BitFuFu’s 2025 results showed a sharp shift in its business mix, with cloud mining overtaking self-mining as the company’s main revenue driver.
The Singapore-based Bitcoin (BTC) miner reported $475.8 million in revenue for 2025, up 2.7% from a year earlier.
Its self-mining output fell to 611 BTC from 2,537 BTC in 2024, a drop of 76%, while its Bitcoin holdings edged up to 1,778 BTC from 1,720 BTC a year earlier.
The company attributed the change to weaker Bitcoin earnings per terahash, higher mining difficulty and a reduced share of hashrate allocated to self-mining, as it leaned more heavily on cloud-mining products.
BitFuFu said it reallocated hashrate from self-mining to cloud mining following a 52% decline in daily Bitcoin earnings per terahash, driven by higher mining difficulty and a 47% reduction in hashrate allocated to self-mining. Rising Bitcoin prices partially offset the impact.
Source: BitFuFu
The company said it shifted hashrate away from self-mining to improve capital efficiency and make revenue more predictable.
Revenue from self-mining fell about 60% to $63.1 million in 2025 from $157.5 million a year earlier.
Cloud mining overtakes self-mining
Cloud mining revenue accounted for around 74% of BitFuFu’s revenues in 2025, amounting to $350.6 million. In contrast, cloud mining accounted for 58.5% of revenue in 2024, when the segment generated $271 million.
The company reported 3,662 BTC in combined annual production across its self-mining operations and customer cloud-mining activity, including 611 BTC from self-mining and 3,051 BTC produced by cloud-mining customers.
BitFuFu said it also increased mining equipment sales, which rose 76% year over year to $53.7 million.
BitFuFu outlines 2026 priorities
Although BitFuFu increased its Bitcoin holdings by just 58 BTC last year, the company said it remains committed to expanding its BTC treasury in 2026.
“Looking ahead to 2026, we will scale our cloud mining business, expand hashrate and power capacity with discipline, and continue building our Bitcoin treasury,” the company said in a statement on X.
BitFuFu CEO Leo Lu said that the company will focus on acquiring mining infrastructure in 2026 and will keep reviewing potential partnership opportunities as part of its vertical integration strategy.
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Cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology have increasingly become part of Canada’s core financial system over the past year.
In November, the country introduced stablecoin regulations as part of the Canada Stablecoin Act. Introduced as part of the budget, it gives the Bank of Canada the power to regulate stablecoins in the country.
Elsewhere, policymakers are finalizing amendments to laws for crypto asset funds, including those for cold wallets and custodians.
The changes highlight a pragmatic, but regulation-first approach to crypto, which observers have come to expect from Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government.
Increased scrutiny and new standards for crypto raise the bar
When Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney assumed office last year, industry observers expected a cautious approach to crypto in Canada.
Carney had previously expressed skepticism about crypto. As Governor of the Bank of England, he said that “Cryptocurrencies act as money, at best, only for some people and to a limited extent, and even then only in parallel with the traditional currencies of the users. The short answer is they are failing.”
Still, he called for regulating the crypto space, and said that the underlying technologies could “improve financial stability; support more innovative, efficient and reliable payment services as well as have wider applications.”
In May 2025, Morva Rohani, executive director of the Canadian Web3 Council, said, “With Mark Carney at the helm of the Liberal Party, we anticipate a pragmatic but regulation-first approach to crypto and stablecoins.”
Carney’s Liberals defeated the Conservatives in the 2025 elections.
Focusing on regulation has led to increased scrutiny and higher standards for the cryptocurrency industry in Canada.
Naveen Maher, chief compliance officer of Canadian crypto exchange operator WonderFi, noted that the Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) had closed off the “restricted dealer” registration category. The status was created for targeted firms that do not fit into traditional dealer categories, such as crypto trading platforms. Now they have to become full investor dealers through the CSA, and become members of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO), a non-profit, national self-regulatory organization.
It led to some consolidation. “That’s a significant shift and it’s removed several players who were sitting in that interim status with a hope that the rules wouldn’t tighten further,” said Maher.
WonderFi “made the call early to get fully registered under CIRO” through its trading platform Coinsquare. This required significant investment and compliance, but now allows the firm to operate “under the highest available regulatory standard in Canada.”
