Bitcoin’s (BTC) short-term trend may hinge on developments unfolding inside Binance’s order flow and onchain activity. Three Binance-linked metrics indicated rising sell-side pressure, shifting liquidity behavior and a market preparing for volatility, factors that could determine whether BTC holds support or enters a deeper correction.
Key takeaways:
Bitcoin whale deposits into exchanges are rising, signaling elevated profit-taking risk.
BTC inflows to Binance have matched 2025 highs, which have historically preceded longer pullbacks.
USDt deposits on Binance reached yearly highs, indicating that traders are repositioning themselves ahead of potential volatility.
BTC Whale ratio rebound warns of distribution pressure
A sharp rise in the Exchange Whale Ratio, now at 0.47 across all exchanges, indicated that large holders are increasingly moving Bitcoin into trading platforms. This trend becomes more concerning on Binance, where the ratio’s 14-day exponential moving average (EMA) has climbed to 0.427, the highest level since April.
Bitcoin exchange Whale ratio on Binance. Source: CryptoQuant
Whale deposits tend to precede distribution phases, as large entities prefer Binance’s liquidity for offloading size. With BTC struggling to extend above $93,000, this shift implied growing resistance overhead. If the trend persists, the price is more likely to consolidate or retest support before attempting another breakout.
Yearly-high BTC inflows to Binance raise alarm
Onchain data showed the 30-day simple-moving average (SMA) of BTC inflows to Binance reached 8,915 on Nov. 28, closely matching its highest reading of 9,031 on March 3. Historically, similar inflow peaks, such as the one recorded in March, have been preceded by sharp downward moves.
Bitcoin exchange inflow (total) on Binance. Source: CryptoQuant
This surge suggested that holders are actively preparing to de-risk, or cycle out of Bitcoin following its rally. With the market attempting to secure a position above $96,000 resistance, Binance’s growing inventory acts as an immediate headwind. Until the excess supply is absorbed, an uptrend could be limited.
USDT deposits rise: Are traders positioning for volatility?
Binance also recorded 946,000 USDt (USDT)deposit transactions in seven days, far outpacing OKX (841,000) and Bybit (225,000). Rising stablecoin inflows generally indicate traders are preparing to act, either to buy dips aggressively or reposition during rapid moves.
USDt flows from different exchanges on Tron. Source: CryptoQuant
Given the current backdrop of whale selling and elevated BTC inflows, this surge is more likely a sign of traders setting up for reactive trading, not passive accumulation. In periods of uncertainty, stablecoin inflows often lead to heightened volatility and short-term range resets.
If BTC loses $90,000, this liquidity could accelerate the move lower. However, if the support holds up, it may fuel a sharp counter-trend bounce.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Mugafi, an AI-driven platform for entertainment intellectual property (IP), has partnered with Avalanche to tokenize films, anime, music and other media assets, allowing creators to finance and distribute projects directly onchain.
The initiative will draw from Mugafi’s catalog and upcoming films. According to the company, its AI systems, trained on thousands of scripts and story structures, help evaluate projects before they are brought onchain for financing.
Mugafi and Avalanche plan to finance more than $10 million in entertainment IP. The companies said their long-term target is to exceed $1 billion in annual IP financing throughput.
Avalanche said the partnership aims to demonstrate how its network can support large-scale real-world asset issuance. The companies plan to use Avalanche’s infrastructure to fund, track and distribute entertainment projects onchain.
Mugafi, launched in 2020 in India, is backed by several entertainment and venture investors, including Nexus VP, HashedEM, Netflix, Amazon and Panorama Studios, among others. Its 2025 release, Kuberaa, recorded $35 million in box office collections and was distributed via Amazon Prime Video.
According to the announcement, the collaboration is expected to support new roles across AI, production, blockchain operations and compliance. Mugafi projects more than 1,500 creator and studio opportunities across several regions including India, North America, Japan and Korea.
The push to bring entertainment IP onchain has been gathering momentum for years among both creators and platforms, with several projects exploring tokenization and Web3 rights management.
In September, Animoca Brands partnered with Ibex Japan, the corporate innovation arm of Antler, to launch a Web3 entertainment fund focused on bringing Japan’s anime and manga IP onchain. The initiative aims to unlock value from Japan’s largely underutilized IP catalog.
