public holder of Bitcoin, sold a record amount of its perpetual preferred equity, Stretch (STRC), after amending its sales rules on Monday.
Strategy is estimated to have bought 1,420 Bitcoin (BTC) in a single day after selling roughly 2.4 million STRC shares through its at-the-market (ATM) program, according to data from STRC.live. The amount marks the largest estimated daily issuance of STRC and BTC purchases, surpassing the previous record of 1,069 BTC, according to a Monday X post from STRC.live.
Strategy announced a major rule change to its at-the-market (ATM) share sales program on Monday, allowing a second agent to sell the securities before the US market opens and after it closes, easing a prior restriction limiting such sales to one agent per trading day.
STRC sales versus estimated Bitcoin purchases by Strategy. Source: STRC Live
STRC is one of the major pillars of Strategy’s Bitcoin buying
STRC is Strategy’s variable-rate perpetual preferred stock, launched in July 2025 as one of several securities the company uses to help fund its Bitcoin treasury strategy, alongside other ATM programs such as Stride (STRD), Strife (STRF), Strike (STRK) and common stock (MSTR). Strategy says the stock pays monthly variable cash dividends, with the annualized rate for March set at 11.5%.
Some market observers said the updated sales structure could make it easier for Strategy to issue stock more efficiently during premarket and after-hours trading, potentially accelerating future capital raises tied to Bitcoin purchases.
“A lot more capital will be raised, and a lot more Bitcoin will be purchased,” market observer Ragnar said.
According to STRC.live, last week’s estimate suggested STRC proceeds would fund a weekly purchase of approximately 4,300 BTC ($303 million). However, the actual purchase exceeded expectations, as Strategy reported selling around $378 million in STRC in its filing with the SEC on Monday.
The company reported a massive $1.3 billion BTC purchase, marking one of its largest Bitcoin acquisitions on record. Common stock MSTR accounted for the largest proceeds in reported sales, generating nearly $900 million in proceeds.
The results for STRC underscore ongoing rapid acceleration in investor interest, despite the Bitcoin price trading below Strategy’s reported average cost basis of $75,862.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
BIP-360 formally puts quantum resistance on Bitcoin’s road map for the first time. It represents a measured, incremental step rather than a dramatic cryptographic overhaul.
Quantum risk primarily targets exposed public keys, not Bitcoin’s SHA-256 hashing, making public key exposure the central vulnerability developers aim to reduce.
BIP-360 introduces Pay-to-Merkle-Root (P2MR), which removes Taproot’s key path spending option and forces all spends through script paths to minimize elliptic curve exposure.
Smart contract flexibility remains intact, as P2MR still supports multisig, timelocks and complex custody structures via Tapscript Merkle trees.
Bitcoin was built to withstand hostile economic, political and technical scenarios. As of March 10, 2026, its developers are preparing to confront an emerging threat: quantum computing.
The recent publication of Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 360 (BIP-360) officially adds quantum resistance to Bitcoin’s long-term technical road map for the first time. While some headlines portray it as a dramatic shift, the reality is far more measured and incremental.
This article explores how BIP-360 introduces Pay-to-Merkle-Root (P2MR) to reduce Bitcoin’s quantum exposure by removing Taproot key path spending. It explains what the proposal improves, what trade-offs it introduces and why it does not yet make Bitcoin fully post-quantum secure.
Why quantum computing poses a risk to Bitcoin
For security, Bitcoin depends on cryptography, primarily the Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithm (ECDSA) and Schnorr signatures introduced via Taproot. Regular computers cannot realistically derive a private key from a public key. However, a powerful quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm could break elliptic curve discrete logarithms, exposing those keys.
Key distinctions include:
Quantum attacks hit public-key cryptography hardest, not hashing.
Bitcoin’s SHA-256 remains relatively strong against quantum methods. Grover’s algorithm only provides a quadratic speedup, not an exponential one.
The real risk appears when public keys become exposed on the blockchain.
This is why the community focuses on public key exposure as the primary quantum risk vector.
Bitcoin’s vulnerabilities in 2026
Not every address type in the Bitcoin network faces the same level of future quantum threat:
Reused addresses: Spending reveals the public key onchain, leaving it exposed to a future cryptographically relevant quantum computer (CRQC).
Legacy pay to public key (P2PK) outputs: Early Bitcoin transactions directly embedded public keys in transaction outputs.
Taproot key path spends:Taproot (2021) offers two paths: a compact key path (which exposes a tweaked public key on spend) or a script path (which reveals scripts via a Merkle proof). The key path is the main theoretical weak point under a quantum attack.
BIP-360 adds a new output type, Pay-to-Merkle-Root (P2MR), modeled closely on Taproot but with one critical change. It removes the key path spending option entirely.
Instead of committing to an internal public key like Taproot, P2MR commits solely to the Merkle root of a script tree. To spend:
No public key based spending route exists at all.
Eliminating key path spends means:
No public key exposure for direct signature checks.