“The firms that delayed that transition are now looking at a much steeper climb,” Maher said.
Policymakers are also finalizing amendments to National Instrument 81-102, the primary Canadian regulation investment funds and mutual funds, including those containing crypto.
“These rules raise the bar across the industry and favor established firms like ours, who already have the infrastructure to absorb them,” Maher said.
Ottawa is also moving to implement the Crypto Assets Reporting Framework from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Implementation has been delayed until Jan.1, 2027, but according to Maher, “It will impose annual reporting obligations on every crypto service provider operating […] For other smaller or offshore players, this may be a real issue.”
Rohani told Cointelegraph on Friday that regulators are also enforcing registration requirements more visibly. On Monday, Canada’s Financial Transactions and Reports Analysis Centre (FINTRAC) revoked the money services businesses (MSB) registrations of 47 crypto businesses.
“Industry reaction has been that this is a counterparty risk moment, if your partners are not fully compliant, your own operations are exposed,” she said.
Crypto industry and regulators still have different priorities
Standards for crypto in Canada may have come closer to those governing the rest of the financial industry, but the policymakers and the blockchain industry are still apart on certain issues.
For the government, the big one was stablecoins, according to Maher. “Once the US moved on stablecoin legislation, Ottawa followed.” After stablecoins, everything else points in the same direction, which is bringing crypto into the traditional financial system, on regulators’ timeline,” she said.
Rohani said that “Canada is beginning to treat parts of crypto as closer to the core financial system rather than purely peripheral, but the primary lens is still risk management.”
The stablecoin legislation was part of this latter concern. “This shift is being driven by Carney in response to rapid developments in the US, particularly frameworks like the GENIUS Act, which are viewed as a geopolitical risk.”
The Bank of Canada said the framework would benefit issues and individuals. Source: Bank of Canada
Furthermore, the government is “focused on stability, consumer protection, and ensuring that new digital instruments do not introduce systemic risk,” said Rohani.
The industry, meanwhile, is seeking more “clear, workable” rules concerning stablecoins, custody and asset tokenization.
Per Maher, the crypto sector needs harmonization. “Right now, you have FINTRAC, the CSA, CIRO, the CRA [Canada Revenue Agency], and provincial regulators all touching different parts of the same business. The coordination is improving but it’s still fragmented.”
She also noted issues of product access. Stating that Canadians can’t hold crypto in their registered retirement savings plans or their tax-free savings accounts “in any straightforward way.”
Some policymakers still not sold on crypto
In 2018, Carney said that the “underlying technologies” behind crypto “are exciting.” This separation of blockchain from crypto still continues and is visible in the Canadian government’s regulatory approach.
Rohai said, ”There is still a clear distinction. Policymakers are more comfortable with blockchain as infrastructure.” This is exemplified with Project Samara, where Export Development Canada issued a $100 million Canadian dollar bond on Hyperledger.
Policymakers, “remain cautious on crypto assets themselves, which are still viewed primarily through a risk and investor protection lens.”
Maher said that the blockchain/crypto split is “not subtle,” stating that Carney has a preference for central bank digital currencies over decentralized assets.
“This view shapes the administration’s posture which is comfortable with digital assets as a regulated investment category and considerably less comfortable with anything which sits outside that box,” she said.
Financial products which “map cleanly on the existing frameworks” like Bitcoin exchange-traded funds move forward. “DeFi, self-custody, on-chain settlement sits in a different category, and the industry is aware of it.”
Cointelegraph Features publishes long-form journalism, analysis, and narrative reporting produced by Cointelegraph’s in-house editorial team with subject-matter expertise. All articles are edited and reviewed by Cointelegraph editors in line with our editorial standards. Research or perspective in this article does not reflect the views of Cointelegraph as a company unless explicitly stated. Content published in Features does not constitute financial, legal, or investment advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals where appropriate. Cointelegraph maintains full editorial independence. The selection, commissioning, and publication of Features and Magazine content are not influenced by advertisers, partners, or commercial relationships. This content is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy.
South Korea’s National Tax Service (NTS) is moving to select a private custody provider for seized crypto assets after a February press release exposed a wallet recovery phrase and triggered the unauthorized transfer of confiscated tokens.