PIP Labs has emerged as a major player in the Web3 IP space with the development of Story Protocol, a layer-1 blockchain designed to manage and program intellectual property onchain.
IP registered on Story between March and June 2025. Source: Story Foundation
Founded in 2022 by former Google DeepMind product manager Jason Zhao, the project enables creators to tokenize their work, record IP onchain, and set the terms under which it can be used, shared or adapted. The framework is intended to help rights holders maintain control over their content and its downstream use.
Cryptocurrency markets saw another week of consolidation following last week’s long-awaited market recovery.
While Bitcoin (BTC) remained above the key $90,000 psychological level, investor sentiment continued to be dominated by “fear,” with a marginal improvement from 20 to 25 within the week, according to CoinMarketCap’s Fear & Greed index.
In the wider crypto space, the Ether (ETH) treasury trade appears to be unwinding, as the monthly acquisitions by Ethereum digital asset treasuries (DATs) fell 81% in the past three months from August’s peak.
Still, the biggest corporate Ether holder, BitMine Immersion Technologies, continued to amass ETH, while other treasury firms carried on with their fundraising efforts for future acquisitions.
Fear & Greed index, all-time chart. Source: CoinMarketCap
Investors are also awaiting the key interest rate decision during the US Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting on Wednesday to provide more cues about monetary policy leading into 2026.
Markets are pricing in an 87% chance of a 25 basis point interest rate cut, up from 62% a month ago, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.
Ethereum treasury trade unwinds 80% as handful of whales dominate buys
The Ethereum treasury trade appears to be unwinding as monthly acquisitions continue to decline since the August high, though the largest players continue to scoop up billions of the Ether supply.
Investments from Ethereum DATs fell 81% in the past three months, from 1.97 million Ether in August to 370,000 ETH in November, according to Bitwise, an asset management firm.
“ETH DAT bear continues,” wrote Max Shennon, senior research associate at Bitwise, in a Tuesday X post.
Despite the slowdown, some companies with stronger financial backgrounds continued to accumulate the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency or raise funds for future purchases.
BitMine Immersion Technologies, the largest corporate Ether holder, accumulated about 679,000 Ether worth $2.13 billion over the past month, completing 62% of its target to accumulate 5% of the ETH supply, according to data from the Strategicethreserve.
BitMine holds an additional $882 million worth of cash according to the data aggregator, which may signal more incoming Ether accumulation.
Citadel causes uproar by urging SEC to regulate DeFi tokenized stocks
Market maker Citadel Securities has recommended that the US Securities and Exchange Commission tighten regulations on decentralized finance regarding tokenized stocks, causing backlash from crypto users.
Citadel Securities told the SEC in a letter on Tuesday that DeFi developers, smart-contract coders, and self-custody wallet providers should not be given “broad exemptive relief” for offering trading of tokenized US equities.
It argued that DeFi trading platforms likely fall under the definitions of an “exchange” or “broker-dealer” and should be regulated under securities laws if offering tokenized stocks.
“Granting broad exemptive relief to facilitate the trading of a tokenized share via DeFi protocols would create two separate regulatory regimes for the trading of the same security,” it argued. “This outcome would be the exact opposite of the “technology-neutral” approach taken by the Exchange Act.”
Citadel’s letter, made in response to the SEC looking for feedback on how it should approach regulating tokenized stocks, has drawn considerable backlash from the crypto community and organizations advocating for innovation in the blockchain space.
Arthur Hayes warns Monad could crash 99%, calls it high-risk “VC coin”
Crypto veteran Arthur Hayes has issued a warning over Monad, saying the recently launched layer-1 blockchain could plunge as much as 99% and end up as another failed experiment driven by venture capital hype rather than real adoption.
Speaking on Altcoin Daily, the former BitMEX chief described the project as “another high FDV, low-float VC coin,” arguing that its token structure alone puts retail traders at risk. FDV stands for Fully Diluted Value, which is the market value of a crypto project if all its tokens were already in circulation.
According to Hayes, projects with a large gap between FDV and circulating supply often experience early price spikes, followed by deep selloffs once insider tokens unlock. “It’s going to be another bear chain,” Hayes said, adding that while every new coin gets an initial pump, that does not mean it will develop a lasting use case.
