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LDO Price Prediction: $0.76-$0.85 Target as MACD Turns Bullish Despite Market Fear

Deals

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November 28, 2025

Ted Hisokawa
Nov 28, 2025 10:41

Lido DAO shows bullish divergence with MACD histogram turning positive at $0.0057, targeting $0.76-$0.85 recovery over the next month despite extreme fear sentiment.

LDO Price Prediction: Technical Recovery Setup Emerges Despite Market Pessimism

Lido DAO (LDO) is exhibiting early signs of a technical reversal at current levels around $0.68, with key momentum indicators suggesting a potential 15-25% upside move over the coming weeks. Our comprehensive LDO price prediction analysis reveals a compelling setup that contrasts sharply with prevailing market sentiment.

LDO Price Prediction Summary

• LDO short-term target (1 week): $0.72-$0.76 (+6-12%)
• Lido DAO medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.76-$0.85 range (+12-25%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.73 (20-day SMA resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.61 (52-week low vicinity)

Recent Lido DAO Price Predictions from Analysts

The latest analyst predictions show a notable convergence around the $0.76-$0.85 range for medium-term targets. Blockchain.News maintains the most bullish Lido DAO forecast with a $0.85-$1.20 target, citing MACD turning positive and oversold conditions. Their confidence level sits at medium, supported by technical divergence patterns.

CoinCodex offers a more conservative LDO price prediction, projecting $0.7602 as the five-day high target, representing a 14.33% gain from current levels. However, their short-term outlook remains cautious given the Fear & Greed Index sitting at an extreme fear reading of 15.

The consensus among analysts suggests cautious optimism, with most predictions clustering around the $0.76-$0.85 resistance zone. This convergence strengthens the conviction for our Lido DAO technical analysis pointing to a similar price target range.

LDO Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Momentum Reversal

The current Lido DAO technical analysis reveals a compelling setup for potential upside. The MACD histogram has turned positive at 0.0057, marking the first bullish momentum signal in recent weeks. This divergence occurs while LDO trades at $0.68, positioned 37% within the Bollinger Bands range.

The RSI at 41.95 sits in neutral territory, providing room for upward movement without entering overbought conditions. Critically, LDO has held above the immediate support at $0.59, maintaining the integrity of recent lows near the 52-week bottom at $0.61.

Volume analysis shows steady accumulation with $3.02 million in 24-hour Binance volume, suggesting institutional interest at these oversold levels. The current price position relative to moving averages creates an attractive risk-reward setup, with LDO trading below all major SMAs but showing signs of base formation.

Lido DAO Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for LDO

The primary LDO price target sits at $0.76, representing the first major resistance level and a 12% gain from current prices. This level aligns with recent analyst predictions and coincides with the lower Bollinger Band resistance.

A break above $0.73 (20-day SMA) would confirm the bullish momentum, opening the path toward $0.85, our secondary Lido DAO forecast target. This represents a 25% upside and matches the upper analyst consensus range.

The ultimate bullish scenario sees LDO challenging $0.93 (immediate resistance) and potentially $1.20 (strong resistance), though this requires sustained momentum and broader market recovery.

Bearish Risk for Lido DAO

The key risk level for our LDO price prediction lies at $0.61, the 52-week low support zone. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis and open downside targets toward $0.59 (immediate support) and potentially $0.23 (strong support).

Bearish catalysts include continued crypto market weakness, Ethereum staking competition, or broader DeFi sector headwinds. The distance from the 52-week high at -56.06% already reflects significant pessimism, limiting extreme downside scenarios.

Should You Buy LDO Now? Entry Strategy

Based on our Lido DAO technical analysis, the current price around $0.68 offers an attractive entry point for those answering “buy or sell LDO” with a bullish bias. The ideal entry strategy involves:

Primary Entry: $0.66-$0.68 (current zone)
Stop Loss: $0.61 (below 52-week low)
First Target: $0.76 (+12% gain)
Second Target: $0.85 (+25% gain)

Risk management remains crucial given the 10% stop-loss distance. Position sizing should reflect this volatility, with the daily ATR of $0.06 indicating significant price swings remain possible.

LDO Price Prediction Conclusion

Our comprehensive analysis supports a medium confidence LDO price prediction targeting $0.76-$0.85 over the next 4-6 weeks. The combination of oversold technical conditions, positive MACD momentum, and analyst consensus around similar price targets creates a compelling bullish setup.