All spending routes rely on hash-based commitments.
Long-term elliptic curve public key exposure drops sharply.
Hash-based methods are far more resilient to quantum attacks than elliptic curve assumptions. This significantly shrinks the attack surface.
What BIP-360 preserves
A common misconception is that dropping key path spending weakens smart contracts or scripting. It does not. P2MR fully supports:
Multisig setups
Timelocks
Conditional payments
Inheritance schemes
Advanced custody
BIP-360 executes all these functions via Tapscript Merkle trees. While the process retains full scripting capability, the convenient but vulnerable direct signature shortcut disappears.
Did you know? Satoshi Nakamoto briefly acknowledged quantum computing in early forum discussions, suggesting that if it became practical, Bitcoin could migrate to stronger signature schemes. This shows that upgrade flexibility was always part of the design philosophy.
Practical implications of BIP-360
BIP-360 may sound like a purely technical refinement, but its impact would be felt at the wallet, exchange and custody levels. If activated, it would gradually reshape how new Bitcoin outputs are created, spent and secured, especially for users prioritizing long-term quantum resilience.
Wallets could introduce opt-in P2MR addresses (likely starting with “bc1z”) as a “quantum-hardened” choice for new coins or long-term holdings.
Transactions will be slightly larger (more witness data from script paths), potentially raising fees somewhat compared to Taproot key path spends. Security trades off against compactness.
A full rollout would require updates to wallets, exchanges, custodians and hardware wallets. Planning should start years in advance.
Did you know? Governments are already preparing for “harvest now, decrypt later” risks, where encrypted data is stored today in anticipation of future quantum decryption. This strategy mirrors concerns about exposed Bitcoin public keys.
What BIP-360 explicitly does not do
While BIP-360 strengthens Bitcoin in the face of future quantum threats, it is not a sweeping cryptographic overhaul. Understanding its limits is just as important as understanding its innovations:
No automatic upgrade for existing coins: Old unspent transaction outputs (UTXO) remain vulnerable until users manually move funds to P2MR outputs. Migration depends on user behavior.
No new post-quantum signatures: BIP-360 does not replace ECDSA or Schnorr with lattice-based (for example, Dilithium or ML-DSA) or hash-based (for example SPHINCS+) schemes. It only removes the Taproot key path exposure pattern. A full base layer transition to post-quantum signatures would require a much larger change.
No complete quantum immunity: A sudden CRQC breakthrough would still require massive coordination among miners, nodes, exchanges and custodians. Dormant coins could create complex governance issues and network stress could follow.
Why developers are acting now
Quantum progress is uncertain. Some believe it is decades away. Others point to IBM’s late 2020s fault-tolerant goals, Google’s chip advances, Microsoft’s topological research and US government transitions planned for 2030-2035.
Critical infrastructure migrations take many years. Bitcoin’s developers stress planning across BIP design, software, infrastructure and user adoption. Waiting for certainty in quantum progress could leave insufficient time for infrastructure upgrades.
If consensus builds, a phased soft fork could unfold:
Activate the P2MR output type
Wallets, exchanges and custodians add support
Gradual user migration over years
This mirrors the optional then widespread adoption of SegWit and Taproot.
The broader debate around BIP-360
Debate continues on urgency and costs. Questions under discussion include:
Are modest fee increases acceptable for HODLers?
Should institutions lead the migration?
What about coins that never move?
How should wallets signal “quantum safety” without causing unnecessary alarm?
This is an ongoing conversation. BIP-360 advances the discussion but does not close it.
Did you know? The idea that quantum computers could threaten cryptography dates back to 1994, when mathematician Peter Shor introduced Shor’s algorithm, long before Bitcoin existed. Bitcoin’s future quantum planning is essentially a response to a 30-year-old theoretical breakthrough.
What users can do right now
There is no need to panic for now, as quantum threats are not imminent. Prudent steps you might take include:
Never reuse addresses
Stick to up-to-date wallet software
Follow protocol upgrade news
Watch for P2MR support in wallets
Those with large holdings should quietly map exposures and consider contingency plans.
BIP-360: The first step toward quantum resistance
BIP-360 represents Bitcoin’s first concrete step toward reducing its quantum exposure at the protocol level. It redefines how new outputs can be created, minimizes public key leaks and sets the stage for long-term migration planning.
It does not change existing coins automatically, keeps current signatures intact and underscores the need for a careful, coordinated ecosystem-wide effort. True quantum resistance will come from sustained engineering and phased adoption, not a single BIP.
Cointelegraph maintains full editorial independence. The selection, commissioning and publication of Features and Magazine content are not influenced by advertisers, partners or commercial relationships.
Opinion by: Jesus Rodriguez, co-founder of Sentora
If you look at decentralized finance (DeFi) as a stack of computational primitives, it’s remarkably complete — yet fundamentally broken.
We have automated market makers for liquidity, like Uniswap. We have lending markets for capital efficiency, and bridges for cross-chain “packet switching.” Step back and look at the architecture from a systems engineering perspective.