Hayes said most new layer-1 networks ultimately fail, with only a handful likely to retain long-term relevance. He identified Bitcoin, Ether, Solana (SOL) and Zcash (ZEC) as the small group of protocols he expects to survive the next cycle.
$25 billion crypto lending market now led by “transparent” players: Galaxy
The crypto lending market has become more transparent than ever, led by the likes of Tether, Nexo and Galaxy, and has just hit an aggregate loan book of nearly $25 billion outstanding in the third quarter.
The size of the crypto lending market has increased by more than 200% since the beginning of 2024, according to Galaxy Research. Its latest quarter puts it at its highest since its peak in Q1 2022.
However, it has yet to return to its peak of $37 billion at that time.
The main difference is the number of new centralized finance lending platforms and much more transparency, said Galaxy’s head of research, Alex Thorn.
Thorn said on Sunday that he was proud of the chart and the transparency of its contributors, adding that it was a “big change from prior market cycles.”
The crypto lending landscape has seen many new platforms in the past three years. Source: Alex Thorn
Portal to Bitcoin raises $25 million and launches atomic OTC desk
Bitcoin-native interoperability protocol Portal to Bitcoin has raised $25 million in funding amid the launch of what it describes as an atomic over-the-counter (OTC) trading desk.
According to a Thursday announcement shared with Cointelegraph, the company raised $25 million in a round led by digital asset lender JTSA Global. The fundraise follows previous investments by Coinbase Ventures, OKX Ventures, Arrington Capital and others.
Alongside the fresh funding, the company rolled out its Atomic OTC desk, promising “instant, trustless cross-chain settlement of large block trades.” The newly deployed service is reminiscent of crosschain atomic swaps offered by THORChain, Chainflip, and more Bitcoin-focused systems such as Liquality and Boltz.
What sets Portal to Bitcoin apart is its focus on the Bitcoin-anchored crosschain OTC market for institutions and whales, along with its tech stack. “Portal provides the infrastructure to make Bitcoin the settlement layer for global asset markets, without bridges, custodians, or wrapped assets,” said Chandra Duggirala, founder and CEO of Portal.
Portal to Bitcoin team members, from left to right: co-founder and chief technology officer Manoj Duggirala, founder and CEO Chandra Duggirala, and co-founder George Burke. Source: Portal to Bitcoin
According to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView, most of the 100 largest cryptocurrencies by market capitalization ended the week in the red.
The Canton (CC) token fell 18%, marking the week’s biggest decline in the top 100, followed by the Starknet (STRK) token, down 16% on the weekly chart.
Total value locked in DeFi. Source: DefiLlama
Thanks for reading our summary of this week’s most impactful DeFi developments. Join us next Friday for more stories, insights and education regarding this dynamically advancing space.
For more than a decade, Bitcoin investors have relied on the familiar four-year cycle to navigate bull runs, capitulations and market shifts driven by halving events. In 2025, that long-standing roadmap is beginning to look outdated — and analysts are seeking a new framework to understand where Bitcoin (BTC) is headed next.
Some argue that institutional capital is reshaping the market. Others highlight the weakening impact of the halving, the rise of AI as a competing investment frontier, or global liquidity trends that no longer line up with old patterns. Whatever the cause, one thing is clear: Bitcoin doesn’t seem to be moving like it used to.
In this exclusive Cointelegraph interview, Jeff Park, partner and chief investment officer at ProCap BTC, challenges the assumptions behind the four-year cycle, claiming that Bitcoin may now be transitioning into a much shorter, more dynamic two-year cycle.
Park argues that Bitcoin’s market structure has undergone a fundamental shift as institutional flows operate under different incentives than those of retail investors.
At the core of Park’s argument is a provocative idea: Shorter cycles could dramatically reshape how investors think about timing, volatility and Bitcoin’s potential path through 2026.
Park also touches on why some players prefer short-term weakness, how liquidity patterns intersect with the new cycle and what this shift could mean for the next major move.
Watch the complete interview with Jeff Park on the Cointelegraph YouTube channel for his full breakdown of the two-year cycle theory and its implications for Bitcoin’s future.