Key indicators to monitor include the MACD histogram maintaining positive territory, RSI breaking above 50, and most critically, LDO breaking above the $0.73 resistance level. Failure to hold $0.61 support would invalidate this Lido DAO forecast and require reassessment.

The timeline for this prediction spans the next month, with initial targets of $0.72-$0.76 potentially achievable within 1-2 weeks if momentum continues building. Success depends on broader crypto market stability and continued technical improvement in LDO’s chart structure.

Image source: Shutterstock

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HBAR Price Prediction: Targeting $0.18-$0.20 by December 2025 Amid Key Resistance Test

Deals

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November 28, 2025

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James Ding
Nov 28, 2025 10:34

HBAR price prediction points to potential 20-33% upside targeting $0.18-$0.20 if resistance at $0.16 EMA breaks, with critical support holding at $0.12 level.

Hedera (HBAR) stands at a critical juncture as the token trades at $0.15, testing key technical levels that could determine its near-term trajectory. With analyst consensus building around potential upside targets, this HBAR price prediction examines the technical setup and forecasts for the coming weeks.

HBAR Price Prediction Summary

• HBAR short-term target (1 week): $0.1517 (+1.1%) – CoinCodex forecast
• Hedera medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.18-$0.20 range (+20-33% upside potential)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.16 (EMA 26 resistance)
• Critical support if bearish: $0.12 (Bollinger Band lower boundary)

Recent Hedera Price Predictions from Analysts

Recent analyst coverage reveals a cautiously optimistic Hedera forecast, with multiple experts targeting the $0.18-$0.20 zone. Felix Pinkston and Joerg Hiller from Blockchain.News both identify this price range as achievable, contingent on breaking the crucial $0.16 resistance level.

CoinCodex provides a more conservative short-term outlook with their HBAR price prediction of $0.1517 by December 2, representing modest 4.02% growth. This tempered view reflects current market sentiment sitting in “Extreme Fear” territory with a Fear & Greed Index of 22.

The most ambitious long-term projection comes from Ryan Peterson at Benzinga, who targets $0.873 by 2030 based on enterprise adoption by major corporations including Google, IBM, and LG. This represents potential 480% upside from current levels, though carries significantly higher uncertainty given the extended timeframe.

HBAR Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Potential Breakout

The current Hedera technical analysis reveals a neutral setup with subtle bullish undertones. HBAR’s RSI of 44.15 sits in neutral territory, avoiding both overbought and oversold extremes that could signal immediate reversal pressure.

More encouraging is the MACD histogram reading of 0.0014, indicating nascent bullish momentum despite the MACD line remaining below its signal line at -0.0086. This suggests downward pressure may be waning, supporting the medium-term HBAR price prediction targets.

The Bollinger Bands configuration shows HBAR positioned at 0.43 between the middle band ($0.15) and upper band ($0.18), with room to move higher before encountering overbought conditions. The $0.12 lower band serves as critical support, aligning with analyst projections.

Volume analysis shows $18.6 million in 24-hour Binance spot trading, providing adequate liquidity for any potential breakout move toward the forecasted $0.18-$0.20 targets.

Hedera Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

Bullish Case for HBAR

The optimistic Hedera forecast scenario requires breaking above the $0.16 EMA 26 resistance, which has capped recent rallies. Success here opens the path to initial resistance at $0.18 (Bollinger Band upper boundary), followed by the psychological $0.20 level.

This HBAR price target aligns with the 50-day SMA at $0.17, suggesting institutional buying could emerge on any sustained move above current levels. The stochastic indicators (%K at 72.47, %D at 57.73) support this bullish thesis, showing momentum building without reaching overbought extremes.

A breakout above $0.20 would target the 200-day SMA resistance and potentially challenge the $0.22 strong resistance level identified in the technical analysis.

Bearish Risk for Hedera

The downside scenario for this HBAR price prediction centers on failure to hold the $0.12 support zone. A break below this level would invalidate the near-term bullish thesis and potentially target the $0.07 strong support level.

Current positioning below the 50-day ($0.17) and 200-day ($0.20) moving averages reflects underlying weakness that could reassert if broader crypto markets deteriorate further. The extreme fear sentiment reading of 22 suggests capitulation risks remain elevated.

Should You Buy HBAR Now? Entry Strategy

Based on this Hedera technical analysis, the optimal entry strategy involves waiting for a decisive break above $0.16 resistance before committing significant capital. Conservative buyers might consider accumulating on any retest of $0.14 support with a stop-loss below $0.12.

For those asking whether to buy or sell HBAR, the current risk-reward setup favors patient accumulation given the proximity to key support levels and potential for 20-33% upside to analyst targets.