There is a gaping hole where the risk backstop should be.
Insurance is the “missing primitive” of the decentralized web. It is the translation layer that turns scary, opaque technical risk into a legible line item — a number you can compare, hedge and budget for. Without it, we aren’t building a financial system; we’re building a very sophisticated, high-stakes casino.
Insurance hasn’t worked, so far
A lot of chatter has been spent on why onchain insurance hasn’t “mooned” despite billions in total value locked (TVL). Personally, I suspect the failure is structural, not just a “lack of interest.” We’ve been fighting against the physics of risk management.
Most first-generation protocols tried to use DeFi-native assets, like Ether (ETH) or protocol tokens, to insure the very same DeFi stack those assets live in. This is a classic “reflexivity” trap. When a major exploit happens, the entire ecosystem usually suffers a setback. The collateral loses value at the exact moment the payout is triggered. In systems terms, this is a positive feedback loop of failure. It’s like trying to insure a house against fire using a bucket of gasoline. To work, insurance requires uncorrelated capital: assets that don’t care if a specific smart contract gets drained.
Historically, we relied on retail yield farmers to provide “cover.” These users don’t wake up caring about actuarial tables or underwriting. They care about APY and points. This is not the stable, long-term underwriting base that is required to build a multibillion-dollar risk engine. Real insurance requires a “low cost of capital” base — institutional-grade assets that are happy to sit and collect a steady 2%-4% spread without needing to “degenerate” into 100% APY schemes.
The scaling imperative
We’ve spent years obsessing over TVL as the North Star of DeFi. TVL is a vanity metric; it tells you how much capital is sitting in the “danger zone.” The metric we actually need to optimize for — the one that actually measures the maturity of the industry — is total value covered (TVC).
If we have $100 billion in TVL but only $500 million in TVC, the system is effectively 99.5% “naked.” In any traditional engineering discipline, this would be considered a catastrophic failure in safety margins. You wouldn’t fly in a plane that was 0.5% “safety tested.”
The scaling imperative for the next era of DeFi is to bridge this gap. We need a path where TVC scales linearly with TVL. Currently, they are decoupled. TVL grows exponentially based on speculation, while TVC crawls linearly because the “risk markets” are illiquid and manually managed. Scaling DeFi isn’t just about Layer 2 throughput; it’s about “risk throughput.”
Pricing the ghost in the machine
We often talk about risk as an ethereal, spooky thing that happens to other people. In a mature financial system, risk is a commodity. It needs to be assetized.
Think of DeFi insurance as the pricing engine of risk. Currently, when you deposit into a vault, you are consuming a bundle of risks: smart contract risk, oracle risk and economic design risk. These risks are currently unpriced — they are just hidden baggage you carry.
By building a robust insurance primitive, we turn those hidden risks into tradable assets. We move from “I hope this doesn’t break” to “The market says the probability of this breaking is exactly 0.8% per annum, and here is the tokenized instrument that pays out if it does.”
This assetization is powerful because it creates a market signal. If the cost of cover for Protocol A is 5% while Protocol B is 1%, the market has effectively “priced” the security of the code. Insurance isn’t just a safety net; it’s the global oracle for protocol health. It turns “security” from a vague marketing claim into a hard, liquid price.
The dream of programmable insurance
The “end state” of this technology isn’t just a decentralized version of Geico — it’s a transition from legal insurance to computational insurance.
Think about the difference between a traditional legal contract and a smart contract. Traditional insurance involves 40-page PDFs, adjusters and a six-month claims process. It is a “human-in-the-loop” bottleneck.
Programmable insurance is a primitive that can be integrated directly into the transaction stack. It includes granular cover and atomic payouts. You don’t just “insure a protocol” in the abstract. You insure a specific LP position, a specific oracle feed, or even a single high-value transaction. If the state of the blockchain detects an exploit, the payout happens in the same block. There is no “claims department”; there is only “state verification.”
This makes insurance a “first-class citizen” in the code. You can imagine an “Insurance” button on every swap or deposit, much like how you choose “priority gas” today. It becomes a toggle in the UI.
The next wave of DeFi adoption
The real challenge for DeFi adoption isn’t convincing another 1,000 degens to use a bridge; it’s onboarding the fintechs and neobanks.
These entities are already knocking on the door. They are considering the 5% onchain risk-free rates and comparing them to their legacy rails, which are clogged with overheads and rent-seekers. However, for a neobank (think of firms such as Revolut, Chime or Nubank), “The code is the law” is not a valid risk management strategy. Their regulators — and their own risk committees — simply won’t allow it.
For these players, insurance isn’t a “nice to have”; it’s a hard requirement for deployment. They represent the next “trillion-dollar” wave of liquidity, but they are currently standing on the sidelines. They need a “wrapper” that makes DeFi look like a bank account.
If we can provide a robust, programmatically backed insurance layer, we aren’t just protecting degens; we are providing the “regulatory-compliant shield” that allows a neobank to put $1 billion of customer deposits into a lending vault. Insurance is the bridge between “crypto-native” and “global finance.”