“Buy every dip.” That’s the advice from Strike CEO Jack Mallers. According to Mallers, with quantitative tightening over and rate cuts and stimulus on the horizon, the great print is coming. The US can’t afford falling asset prices, he argues, which translates into a giant wall of liquidity ready to muscle in and prop prices up.
While retail has latched onto terms like “buy the dip” and “dollar-cost averaging” (DCA) for buying at market lows or making regular purchases, these are really concepts borrowed from the pros like Samar Sen, the senior vice president and head of APAC at Talos, an institutional digital asset trading platform.
He says that institutional traders have used these terms for decades to manage their entry points into the market and build exposure gradually, while avoiding emotional decision-making in volatile markets.
Treasury companies like Strategy and BitMine have become poster children for institutions buying the dip and dollar-cost averaging (DCA) at scale, steadfastly vacuuming up coins every chance they get.
Strategy stacked another 130 Bitcoin (BTC) on Monday, while the insatiable Tom Lee scooped up $150 million of Ether (ETH) on Thursday, prompting Arkham to post, “Tom Lee is DCAing ETH.”
But while it may look like the smart money is glued to the screen reacting to every market downturn, the reality is quite different.
Institutions don’t use the retail vocabulary, Samar explains, but the underlying ideas of disciplined accumulation, opportunistic rebalancing and staying insulated from short-term noise are very much present in how they engage with assets like Bitcoin.
The core difference, he points out, is in how they execute those ideas. While retail investors are prone to react to headlines and price charts, institutional desks rely on “structured, rules-based and quant systematic frameworks.”
Asset managers or hedge funds use a combination of macroeconomic indicators, momentum triggers and technical signals to express a long-term view and “identify attractive entry levels.” He says:
“A digital asset treasury (DAT) desk may reference cross-venue liquidity data, volatility bands, candlestick patterns, and intraday dislocation signals to judge whether weakness is a genuine mean-reversion opportunity. These are the institutional equivalents of “buying the dip,” but grounded in quantitative statistical truths rather than impulse.”
And while retail DCA suggests buying the same dollar amount on a fixed schedule, institutions approach the same gradual exposure with “execution science.” Periodic market orders are replaced by algorithmic strategies to minimize market impact and avoid signaling intent.
In each case, their strategies are always shaped by mandates around risk, liquidity, expectation of market impact and portfolio construction (rather than posting memes of scooping up digs or trading on momentum).
Despite it looking like they’re reacting to the market in real-time, the reality is far more measured. Samar explains that quant-driven funds rely on statistical models that can discern when a sharp price move indicates a “temporary dislocation” rather than a real reversal.
So while retail traders may react to calls to buy the dip, institutional responses to market slumps are structured, driven by signals, and “governed by pre-defined processes.”
And if a retail investor wanted to mirror institutional best practice around DCA and dip buying, what should they copy?
According to Samar, the most important thing is to define your exposure upfront, before the markets hit the skids. He points out that institutions don’t wait for volatility to decide what they want to own. They have to define their target allocations and the cost bases they’re aiming for before the market moves to prevent them from reacting emotionally to headlines.
The second principle, Samar says, is to separate the investment decision from the execution decision. “A portfolio manager may determine it’s time to build exposure, but the actual trading is handled systematically, via execution strategies that spread orders over time, seek liquidity across venues and aim to keep market impact low.”
Even at the retail level, the idea is the same: Decide what you want to own first, then think carefully about how to get there.
Finally, analyze your moves post-trade. Institutions ask whether the execution matched the plan, where slippage occurred, and what can be improved next time. So if you want to stack sats like a pro:
“Set your rules early, execute calmly, and evaluate honestly — you will already be operating much closer to institutional best practice than most.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
A Solana presale event encountered distribution issues after a bot farm reportedly used over 1,000 wallets to snipe nearly the entire Wet (WET) token sale in seconds.
Hosted through the decentralized exchange aggregator Jupiter, the presale sold out almost instantly. But genuine buyers effectively had no chance to participate because a single actor dominated the presale, according to organizers.
Solana automated market maker (AMM) HumidiFi, the team behind the presale, confirmed the attack and scrapped the launch entirely. The team said it would create a new token and hold an airdrop to legitimate participants while explicitly excluding the sniper.