Position sizing should remain conservative given the neutral trend classification and elevated market uncertainty. Risk management becomes critical with stops below $0.12 to protect against breakdown scenarios.

HBAR Price Prediction Conclusion

This comprehensive HBAR price prediction points to medium-term upside potential toward $0.18-$0.20, representing 20-33% gains from current levels. The forecast carries medium confidence given supportive MACD momentum and proximity to key support levels.

The critical catalyst remains breaking above $0.16 EMA resistance within the next 1-2 weeks. Failure to achieve this breakout could see HBAR consolidate sideways or test the $0.12 support zone.

Investors should monitor the RSI for any move above 50 and MACD line crossing above its signal line as confirmation signals for the bullish Hedera forecast scenario to unfold through December 2025.

Image source: Shutterstock

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What’s behind the surge in privacy tokens as the rest of the market weakens?

Guides

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November 27, 2025

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What’s behind the surge in privacy tokens as the rest of the market weakens?

Key takeaways

Privacy tokens, such as Zcash, have posted gains, while the overall crypto market cap and Bitcoin have dropped sharply.
The rally is happening against a tightening policy backdrop with FATF pressure, new EU AML rules and a growing list of privacy coin delistings.
Sanctions cases and prosecutions involving mixers and wallets have raised questions about the line between infrastructure and money transmission, pushing compliance teams toward cautious de-risking.
Analysts are split between seeing the move as a protest trade against surveillance and a fragile late-cycle spike in a shrinking high-risk corner of the market.

Over the past six weeks, the crypto market has shed more than $1 trillion as traders rotate out of speculative assets. Total market capitalization has fallen from peaks above $4.3 trillion in early October to just over $3.1 trillion, a drawdown of about 25%-28%.

Bitcoin is down close to 30% from its early October all-time high above $126,000 and is now trading in the low $90,000s.

Against that backdrop, one of the strongest pockets of performance is also the most volatile category: privacy tokens. Zcash (ZEC) has rallied several hundred percent since late summer, with its market capitalization rising from under $1 billion in August to a peak above $7 billion in early November. It briefly overtook Monero (XMR) as the largest privacy coin by value.

At the same time, Zcash has surged to the top of Coinbase’s internal search rankings, surpassing Bitcoin (BTC) and XRP (XRP) in user queries, a sign that retail attention has followed the move.

Analysts say the combination of sharp gains and rising search interest looks like a classic hot trade. The complicating factor is that it is happening in a part of the market facing mounting regulatory pressure, exchange delistings and sanctions-related scrutiny.

Did you know? Most dirty crypto does not move through privacy coins. Chainalysis’s 2025 crime report says stablecoins made up about 63% of all crypto transaction volume linked to illicit activity in 2024, having already overtaken Bitcoin as the preferred crypto for many criminal actors.

Privacy tokens as outliers: The numbers and narratives

The latest move has clearly been led by Zcash, with Monero following at a distance.

Key numbers analysts point to:

ZEC is up well over 200% in about a month on some major venues.
From late summer lows, point-to-point moves in ZEC reach high triple-digit percentage gains.
Monero has risen, too, but far less, allowing ZEC to briefly overtake it by market capitalization.
Despite the rally, ZEC still trades well below its historical all-time high.

Explanations fall into two broad camps:

One group focuses on structure and tech, including declining issuance as halvings progress and the planned NU6.1 upgrade, which shifts more funding control toward tokenholders.
Another points to narrative and market structure, including highly optimistic public price projections, concern about surveillance, thin order books and short squeezes in a relatively small segment of the market.

Most observers agree the rally is unfolding just as the regulatory and policy tide turns against anonymity-enhancing assets.

Did you know? Even after the recent rally, the entire privacy coin sector is worth about $30 billion-$35 billion, or roughly 1% of the total crypto market cap, according to CoinGecko category data.

Regulation is moving the other way

At the global level, privacy tokens sit squarely inside the Anti-Money Laundering (AML) debate.

Since 2019, the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) has applied its full AML and counter-terrorism-financing (CFT) standards to virtual assets and virtual asset service providers (VASPs), including the Travel Rule, which requires originator and beneficiary information to accompany qualifying transfers.

A targeted update in 2024 found that about three-quarters of assessed jurisdictions were still only partially or non-compliant with Recommendation 15, and about 30% had not yet implemented the Travel Rule in law. The FATF also flagged increasing use of anonymity-enhancing cryptocurrencies by illicit actors as a specific concern.