We’ve spent the last few years building the “engine” of the new financial system. We have the pistons (liquidity), the transmission (bridges) and the fuel (capital). But we forgot the brakes and the air bags.
Until we solve the insurance primitive, DeFi will remain a niche experiment for the risk tolerant. By shifting our focus from TVL to TVC, moving toward uncorrelated collateral and embracing the “pricing engine” of assetized risk, we can finally turn this experiment into a resilient, global utility.
Strap in. There is a lot of code to write and even more risk to underwrite.
Opinion by: Jesus Rodriguez, co-founder of Sentora.
This opinion article presents the author’s expert view, and it may not reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. This content has undergone editorial review to ensure clarity and relevance. Cointelegraph remains committed to transparent reporting and upholding the highest standards of journalism. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research before taking any actions related to the company.
Curve (CRV) shows technical recovery signs at $0.25 with analyst targets of $0.26-$0.27. Neutral RSI and key support levels suggest 12% upside potential within weeks.
Recent analyst coverage has been cautiously optimistic on Curve’s technical outlook. Lawrence Jengar noted on March 7 that “Curve (CRV) trades at $0.24 with neutral RSI signaling potential recovery. Technical analysis suggests CRV could target $0.27 resistance within two weeks if key support levels hold firm.”
Building on this sentiment, Alvin Lang highlighted on March 8 that “Curve (CRV) shows signs of technical recovery at $0.24 with analyst targets of $0.26-$0.27. Neutral RSI and key support levels suggest potential 12% upside within weeks.”
MEXC News provided the most recent assessment on March 9, stating that “Curve DAO Token (CRV) is showing signs of technical stabilization at current levels… positioned for a potential test of higher resistance zones,” with targets of $0.26–$0.27 by end of March.
The consensus among technical analysts points to a Curve forecast in the $0.26-$0.27 range, representing potential upside of 4-8% from current levels.
CRV Technical Analysis Breakdown
Current technical indicators present a mixed but gradually improving picture for CRV. At $0.25, the token is trading near its pivot point, with the RSI at 49.38 maintaining a neutral stance that leaves room for movement in either direction.
The MACD configuration shows a flat histogram at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has stalled but hasn’t yet turned bullish. This consolidation phase often precedes directional moves, particularly when combined with the current Bollinger Band positioning at 0.73, suggesting CRV is positioned in the upper portion of its recent trading range.
Moving average analysis reveals CRV trading above its short-term SMAs (7-day at $0.24 and 20-day at $0.24) but well below longer-term averages, with the 200-day SMA at $0.47 highlighting the significant distance from previous highs. The 24-hour trading volume of $5.14 million on Binance provides adequate liquidity for breakout scenarios.
Key resistance sits immediately at $0.26, aligning with both the upper Bollinger Band and analyst price targets. Critical support has established at $0.23, representing the strong support level identified in current technical readings.
Curve Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In a bullish breakout scenario, CRV would need to clear the immediate resistance at $0.26 with strong volume confirmation. This level has proven significant as it represents both technical resistance and the convergence of analyst price targets. A decisive break above $0.26 could trigger a move toward $0.27, representing the upper bound of current Curve forecasts.
The bullish case is supported by the neutral RSI leaving room for upward movement and the token’s position above short-term moving averages. Additionally, the stochastic indicators show %K at 61.98, suggesting momentum could build if buying pressure increases.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish scenario would activate if CRV fails to hold the $0.24 immediate support level. A break below this level could lead to a test of the strong support at $0.23, with further downside potentially targeting the lower Bollinger Band at $0.22.
Risk factors include the significant gap to longer-term moving averages and the MACD’s current bearish configuration. The 200-day SMA at $0.47 serves as a reminder of the substantial ground CRV would need to recover to return to previous trading ranges.
Should You Buy CRV? Entry Strategy
For traders considering CRV positions, the current price action suggests a range-bound approach may be most appropriate. Entry points around current levels ($0.25) offer a reasonable risk-reward ratio given the proximity to support levels and analyst targets above.
A conservative entry strategy would involve:
– Initial position at current levels with stop-loss at $0.22 (below strong support)
– Additional accumulation on any dip to $0.24 (immediate support test)
– Take-profit levels at $0.26 (immediate resistance) with partial profit-taking
– Extended target at $0.27 for remaining position
Risk management remains crucial given cryptocurrency volatility, with position sizing appropriate to individual risk tolerance.
Conclusion
The CRV price prediction for the coming weeks points to a potential test of $0.26-$0.27 resistance levels, supported by analyst consensus and current technical positioning. With neutral momentum indicators and established support levels, Curve appears positioned for a measured recovery rather than explosive gains.