“We are creating a new token. All Wetlist and JUP staker buyers will receive a pro-rata airdrop. The sniper is not getting shit,” HumidiFi wrote. “We will do a new public sale on Monday.”
Bubblemaps identifies alleged sniper after tracing over 1,000 wallets
On Friday, the blockchain analytics platform Bubblemaps announced that it had identified the entity behind the presale attack, having observed unusual wallet clustering during the token sale.
In an X thread, the company reported that at least 1,100 out of the 1,530 participating wallets displayed identical funding and activity patterns, suggesting that a single actor controlled them.
Bubblemaps CEO Nick Vaiman told Cointelegraph that their team analyzed presale participants using their platform and saw patterns, including new wallets with no prior onchain activity, all being funded by a handful of wallets.
These also received funding in a tight time window with similar Solana (SOL) token amounts.
“Despite some of the clusters not connected together onchain, the behavioral similarities in size, time, and funding all point to a single entity,” Vaiman told Cointelegraph.
Bubblemaps said that the sniper funded thousands of new wallets from exchanges, which had received 1,000 USDC (USDC) before the sale.
The analytics company said one of the clusters “slipped,” allowing them to link the attack to a Twitter handle, “Ramarxyz,” who also went on X to ask for a refund.
Bubblemaps demonstrated the wallets participating in the presale. Source: Bubblemaps
Vaiman told Cointelegraph that Sybil attacks are becoming more common in token presales and airdrops. Still, he said the patterns are “different every time.” He said that for safety, teams should implement Know Your Customer (KYC) measures or use algorithms to detect sybils.
He said they could also manually review presale or airdrop participants before allocating tokens.
“Sybil activity needs to be treated as a critical security threat to token launches,” Vaiman told Cointelegraph. “Projects should have dedicated teams or outsource Sybil detection to professionals who can assist.”
Bitcoin may have delivered an impressive bounce from $84,000 to start the week, but the bullish sentiment was dampened by supplier congestion from the yearly open around $93,000.
Data from CryptoQuant shows that the BTC/USD pair is trading below the average realized price (cost basis) of most age groups, signalling instability, according to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost.
“The first area we want Bitcoin to reclaim is the realized price of the youngest LTH band,” Darfost said in an X post on Friday, referring to the cost basis of six to 12-month-old BTC holders around $97,000.
“This level marks the transition between STH and LTH,” the analyst wrote, adding:
“Breaking above it would put those investors back into a comfortable position, restoring their expectations of potential gains and encouraging them to keep holding rather than selling, which will bring some stability.”
Bitcoin: Realized price, UTXO age bands. Source: CryptoQuant
Failure to close above $97,000 would mean “caution remains necessary,” Darkfost added.
On the downside, the first major support sits at $88,000, representing the lower range of BTC’s price action on higher time frames, according to analyst Daan Crypto Trades.
$BTC Has retaken the previous range with this bounce.
Still a lot of work to do but at least the insane selling has stalled for the time being.
This meant that the price remained suppressed below the yearly open of above $93,000.
This coincides with the “high range resistance at $93,500,” said analyst Rekt Capital in a recent post on X, adding:
“A weekly close above $93,500 and post-breakout retest of this level into new support (just like in previous green circles) would confirm the range breakout.”
BTC/USD weekly chart. Source: Rekt Capital
Private wealth manager Swissblock said Bitcoin’s “momentum is igniting after weeks of being fully negative,” as Bitcoin fights to consolidate above the yearly open at $93,000-$93,500.
If Bitcoin holds $93,000, “the next short-term target is a break above $95K,” Swissblock added.
Bitcoin price chart. Source: Swissblock
Fellow analyst AlphaBTC said he expected the price to rebound from the current level on the last leg up to close out the week above the yearly open, which is now acting as resistance.
As Cointelegraph reported, Bitcoin’s bearish December period could change with reduced leverage and price reclaiming key technical levels, hinting at a more stable setup.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Technical analysis suggests SOL could reach $155-165 in the next 2-4 weeks, with immediate resistance at $146.91 providing the first test for bullish continuation.
With Solana trading at $139.02 amid a complex technical landscape, this SOL price prediction examines the convergence of bullish momentum indicators and analyst forecasts pointing toward a potential breakout in the coming weeks.