In Europe, the direction of travel is even clearer. New EU-wide AML rules centered on Regulation 2024/1624 and related legislation will ban anonymous crypto accounts and privacy coins on licensed platforms by 2027, according to legal and policy analyses.

Crypto asset service providers will be required to apply bank-style AML controls, verify the beneficial owners behind wallets that interact with their services and phase out support for fully anonymous instruments.

That does not mean these assets become illegal to hold everywhere. But it does mean that in much of the regulated financial system, infrastructure is being redesigned on the assumption that privacy tokens will be restricted or excluded.

Delistings, shrinking venues and liquidity risk

The regulatory backdrop has already started to reshape where and how privacy tokens trade.

Key shifts:

In 2024, privacy tokens saw nearly 60 delistings from centralized exchanges, the highest figure since 2021.
Monero accounted for the largest share of removals, with Dash (DASH) and others also affected as exchanges revisited AML policies.
Binance has restricted or removed trading in XMR, ZEC and DASH for users in several European jurisdictions, citing local rules and compliance.
Kraken announced in late 2024 that it would halt Monero trading and deposits for clients in the European Economic Area (EEA), with a withdrawal deadline at year-end and a clear reference to European Union regulatory changes, including the Markets in Crypto Assets (MiCA) framework.

These steps may create a classic liquidity dilemma. Thin markets can move sharply on comparatively small inflows during rallies. As trading migrates from large, well-capitalized venues to smaller or less regulated platforms, it can become harder for bigger holders to exit without moving the price. The same structure that enables sudden spikes can also increase the risk of air pockets on the way down.

Did you know? Some countries banned trading privacy coins years ago. Japan’s regulator pushed exchanges to drop Monero, Dash and Zcash in 2018, while South Korea banned privacy coins from domestic exchanges starting in March 2021, forcing local platforms to delist them entirely.

Sanctions spillover, court battles and compliance anxiety

Sanctions and enforcement actions have added another layer of uncertainty.

In 2022, the United States Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) sanctioned Tornado Cash, alleging that the Ethereum-based mixer laundered billions of dollars, including funds linked to North Korea. In late 2024, a US appellate court found that sanctioning immutable smart contracts exceeded the Treasury’s authority, and in March 2025, the OFAC formally withdrew the designations.

However, the legal risk did not disappear. Tornado Cash developers have faced criminal proceedings in several jurisdictions, and one co-founder has been convicted on charges tied to operating an unlicensed money transmitting business.

A separate case involving Samourai Wallet sent a similar signal. In November 2025, its founders received multi-year prison sentences in the United States after pleading guilty to conspiring to operate an unlicensed money transmitting business, with prosecutors alleging that more than $2 billion in Bitcoin flowed through the service.

For compliance teams, the line between infrastructure and money transmitter is hard to draw. Several AML vendors and policy groups now place privacy coins, mixers and some high-risk decentralized finance (DeFi) tools in the same elevated risk band. Under pressure from the FATF and national regulators, many firms default to over-compliance by blocking deposits linked to privacy tools, declining listings and limiting payment use.

For users, this creates a secondary risk. Even if a specific coin or protocol is not sanctioned, the surrounding ecosystem may still treat it as too risky to touch.

What analysts are watching next

Analysts are divided on what this rally actually signals:

Some see it as a protest trade against growing onchain surveillance, data-sharing rules and sanctions screening.
Others view it as a late-cycle speculative spike in a shrinking niche, driven more by leverage and narratives than long-term demand.

Key milestones on the policy side:

EU AML rules that restrict or effectively ban privacy coins on licensed platforms are set to take full effect around 2027.
The FATF will continue publishing implementation reviews, and its latest reports say most jurisdictions are still only partially compliant with virtual asset standards and the Travel Rule.

On the technical side, upgrades like Zcash’s NU6.1 funding change and experiments with optional privacy layers on major networks may test whether stronger privacy can coexist with regulators’ demands for traceability.

For now, privacy tokens sit between a long-running debate over financial privacy and an intensifying global AML and sanctions regime. Awareness of legal, liquidity and enforcement risks is essential for understanding how this segment operates.

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How blockchain upgrades start: From idea to proposal

Blockchain

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November 27, 2025

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How blockchain upgrades start: From idea to proposal

Blockchains do not stand still. Fee markets shift, validator sets evolve, and new modules arrive to handle everything from privacy to crosschain messaging. Behind each of those changes sits a simple starting point: an idea that someone cared enough to write down.