While analyst targets suggest 4-8% upside potential, traders should remain mindful that cryptocurrency markets remain inherently volatile. This CRV price prediction should be considered alongside broader market conditions and individual risk management strategies.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are inherently speculative and should not constitute financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
Rising oil prices have not hurt crypto sentiment as buyers attempt to push Bitcoin above $69,000
Buyers are attempting to propel several major altcoins above their overhead resistance levels, indicating demand at lower levels.
A sharp rally in oil prices failed to dent cryptocurrency buyers, who pushed Bitcoin (BTC) above $69,000 at the start of the week. Although the spot BTC exchange-traded funds witnessed outflows on Thursday and Friday, the week saw net inflows of $568.45 million per SoSoValue data. That was the second successive week of net inflows, the first such instance in five months.
While some analysts believe that BTC may have bottomed out, on-chain analyst Willy Woo said in a post on X that BTC was solidly in the middle of a bear market from a long-range liquidity perspective and was forming a bull trap.
Crypto market data daily view. Source: TradingView
Usually, when negative news fails to sink the price to a new low in a bearish trend, it suggests that the selling may be drying up. That doesn’t guarantee a sharp rally in the near term, as markets tend to consolidate in a range for a while before starting the next leg higher.
Could buyers push BTC and major altcoins above their resistance levels? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
S&P 500 Index price prediction
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) closed below the 6,775 level on Friday, indicating that the bears are attempting to take charge.
The moving averages have completed a bearish crossover, and the relative strength index (RSI) has dipped into the negative territory, indicating the path of least resistance is to the downside. The next crucial support to watch out for on the downside is 6,550. If the level cracks, the correction may deepen to 6,147.
Buyers will have to drive the price above the moving averages to signal strength. That improves the prospects of a rally to the 7,290 level.
US Dollar Index price prediction
The US Dollar Index (DXY) is facing resistance near the 99.50 level, but the bulls have kept up the pressure.
The upsloping 20-day exponential moving average (98.17) and the RSI above the 63 level suggest that the bulls are in command. If the price closes above the 99.50 level, the index may retest the critical overhead resistance at the 100.54 level. A close above the 100.54 resistance suggests the start of a new up move.
Sellers will have to tug the price below the moving averages to retain the index inside the 95.50 to 100.54 range.
Bitcoin price prediction
BTC fell below the 20-day EMA ($68,553) on Friday, but the bears could not sink the price below the support line. That suggests demand at lower levels.
If the price maintains above the 20-day EMA, the likelihood of a break above the $74,508 resistance increases. Such a move suggests that the BTC/USDT pair may have bottomed out in the short term. The Bitcoin price may then soar to $84,000, where the bears are expected to mount a strong defense.
This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below the support line. The pair may then drop to the vital support at $60,000.
Ether price prediction
Ether (ETH) broke below the 20-day EMA ($2,018) on Friday, but the bears could not sink the price to the $1,750 level.
That suggests selling dries up at lower levels. The bulls are attempting to push the price back above the 20-day EMA. If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair may climb to the 50-day SMA ($2,249). Sellers will attempt to halt the relief rally at the 50-day SMA, but if the bulls prevail, the pair may jump to $2,600.
Contrary to this assumption, if the Ether price turns down from the $2,111 level and breaks below $1,916, it signals that the pair may remain inside the range for a while longer.
BNB price prediction
BNB (BNB) fell below the 20-day EMA ($633) on Friday, but the bears could not pull the price to the $570 level.
That attracted buyers who are trying to push the price back above the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the BNB/USDT pair may retest the overhead resistance at $670. Sellers are expected to fiercely defend the $670 level, as a close above it opens the doors for a rally to $730 and then $790.
Instead, if the BNB price turns down from the current level or the $670 resistance, it suggests that the range-bound action may continue for a few more days. Sellers will have to yank the pair below the $570 level to start the next leg of the downtrend toward $500.
XRP price prediction
XRP (XRP) has been trading just below the 20-day EMA ($1.39) for several days, indicating that the bulls continue to exert pressure.
A close above the 20-day EMA will be the first sign of strength. The XRP/USDT pair may then rally to the $1.61 level and subsequently to the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern. Buyers will have to break and sustain the XRP price above the downtrend line to signal a short-term trend change.
Conversely, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA and breaks below $1.27, it suggests that the bulls have given up. That may sink the pair to the support line, which is likely to attract buyers.
Solana price prediction
Solana (SOL) has been consolidating between $76 and $95 for several days, indicating a balance between supply and demand.
The flattish 20-day EMA ($85) and the RSI just below the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears.
The next trending move is expected to begin on a close above $95 or below $76. If buyers drive the Solana price above $95, the rally may reach $117. Alternatively, a break and close below $76 suggests that the bears have overpowered the bulls. The SOL/USDT pair may then slump to the Feb. 6 low of $67.
Dogecoin (DOGE) fell below the $0.09 support on Sunday, but the bears could not sustain the lower levels. The bulls bought the dip and are attempting to reclaim the level.
If the relief rally turns down from the 20-day EMA ($0.09), it suggests that the bears remain in control. That heightens the risk of a drop to Feb. 6 low of $0.08.