SOL Price Prediction Summary
• SOL short-term target (1 week): $146-150 (+5.0% to +7.9%)
• Solana medium-term forecast (1 month): $155-165 range (+11.5% to +18.7%)
• Key level to break for bullish continuation: $146.91 immediate resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $121.66 strong support level
Recent Solana Price Predictions from Analysts
Recent analyst predictions show a cautiously optimistic outlook for SOL. CoinCodex projects a modest SOL price target of $142.88 in the short term, representing a 1.55% increase, while Polymarket sentiment indicates a 56% probability of SOL trading between $130-$140. However, Blockchain.News presents a more bullish Solana forecast with targets of $155-165 based on technical momentum.
The consensus among these predictions suggests moderate bullish sentiment, with the most conservative estimate at $130 and the most optimistic reaching $165. This range aligns with current technical indicators showing early signs of momentum recovery despite recent weakness.
SOL Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Bullish Reversal
The current Solana technical analysis reveals several compelling factors supporting a bullish bias. The MACD histogram at 2.3482 indicates building positive momentum, while the price position at 0.6461 within the Bollinger Bands suggests room for upward movement toward the upper band at $146.04.
The RSI reading of 45.79 sits in neutral territory, providing ample space for appreciation before reaching overbought conditions. Notably, SOL has found support above the critical $125.25 level mentioned in recent analyst reports, suggesting the formation of a higher low pattern.
Volume analysis shows substantial daily trading of $367.6 million on Binance, indicating healthy market participation. The recent bullish engulfing pattern from the support level, combined with the positive MACD histogram, suggests institutional accumulation may be underway.
Solana Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for SOL
In the bullish scenario, this SOL price prediction anticipates a break above the immediate resistance at $146.91, which would trigger a move toward the $155-165 target range. The bullish case relies on sustained momentum above the 20-day SMA at $136.12 and successful reclaim of the upper Bollinger Band.
Key catalysts for the upside include breaking through the pivot point at $140.59 with conviction, followed by clearing the $146.91 resistance. If these levels hold as support on any pullbacks, the next SOL price target becomes the $155-165 zone, representing a potential 18.7% gain from current levels.
Bearish Risk for Solana
The bearish scenario for this Solana forecast would unfold if SOL fails to hold the critical support at $121.66. A breakdown below this level could trigger selling pressure toward the lower Bollinger Band at $126.21, and potentially test the 52-week low region around $105.40.
Risk factors include failure to reclaim the 20-day SMA convincingly, deteriorating MACD momentum, or broader crypto market weakness. The significant distance from the 52-week high of $247.50 (-43.83%) also suggests overhead supply could emerge at higher levels.
Should You Buy SOL Now? Entry Strategy
Based on this SOL price prediction analysis, the current risk-reward setup appears favorable for strategic accumulation. The optimal entry strategy involves buying on dips toward the $135-137 support zone, with a stop-loss below $130 to limit downside risk.
For those wondering whether to buy or sell SOL, the technical setup suggests a buying opportunity for medium-term holders. However, short-term traders should wait for a confirmed break above $146.91 before establishing long positions targeting the $155-165 range.
Position sizing should account for the 14-day ATR of $9.28, indicating normal volatility conditions. Conservative investors might consider dollar-cost averaging into positions around current levels, while more aggressive traders can target the breakout above immediate resistance.
SOL Price Prediction Conclusion
This comprehensive Solana forecast points to a medium confidence prediction of SOL reaching the $155-165 range within the next 2-4 weeks, contingent on breaking key resistance levels. The convergence of positive MACD momentum, neutral RSI conditions, and analyst targets in similar ranges supports this bullish SOL price prediction.
Key indicators to monitor include the MACD maintaining its positive trajectory, successful defense of the $136.12 support (20-day SMA), and volume confirmation on any breakout attempts. The prediction would be invalidated if SOL closes below $130 on significant volume, shifting the bias bearish toward the $121.66 support zone.
Timeline expectations suggest initial targets of $146-150 within one week, followed by the broader $155-165 Solana forecast range materializing over the next month, assuming continued momentum and favorable market conditions.
ADA price prediction shows mixed signals with short-term targets of $0.39-$0.65 while medium-term Cardano forecast points to potential $1.69 recovery.