Cointelegraph Decentralization Guardians (CTDG) was created to give those ideas a more reliable home. The initiative runs high-performance validators and participates in governance across networks such as Solana,, Injective, Chiliz, Polkadot, Coreum, Canton and Mantra, contributing to decentralization and security at the protocol layer.

The CTDG Dev Hub, launched in collaboration with blockchain infrastructure provider Boosty Labs, extends the work to the development process itself. It serves as a public coordination space where contributors can submit, discuss and track upgrade proposals instead of relying on fragmented chats or closed documentation.

This explainer follows the path an idea takes inside CTDG Dev Hub, from the first spark to implementation on a live network, and shows how the platform turns informal conversations into transparent, verifiable change.

The spark: Where upgrade ideas emerge

Innovation in decentralized ecosystems tends to appear where people are immersed in the network’s behavior. Instead of a single authority, upgrade ideas spark from everyday interactions, such as a validator noticing that block propagation slows under peak load or a core developer identifying an opportunity to simplify a module.

Within CTDG Dev Hub, those insights can come from many contexts, including:

Day-to-day operations handled by validators and node operators who monitor performance metrics and reliability.
Community or governance discussions that reveal recurring issues with network parameters, like fees, staking rules or user experience.
Experiments on testnets, where developers trial new configurations and features without risking mainnet capital.

Each of these sparks has potential, but, at this stage, they stand as just a pattern in logs, a testnet experiment or a recurring complaint. Only when someone documents and submits them as a proposal at the CTDG Dev Hub can they become a step forward.

Submitting the concept

On CTDG Dev Hub, proposals are the formal entry point for any potential upgrade or governance change. A contributor, whether a developer, validator, researcher or network representative, opens a new proposal and anchors the idea to a specific network.

Each proposal description focuses on three core questions:

What problem does it solve?
Why does it matter for the network or ecosystem?
What are the expected technical or governance outcomes?

Once submitted, moderators and network teams assign tags for the relevant chain and topic, then review the text for clarity and scope.

Review and discussion

The review phase turns a single author’s idea into a collective design effort. Validators, protocol developers, ecosystem teams and other stakeholders can comment directly on the proposal page, raising edge cases, asking for additional data or suggesting alternative approaches.

Public discussion of upgrades is already a norm in many ecosystems, from open improvement proposal processes to forum-driven governance in DAO frameworks. CTDG Dev Hub follows the same philosophy, but concentrates those practices into a single environment connected to live validator operations.

This stage exposes both technical and governance constraints early. Reviewers have the opportunity to flag compatibility risks, request benchmarks on testnets or ask how the change aligns with an existing governance model.

By the end of this phase, successful proposals become implementation-ready specifications.

Building the upgrade

When there is consensus that a proposal is worth implementing, it moves into the building phase on CTDG Dev Hub. At this point, the work looks similar to any serious protocol upgrade in the wider industry: engineers write and review code, wire new modules into existing clients and design tests that simulate real network conditions.

Throughout the build phase, contributors can track work through implementation notes, commit references and status updates attached to the proposal entry. The portal’s design, including persistent records of accounts, proposals and moderation actions, keeps the trail auditable for future governance or security reviews.

Ready for network submission

Once testing, documentation and internal checks are complete, a proposal reaches the “Ready for Network” state. The concept has a code implementation, test evidence and a clear summary of expected changes. The proposal transitions from CTDG’s coordination layer to the network’s native governance pipeline.

For CTDG-connected networks, a Ready-for-Network proposal can become a Technical Improvement Proposal (TIP) or equivalent governance draft, prepared for submission through each chain’s established channels, whether that is a validator council, a DAO forum or an onchain proposal module.

Governance voting and approval

The governance stage decides whether an upgrade becomes part of the network’s history or remains an experiment. When a proposal enters an “On-Vote” status in CTDG Dev Hub, it signals that the change has reached the formal decision process on its target chain.

CTDG Dev Hub gives validators, developers and community members a common view of which proposals are currently subject to a vote, what trade-offs they carry and how that aligns with previous upgrades.

A proposal marked as “Approved” in the portal reflects that the network’s own governance has reached a decision in favor of implementation.

Deployment and documentation

Approval triggers the most visible moment in an upgrade’s lifecycle: deployment. That spark of an idea becomes a tangible part of the network’s codebase and operational parameters.

During and after deployment, monitoring tools track the performance, error rates and consensus metrics of the live implementation. Any anomalies feed back into post-implementation reviews. That record can include lessons learned, follow-up fixes and ideas for future iterations.