Buyers are likely to have other plans. They will attempt to push the Dogecoin price above the moving averages. If they can pull it off, the DOGE/USDT pair may surge to the breakdown level of $0.12. Buyers will have to achieve a close above the $0.12 resistance to suggest that the pair may have bottomed out at $0.08.
Cardano price prediction
Cardano (ADA) slipped below the $0.25 support on Sunday, but the bears are struggling to sustain the lower levels.
The bulls will attempt a recovery, which is expected to face selling at the 20-day EMA ($0.27). If the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, the bears will strive to sink the ADA/USDT pair to the support line of the descending channel pattern. If the Cardano price rebounds off the support line with strength, it suggests that the pair may remain inside the channel for some more time.
The bulls will have to drive and maintain the price above the downtrend line to signal a potential short-term trend change.
Bitcoin Cash price prediction
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has been witnessing a tough battle between the bulls and the bears at the $443 level.
The bulls are attempting a relief rally, but the bears are likely to halt any recovery attempt at the 20-day EMA ($478). If the Bitcoin Cash price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, it increases the likelihood of a break below the $443 level.
If that happens, the BCH/USDT pair will complete a bearish head-and-shoulder pattern. That may start a downward move to $375.
Contrarily, a close above the 20-day EMA suggests that the selling pressure is reducing. The pair may then rally to the 50-day SMA ($525).
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
A new United Nations Development Programme report outlines how blockchain can support public systems.
Public institutions are under pressure to modernize faster than their systems were built to handle. In its recent report, New Tech, New Partners: Transforming development in the digital era, the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) outlines a model for using blockchains as part of a broader effort to modernize public systems. The publication showcases over 40 pilot projects around the world that apply blockchain technology to improve transparency, speed and accountability of public systems. This ranges from payment infrastructure and social safety nets to climate finance and community-level funding mechanisms, enabled by fundraising platforms, wallets and digital certificates.
The UNDP uses a pipeline model, which creates purpose-built partnerships that bring governments, blockchain startups and local companies together to solve public sector problems. Institutions get an opportunity to test new tools through small, problem-led initiatives and specific use cases. These tools are implemented on a local level and designed to solve specific problems, such as inefficient payment rails for micro-entrepreneurs or regional ESG control.
In its framework, UNDP treats blockchains as a trusted ledger for coordination and verification. The ability of blockchains to support shared records, traceable transactions and rule-based processes across multiple actors makes them a useful tool for governmental systems. UNDP also makes clear that these benefits are conditional. Poor governance, weak privacy protections and flawed technical design can create serious risks, such as defects in smart contracts or Illicit use of payment systems. The report reaches a pragmatic conclusion: Blockchain can be useful, but only when institutional safeguards are built in from the start and the technology is adopted responsibly with robust oversight.
Central to UNDP’s approach is a commitment to platform-agnostic ways of working, which ensures that no single provider or protocol creates new dependencies, and that the digital infrastructure being built today remains open, interoperable, and genuinely in service of people and public purpose.
The report showcases how blockchains can be used to make public institutions more efficient and transparent, with examples from more than 40 countries across payments, financial access, identity systems and climate-related programs. Examples include projects such as crypto wallets for informal business payments, the use of eco-credit tokens and more. The cases also show how digital tools can help institutions extend services in developing nations, where trust is limited and infrastructure is fragmented.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be taken as, legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph. Cointelegraph does not endorse the content of this article nor any product mentioned herein. Readers should do their own research before taking any action related to any product or company mentioned and carry full responsibility for their decisions. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
The Bitcoin network has just reached 20 million mined coins, leaving just one million Bitcoin to be mined over the next century.
“The market is about to experience something new: A global asset with almost no new supply left,” Energy Co managing partner David Eng said in an X post on Sunday.
On average, about 450 new Bitcoins are mined each day at current rates. This rate halves roughly every four years as a result of the Bitcoin halving. With just 1 million Bitcoin supply left, the last Bitcoin is set to be mined around 2140.
“The one million countdown reinforces everything that’s unique about Bitcoin,” added crypto exchange Swyftx portfolio manager Tommy Rogulj.
“It is a hard-capped, permissionless, and neutral bearer asset operating on a transparent supply curve that cannot be expanded like fiat currencies. This matters in a world that is increasingly succumbing to conflict and tech-driven uncertainty.”
In December, asset management firm Grayscale Investments said that a “digital money system with transparent, predictable, and ultimately scarce supply is a simple idea, but it has rising appeal in today’s economy due to fiat currency tail risks.”
“Non-event, no impact” on BTC’s price: Crypto exec
However, crypto analysts were not convinced the recent milestone would affect Bitcoin’s price.
“Already priced in, markets know the supply growth rate (inflation rate) of BTC with certainty, and it’s already lower than gold,” Capriole Investments founder Charles Edwards told Cointelegraph. “I think it’s a non-event, no impact.”
