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    AAVE Price Prediction: Recovery Toward $157-162 Target Despite Technical Weakness

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    Luisa Crawford
    Feb 03, 2026 12:50

    AAVE trades at $128.06 with analysts targeting $157-162 in the short term and $190-195 by month-end, though bearish MACD and oversold conditions suggest caution.





    Aave (AAVE) is currently trading at $128.06, showing modest gains of 0.31% in the past 24 hours. Despite recent technical weakness, several analysts maintain optimistic price targets for the leading DeFi lending protocol token in the coming weeks.

    AAVE Price Prediction Summary

    Short-term target (1 week): $157-162
    Medium-term forecast (1 month): $190-195 range
    Bullish breakout level: $157.68
    Critical support: $122.87

    What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Aave

    Recent analyst coverage has painted a cautiously optimistic picture for AAVE’s price trajectory. Caroline Bishop provided an AAVE price prediction on January 27, stating: “AAVE Price Prediction Summary: Short-term target (1 week): $157-162; Medium-term forecast (1 month): $190-195 range; Bullish breakout level: $157.68; Critical support: $149.32.”

    Peter Zhang echoed similar sentiment on January 26, noting that “AAVE shows potential recovery toward analyst targets of $190-195 by February 2026, despite current bearish momentum.” Meanwhile, Zach Anderson highlighted the mixed technical picture, observing that “Aave (AAVE) trades at $156.65 with analysts eyeing $190-195 by February 2026, though bearish MACD and oversold conditions suggest near-term caution around $151 support.”

    AAVE Technical Analysis Breakdown

    The current technical setup for AAVE presents a mixed picture with both concerning and encouraging signals. The token is trading well below all major moving averages, with the 20-day SMA at $152.67 and the 50-day SMA at $159.40 acting as significant resistance levels.

    The RSI reading of 32.31 places AAVE in neutral territory but approaching oversold conditions, which could signal a potential bounce. However, the MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum remains intact, suggesting any recovery may face headwinds.

    Bollinger Bands analysis reveals AAVE is positioned at 0.10, very close to the lower band at $121.87, indicating the token is trading near technical support. The upper band sits at $183.47, highlighting the significant distance to overhead resistance.

    Key technical levels show immediate resistance at $130.84 and stronger resistance at $133.63, while support levels are found at $125.46 and $122.87. The daily Average True Range of $9.77 indicates moderate volatility in recent trading sessions.

    Aave Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

    Bullish Scenario

    In the optimistic case for this Aave forecast, AAVE could rally toward the $157-162 target zone if it breaks above the immediate resistance at $133.63. A sustained move above the 7-day SMA at $136.46 would likely trigger momentum buying, potentially carrying the token toward the $157.68 breakout level identified by analysts.

    Should AAVE clear the $157-162 resistance zone with strong volume, the path opens toward the medium-term target of $190-195. This scenario would require a broader DeFi sector recovery and positive sentiment around lending protocols.

    Bearish Scenario

    The bearish case centers around the current technical weakness evidenced by the bearish MACD and position below all major moving averages. A break below the critical support at $122.87 could trigger further selling pressure toward the Bollinger Band lower support at $121.87.

    If selling accelerates, AAVE could retest psychological support levels around $115-120, representing a potential 10-15% downside from current levels. The oversold RSI conditions might limit extreme downside, but weak market sentiment could extend any decline.

    Should You Buy AAVE? Entry Strategy

    For investors considering AAVE, the current oversold technical conditions present both opportunity and risk. A conservative approach would involve waiting for a break above $133.63 resistance with confirming volume before initiating positions.

    More aggressive buyers might consider dollar-cost averaging near current levels around $125-130, with a stop-loss below the critical support at $122.87. The risk-reward setup favors patience, as a successful break toward $157-162 would offer attractive upside potential.

    Position sizing should account for AAVE’s volatility, with the $9.77 daily ATR suggesting meaningful intraday price swings. Consider scaling into positions rather than taking full exposure immediately.

    Conclusion

    This AAVE price prediction suggests cautious optimism for the coming weeks, with analyst targets of $157-162 in the short term appearing achievable despite current technical weakness. The medium-term Aave forecast of $190-195 by month-end requires significant momentum shifts and broader market cooperation.

    The current setup favors patient investors willing to wait for technical confirmation above key resistance levels. While the oversold conditions may limit downside, the bearish momentum indicators suggest any rally may face early resistance.

    Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are highly speculative and subject to extreme volatility. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

    Image source: Shutterstock


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    Xapo Bank Data Shows Bitcoin-Backed Loans Skew Long-Term

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    Bitcoin-backed borrowing at the Gibraltar-based Xapo Bank is increasingly being used for long-term financial planning rather than short-term liquidity, according to the bank’s 2025 Digital Wealth Report.

    Shared with Cointelegraph, the report says 52% of the Bitcoin-backed loans issued by Xapo in 2025 carried a 365-day term, with many of those loans remaining open even as new loan creation slowed later in the year.

    The bank, which primarily caters to high-net-worth individuals and private clients, said the trend reflects members using Bitcoin as collateral to unlock liquidity while preserving long-term exposure, rather than tapping loans for temporary cash needs.

    “Long-term Bitcoiners, many of whom are now holding the majority of their wealth in Bitcoin, finally felt comfortable taking some profit,” the report said. “At the same time, the underlying conviction didn’t waver. Most of our long-term members continued to hold the bulk of their Bitcoin through periods of heavy market movement.”

    The data comes from Xapo’s first calendar year of operating its Bitcoin-backed lending product, which allows qualified clients to borrow US dollars against their Bitcoin holdings. It offers a view into how Bitcoin is being used inside regulated banking rails as productive collateral integrated into longer-term financial planning.

    From launch narrative to observed behavior

    Xapo launched its Bitcoin-backed USD loans on March 18, 2025, targeting long-term Bitcoin holders seeking liquidity without selling their assets. 

    At the time, the bank positioned the product as a conservative alternative to earlier crypto lending models, offering loan terms of up to 365 days and relatively low loan-to-value ratios. 

    Xapo Bank CEO Seamus Rocca previously told Cointelegraph that growing confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term outlook was encouraging holders to borrow rather than liquidate their positions, signaling a shift away from short-term speculation toward longer-term thinking.

    The 2025 report suggests that expectation has materialized in practice. While loan issuance moderated later in the year, outstanding loan balances continued to grow, indicating that borrowers were keeping loans open rather than using them as short-term liquidity tools.

    Related: 60% of top US banks are geared up for Bitcoin: River

    Rocca said in the report that the pattern reflects “disciplined, private-bank-style financial behaviour,” with members using Bitcoin as productive capital rather than a short-term liquidity tool.

    Loan volumes are also concentrated in regions like Europe and Latin America. According to Xapo Bank, the two regions accounted for 85% of total loan volume, at 56% and 29% respectively.

    Members’ BTC holdings, per region, quarter-on-quarter. Source: Xapo Bank

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