Cardano’s ADA faces a critical juncture as technical indicators paint a mixed picture for the cryptocurrency’s immediate future. With the token trading at $0.44 and showing signs of both weakness and emerging bullish momentum, our comprehensive ADA price prediction analysis reveals divergent scenarios that traders need to navigate carefully.
ADA Price Prediction Summary
• ADA short-term target (1 week): $0.39-$0.48 range (-11% to +9%)
• Cardano medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.65-$1.69 potential recovery zone • Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.51 immediate resistance
• Critical support if bearish: $0.37 strong support level
Recent Cardano Price Predictions from Analysts
The latest analyst predictions for ADA reveal a fascinating divergence in market sentiment. PricePredictions.com presents the most optimistic Cardano forecast with an ADA price target of $1.69 for the medium term, representing a massive 284% upside from current levels. This bullish stance contrasts sharply with more conservative predictions from AMB Crypto, which sees ADA reaching $0.65 in the short term, and Changelly’s bearish outlook targeting $0.39.
The wide spread between these predictions—ranging from $0.39 to $1.69—highlights the uncertainty surrounding Cardano’s price direction. However, the consensus suggests that while short-term bearish pressure may persist, medium-term recovery potential remains intact. This aligns with our technical analysis showing ADA trading below key moving averages but displaying early signs of momentum reversal.
ADA Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Potential Reversal
Our Cardano technical analysis reveals several critical indicators suggesting ADA may be positioning for a directional breakout. The current price of $0.44 sits precisely at the pivot point level, creating a decision zone that will determine the next significant move.
The RSI reading of 43.46 indicates neutral territory with room for upward movement before reaching overbought conditions. More encouraging is the MACD histogram showing a positive 0.0098 reading, signaling emerging bullish momentum despite the overall bearish MACD positioning at -0.0304. This divergence often precedes trend reversals and supports our medium-term ADA price prediction.
Bollinger Bands positioning at 0.5759 places ADA slightly above the middle band, suggesting the token has room to move toward the upper band at $0.48. The stochastic indicators show %K at 82.02 and %D at 80.26, indicating overbought conditions that may require consolidation before the next leg higher.
Volume analysis from Binance spot trading shows $42 million in 24-hour turnover, which represents moderate but not exceptional interest. For our bullish ADA price target scenarios to materialize, we’ll need to see volume expansion above $60 million daily.
Cardano Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios
Bullish Case for ADA
The optimistic scenario for our ADA price prediction hinges on breaking above the immediate resistance at $0.51. Success here would likely trigger momentum toward the next significant level at $0.65, aligning with AMB Crypto’s short-term forecast. A sustained move above $0.65 could then target the ambitious $1.69 level suggested by PricePredictions.com.
For this bullish Cardano forecast to unfold, ADA needs to reclaim its 50-day moving average at $0.53, which would signal a shift in the intermediate trend. The technical setup would be confirmed by RSI moving above 50 and MACD crossing into positive territory.
Bearish Risk for Cardano
The bearish scenario for our ADA price prediction centers on failure to hold current support levels. A break below the strong support at $0.37 would validate Changelly’s pessimistic outlook targeting $0.39. This would represent a test of the 52-week low and could trigger further selling pressure.
Key risk factors include continued weakness in Bitcoin and broader crypto markets, potential regulatory concerns, or failure to deliver on Cardano’s development roadmap milestones. The distance of 54% from the 52-week high at $0.96 demonstrates the significant correction ADA has already endured.
Should You Buy ADA Now? Entry Strategy
Based on our technical analysis, the decision to buy or sell ADA depends heavily on risk tolerance and time horizon. For short-term traders, we recommend waiting for a clear break above $0.48 (upper Bollinger Band) before establishing long positions, with a stop-loss at $0.41.
Conservative investors might consider dollar-cost averaging into positions between $0.42-$0.44, using any dips toward $0.39 as accumulation opportunities. The risk-reward ratio favors buyers at current levels, given the proximity to strong support and potential for the medium-term ADA price target of $0.65-$1.69.
Position sizing should be conservative given the current uncertainty, with no more than 2-3% of portfolio allocated to ADA until clearer directional signals emerge. The daily ATR of $0.03 suggests moderate volatility that allows for strategic entry point selection.