Zagury shares a similar view to Edwards. “I don’t think the milestone alone moves price in the short term,” Zagury said, adding that “liquidity and macro still dominate.”
“But long term, scarcity plus predictable policy is a powerful combination. Over time, markets tend to reward systems people can trust,” he said.
Bitcoin traded at $68,670 at the time of publication, down around 19% in the past year, according to CoinMarketCap.
What happens once Bitcoin supply stops?
One of the biggest questions among Bitcoiners is what happens once the last Bitcoin is mined in 2140, with some worried that the network’s security could suffer, as miners will no longer be incentivized by new coins.
It is understood that at that point, Bitcoin’s model will shift to transaction fees to incentivize miners to continue securing the network, though there are some concerns that it could lead to higher transaction fees.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
Bitcoin (BTC) traded above $67,000 on Monday after posting its first bullish weekly close in seven weeks. Meanwhile, oil prices surged as the Middle East conflict prompted fears of a major supply shortage.
Key takeaways:
Bitcoin holds firm above $67,000 as oil prices surge to the highest level since 2022.
Analysts warn that the oil supply shock could trigger global inflation concerns.
A bullish inverted hammer on the weekly chart suggests a potential BTC bottom.
Global oil supply shock sparks inflation worries
Data from TradingView showed oil futures rose to $119 per barrel during early Asian trading hours on Monday, as the escalating Middle East conflict raised fears of supply disruptions.
Oil prices per barrel, $. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
The latest surge in oil prices came as Iraq warned that roughly 3 million barrels per day of production could be disrupted due to Iranian threats against tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.
Capital markets commentator The Kobeissi Letter said the world is now experiencing the “largest oil supply shock in history,” losing nearly 20 million barrels of oil supply daily.
Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Despite the exploding oil prices, US President Donald Trump said it’s a “small price” to pay for peace.
“Short-term oil prices, which will drop rapidly when the destruction of the Iran nuclear threat is over, is a very small price to pay for U.S.A., and world, safety and peace.”
Meanwhile, the sharp rise in oil prices and the imminent supply shock has revived global inflation concerns, with markets seeing few chances of rate cuts in 2026.
Polymarket bettors are pricing in a roughly 99% probability that the Federal Reserve leaves rates unchanged at its March 18 meeting, with only about a 27% chance of a 25-basis-point cut in 2026.
Fed interest rate cut odds for March 18 FOMC meeting. Source: Polymarket
Leaving rates unchanged tightens financial conditions, boosts the dollar, and pressures Bitcoin, which often sees short-term volatility as investors rotate capital into safe-haven assets such as gold.
Has Bitcoin price already bottomed?
At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded around $67,000 with little sign of panic selling, suggesting that traders treated the spike as an energy-specific shock rather than a broad risk-off event.
“Bitcoin’s refusal to go down when the rest of the market is burning is one of the strongest indications I’ve seen yet that the bottom could be in,” analyst Brian Brookshiresaid in an X post on Monday, adding:
“If there were even the slightest hint of froth in Bitcoin, it would have panic-sold off 10% into the futures open.”
Despite being rejected from the $74,000 resistance level, the BTC/USD pair still produced the “first positive weekly candle in 7 weeks,” founder and CEO at CoinBureau Nic Puckrin said on Monday.
The price action has also formed an “inverted hammer, which could indicate a potential bullish reversal,” Puckrin added.
BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: Nic Puckrin
An inverted hammer weekly candle is a bullish reversal pattern found at the end of a downtrend. It features a small body at the lower end, little to no lower wick, and a long upper wick at least twice the size of the body. It signals that buyers are challenging sellers, potentially reversing the trend.
Thus, Bitcoin could move higher if this pattern is confirmed by a strong bullish follow-through candle this week, with higher volume to break overhead resistance.
As Cointelegraph reported, spikes in oil prices immediately after conflicts tend to be short-lived, with Bitcoin outperforming over the longer term.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
AAVE trades at $105.64 with RSI at 38.66 showing oversold conditions. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery toward $125-$140 resistance zone within 4-6 weeks.
While specific analyst predictions are limited in recent trading sessions, several technical analysts have provided AAVE price prediction insights over the past week. According to Lawrence Jengar’s analysis from March 2, “Aave trades at $114.77 with analysts forecasting $137-140 targets.”
Terrill Dicki’s recent technical assessment noted that “AAVE trades at $115.90 with neutral RSI at 45.89. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery toward $135-140 resistance zone within 4-6 weeks, contingent on breaking above $133.71.” His updated March 7 analysis observed that “AAVE trades at $109.87 amid bearish momentum, but analysts eye $137 breakout potential. Technical indicators suggest short-term consolidation before potential recovery to $125 resistance level.”
On-chain data suggests mixed sentiment as trading volume remains moderate at $7.97 million on Binance spot markets, indicating cautious investor positioning during this consolidation phase.