Why this process matters

Public blockchains already rely on structured change processes, from Ethereum’s EIP catalog to Tron’s TIP and DAO-driven governance for many application protocols. Yet the work that leads up to those formal steps often remains scattered across chats, tickets and private documents.

The proposal process on TIP. Source: Dev Hub

On Tron, for example, an idea that starts as an operational insight can first be shaped inside CTDG Dev Hub and then move into the TIP workflow described in TIP-1 before reaching formal DAO voting. This makes the early reasoning and trade-offs easier to trace instead of being buried in private channels.

CTDG Dev Hub addresses that gap by combining validator-level visibility with a collaborative proposal engine. The result is a framework where:

Every upgrade idea has a defined place to begin, with clear ownership and traceable discussion.
Every contributor group, from infrastructure teams to protocol engineers to governance participants, can see and influence the same proposal history.
Every network change connected to CTDG’s validator footprint becomes easier to audit, compare and learn from over time.

Because CTDG already operates validators and analytics across multiple ecosystems, the Dev Hub also creates a shared map of how different chains handle upgrades, which parameters move most often and where coordination routinely becomes difficult.

Getting involved with the next upgrade cycle

The CTDG Dev Hub is live and already hosts early test proposals and validator documentation that exercise its workflows in production-adjacent settings. Developers, validators and network representatives who participate in governance can use it as a central venue to surface issues, draft solutions and track how those ideas move through build, vote and deployment.

The Proposals section on CTDG Dev Hub lists active and historical items, organized by network, status and topic. Together with CTDG’s validator activity across multiple chains, the platform forms part of a longer-term effort to make decentralized development more observable and collaborative.

In practice, each upgrade that moves through this pipeline leaves a permanent record of how Web3 infrastructure changes: which problems mattered, which trade-offs the community accepted and how the final code reached mainnet. Over time, those records help turn blockchain governance from a series of isolated events into an evolving, openly documented discipline.

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BlackRock ETF investors bounce back to profit as price reclaims $90K

Bitcoin

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November 27, 2025

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BlackRock ETF investors bounce back to profit as price reclaims K

BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) holders are back in profit after Bitcoin’s recovery above $90,000, an early sign that sentiment may be turning among one of the key investor groups driving the market this year.

The holders of the largest spot Bitcoin (BTC) fund, BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), bounced back to a cumulative profit of $3.2 billion on Wednesday, according to blockchain data platform Arkham.

“BlackRock IBIT and ETHA holders went from being up almost a combined $40 billion at their PnL peak on 7th October, down to $630 million 4 days ago,” wrote Arkham in a Wednesday X post. “This means the average of all BlackRock ETF buys is at just about break-even.”

With ETF holders no longer under pressure, Bitcoin ETFs may continue to slow their selling rate, which has seen a significant improvement since the $903 million in outflows recorded on Nov. 20.

BlackRock IBIT Bitcoin ETF holders, unrealized profit and loss ratio, three-month chart. Source: Arkham

Bitcoin ETFs recorded two consecutive days of inflows for the first time in two weeks, with a modest $21 million in cumulative inflows on Wednesday, according to Farside Investors.

The development is a welcome sign for Bitcoin, as BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF was the only fund to realize net positive inflows for 2025, according to K33 Research.

The inflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs were the primary driver of Bitcoin’s momentum in 2025, Standard Chartered’s global head of digital assets research, Geoff Kendrick, told Cointelegraph recently.

BlackRock is the world’s largest asset management firm, with $13.5 trillion in assets under management as of the third quarter of 2025.

Bitcoin ETF investors no longer under pressure amid growing interest-rate cut expectations

The broader spot Bitcoin ETF investor cohort is also back in profit after Bitcoin climbed above the key $89,600 flow-weighted cost basis, a level that was lost two weeks ago.

Bitcoin’s recovery follows a sharp increase in interest rate cut expectations for the US Federal Reserve’s Dec. 10 meeting, with odds increasing by 46% in a week.

*Interest rate cut probabilities. Source: CMEgroup.com*

Markets are pricing in an 85% chance of a 25 basis point interest rate cut, up from 39% a week ago, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

Two weeks ago, Bitcoin’s price correction pushed Bitcoin ETF holders below their flow-weighted cost basis near $89,600, according to Glassnode analyst Sean Rose, with the average holder facing paper losses on their investment.

However, most ETF holders are “long-term allocators,” meaning that “being underwater doesn’t trigger quick exits,” Vincent Liu, the chief investment officer at quantitative trading firm Kronos Research, told Cointelegraph.