ADA Price Prediction Conclusion
Our comprehensive analysis suggests a medium confidence ADA price prediction of $0.65 within 4-6 weeks, with potential extension toward $1.69 over a 2-3 month timeframe. The current technical setup favors patient buyers willing to weather short-term volatility for medium-term gains.
Critical indicators to monitor include RSI breakthrough above 50, MACD line crossing above the signal line, and most importantly, a decisive break above $0.51 resistance. Failure to hold $0.37 support would invalidate our bullish Cardano forecast and suggest deeper correction toward $0.30-$0.35.
The prediction timeline suggests resolution within 2-3 weeks, with either a breakout above $0.51 confirming the bullish scenario or a breakdown below $0.37 validating bearish concerns. Volume expansion above $60 million daily will be crucial for confirming any directional move in our ADA price prediction framework.
Institutional blockchain infrastructure provider Digital Asset, the creator of the Canton Network, has raised about $50 million in strategic investments from BNY, iCapital, Nasdaq and S&P Global, according to a person familiar with the deal.
According to an announcement on Thursday, the strategic funding will build on Digital Asset’s strong momentum to scale the Canton Network following recent funding milestones that raised $135 million.
The participation of these four big names highlights the range of institutions supporting the Canton Network, as big banks, exchanges, data, and wealth infrastructure all lend their weight to the same underlying blockchain stack.
“Institutions across the financial ecosystem recognize the necessity of blockchain infrastructure purpose-built for regulated markets,” said Yuval Rooz, CEO of Digital Asset. “The addition of BNY, iCapital, S&P Global, and Nasdaq marks another milestone in the evolution of both Digital Asset and Canton.”
Canton Network’s bet on institutional rails
The Canton Network is a public, permissionless layer-1 blockchain with a focus on institutional-grade compliance and configurable privacy. According to the company, Canton now underpins trillions of dollars’ worth of tokenized real‑world assets, with more than 600 institutions and validators participating across the network.
The latest investor roster to back Canton suggests that the network’s thesis is resonating with large incumbents who want public‑chain benefits without sacrificing privacy or regulatory comfort. Canton pitches itself as a “network of networks” with configurable privacy and compliance controls, explicitly aimed at regulated markets rather than retail DeFi experimentation.
Global asset manager Franklin Templeton is already building on these rails. In October, the $1.6 trillion asset manager said it would move its Benji Investments platform, which tokenizes shares of its flagship US money market fund, onto Canton Network, extending a live tokenized-fund product that previously ran on public chains into Canton’s institutional ecosystem.
Unlike other networks, Canton avoided the ICO route. Its tokenomics are designed to favor validators and applications that drive real transaction activity on the network, rather than pure token speculation, as Rootz previously told Cointelegraph:
“Our thesis was focused on serving large-scale institutions. We’ve been very patient. We refused to do an ICO. We refuse to do a token pre-mine. We’ve really thought about the tokenomics.”
A person familiar with the deal told Cointelegraph that the latest investments build directly on Digital Asset’s $135 million strategic round earlier this year, which brought in DRW, Tradeweb, Goldman Sachs, DTCC, Citadel Securities, Paxos, and others to help scale Canton and onboard more real‑world assets.
Vanguard reverses its Bitcoin stance | ETF Tracker
The timing is notable. This week, Vanguard, the second-largest asset manager in the world, announced that it would finally allow its clients to start trading crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds on its platform, reversing its prior anti-Bitcoin stance.
Bank of America, the second-largest US bank, also revised its policy on crypto, reportedly recommending a 1%–4% allocation to its wealth management clients.
At the same time, Coinbase is deepening work with major US banks on stablecoin, custody and settlement pilots, positioning itself as plumbing for institutions that don’t want to build everything in‑house.
Against this backdrop, a single stack that now counts banks, an exchange operator, a data and index giant and a wealth‑tech company as investors is a strong indicator of where the industry expects long‑term onchain market infrastructure to live. As Brian Ruane, head of Global Clearing, Credit Services and Corporate Trust at BNY, commented:
“As capital markets move faster toward a real-time, always-on operating model, the development of financial infrastructure that seamlessly connects digital and traditional markets has never been more important. We’re excited to work with Digital Asset and Canton to continue advancing privacy-enabled and interoperable settlement solutions at institutional scale.”