AAVE Technical Analysis Breakdown
AAVE’s current technical picture presents a mixed but potentially constructive setup. Trading at $105.64, the token sits near the lower Bollinger Band at $104.61, with a %B position of 0.0494 indicating proximity to oversold territory.
The RSI reading of 38.66 suggests AAVE is approaching oversold conditions without being severely distressed, while the MACD histogram at 0.0000 shows bearish momentum may be weakening. This technical configuration often precedes short-term bounces in cryptocurrency markets.
Key moving averages reveal the broader trend context: the 7-day SMA at $110.68 provides immediate resistance, while the 20-day SMA at $115.08 represents a more significant hurdle. The 50-day SMA at $125.98 aligns closely with analyst price targets, suggesting this level holds both technical and psychological importance.
The daily ATR of $8.66 indicates moderate volatility, providing sufficient price movement for swing trading opportunities while suggesting the current consolidation phase may continue in the near term.
Aave Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The bullish case for this Aave forecast centers on a break above the immediate resistance cluster between $108.61 and $111.57. Success here would likely propel AAVE toward the 20-day SMA at $115.08, representing an 8-9% upside from current levels.
A sustained move above $115 would target the analyst-identified resistance zone between $125-$140. The 50-day SMA at $125.98 represents the first major hurdle in this range, while the upper Bollinger Band at $125.54 provides additional confluence.
For the most optimistic scenario targeting $137-$140, AAVE would need to break decisively above $133.71, as identified in recent technical analysis. This would represent a 30-32% gain from current levels and would likely require broader DeFi sector strength.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case focuses on a failure to hold the critical support zone around $103.25-$100.85. A break below $100.85 would target the next major support level, though specific downside targets are not clearly defined in current technical analysis.
Risk factors include continued weakness in the broader DeFi sector, potential regulatory headwinds, or a broader cryptocurrency market correction. The distance below key moving averages (20-day at $115.08, 50-day at $125.98) suggests any sustained selling pressure could accelerate downside momentum.
Should You Buy AAVE? Entry Strategy
For this AAVE price prediction scenario, potential entry points align with current technical levels. Conservative buyers might wait for a clear break above $108.61 with volume confirmation before establishing positions.
More aggressive traders could consider accumulating in the current $103-$106 range, using the strong support at $100.85 as a stop-loss level. This provides a risk-reward ratio favorable for targeting the $125-$140 resistance zone.
Risk management suggests position sizing should account for the 30% drawdown potential if support levels fail. Consider dollar-cost averaging into positions rather than deploying full capital at current levels, given the mixed technical signals.
Conclusion
This Aave forecast suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for the next 4-6 weeks. While current price action shows consolidation near technical support, the combination of approaching oversold RSI conditions and analyst targets in the $125-$140 range provides a constructive medium-term outlook.
The AAVE price prediction confidence level is moderate, with technical indicators supporting a recovery toward $125 over the next month, contingent on broader market stability. However, failure to hold support above $100 would invalidate this bullish thesis.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and uncertainty. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
This placed the pair below its key 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) trend line, one that it had repeatedly tried and failed to reclaim as support.
Commenting, trader and analyst Rekt Capital highlighted the significance of losing that 200-week EMA, currently at $68,310, during the weekly close.
“Indeed Bitcoin has once again upside wicked beyond the 200 EMA, with price cancelling out the vast amount of the recent rebound,” he wrote in an X post on Friday.
Rekt Capital added that a weekly candle close below “would continue to solidify the EMA as resistance.”
BTC/USD one-week chart with 200 EMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Prior to February, BTC/USD last saw a close beneath the trend line on weekly time frames in early March 2023.
On a more optimistic note, trader Merlijn argued that price could repeat its 2023 structure, which ultimately sparked major upside after the 200-week EMA reclaim.
BITCOIN IS TESTING THE LEVEL THAT STARTED THE LAST RALLY.
In 2023 the 200 EMA acted as the launchpad for the entire move.
Price reclaimed it. Retested it. Then exploded higher.$BTC is now back at the same structure near $65K.
With macro tensions in the air thanks to the ongoing Middle East conflict, attention was already on commodities and safe havens ahead of the TradFi trading week.
Crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe tied gold and oil performance directly to Bitcoin’s chances of a rebound.
“All eyes on Oil tomorrow, and Gold & Silver. If those are moving in favor of Bitcoin, we might see a return to the highs in the coming week and the worst is behind us,” he told X followers on the day.
“If that’s not the case, I’d be a big buyer in the $60K areas if we test the lows again.”
BTC/USDT 12-hour chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X
WTI crude oil ended Friday up nearly 16% on the day, while gold coiled beneath the $5,200 mark after a failed rematch with all-time highs.
Flagging record low relative strength index (RSI) readings, Van de Poppe said that Bitcoin was clearly undervalued versus the precious metal.
“The valuation of $BTC vs. Gold isn’t changed,” he wrote on X.
“It’s still the lowest RSI in history of that particular metric, which is still: – Gold is overvalued in the short term. – Bitcoin is undervalued in the short term.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