On Feb. 26, the NTS accidentally exposed a crypto wallet seed phrase in an official press release, resulting in the unauthorized transfer of crypto tokens valued at about $4.8 million. The release included an image of a Ledger cold wallet and a sheet of paper showing the mnemonic phrase without being blurred.
Citing people familiar with the matter, ZDNet Korea reported that the agency is reviewing a plan to outsource custody of confiscated crypto and is drafting selection criteria for providers. The NTS is reportedly aiming to select a provider within the first half of 2026.
The agency plans to evaluate candidates based on several factors, including security requirements, company size, and whether the firm holds insurance under South Korea’s Virtual Asset User Protection Act, ZDNet Korea reported.
The move shows South Korean authorities are trying to formalize custody of seized crypto after a series of handling failures exposed weaknesses in how confiscated digital assets are stored and managed.
New task force to oversee custody provider selection process
The custody selection will reportedly be led by a newly-formed task force focused on advancing digital asset management systems.
The task force is reportedly working on several initiatives, including improving operational manuals covering the full life cycle of seized assets, from seizure to storage and liquidation. It would also conduct assessments and personnel training.
The group is also preparing to establish a dedicated division to oversee crypto-related work.
An NTS official said that since crypto is relatively new, responsibilities are split across departments. However, preparations are underway to create a centralized unit, ZDNet Korea reported.
NTS wallet seed leak prompts inter-agency probe
The NTS’s wallet leak and a separate custody failure in which Seoul’s Gangnam police allegedly lost 22 BTC seized prompted authorities to conduct an inter-agency review of seized crypto assets.
On March 1, South Korea’s Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Economy and Finance, Koo Yun-cheol, announced a cross-agency probe on how the government handles seized digital assets.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
Bitcoin (BTC) has endured a 14-month bear market against gold, with the BTC/gold ratio and momentum indicators at historic lows that previously marked cycle bottoms.
Key takeaways:
The BTC/GOLD ratio is at historic lows as multiple indicators hint at a cycle bottom.
Bitcoin price must hold $70,000 to avoid a deeper drop over the coming weeks.
BTC/GOLD RSI, MACD print classic reversal signal
Data from TradingView reveals that the relative strength index (RSI) of the BTC/GOLD ratio has begun climbing.
The weekly RSI reached its most oversold level of 21 in mid-February, signaling fading bearish momentum.
The RSI has now recovered to 33 from 21 in mid-February. When combined with a buy signal on the MACD, the picture begins to resemble previous cycles.
“Bottom is in for $BTC vs Gold,” technical analyst James Easto said in an X post on Friday, adding that the “stage is set” for Bitcoin’s recovery.
The last time Bitcoin bottomed against gold was in November 2022. It marked the beginning of a 700% BTC price rally to its current all-time high of $126,000.
Analysts at GeoMetric said the past 3 BTC/GOLD bear markets have taken between 12-14 months, with the drawdowns ranging from 75% to 84%.
About 13 months have elapsed in the current cycle, which has “so far gone down 81%, surpassing the 2021 bear market,” the analysts said, adding:
“I think there is a solid case for a potential bottom here.”
Investor and analyst Crypto Fergani echoed both scenarios discussed above saying:
“For over 13 years, we’ve seen the same pattern: Bitcoin enters a bear market against gold that lasts roughly 400 days. During that time, the RSI falls into deeply oversold territory. Historically, these phases have always marked the bottom.”
Bitcoin price must hold above $70,000
Meanwhile, BTC/USD remains cautiously bullish as long as it holds the $68,000-$70,000 support zone. This is where the 200-week exponential moving average (EMA) and 50-day simple moving average sit.
The 200-week EMA forms a key support band for BTC price during bear markets, and analysts warn that its reliability could be tested on Sunday’s weekly close.
Bitcoin analyst AlphaBTC said he had faith that Bitcoin will recover to $80,000 before dropping toward $50,000, as long as the price stayed above the weekly low at $68,800.
“I don’t want to see this week’s low lost, otherwise it’s going to break back down to range lows or lower!”
BTC/USD 8-hour chart. Source: X/AlphaBTC
As Cointelegraph reported, holding $70,000 would align with a previous fractal recovery path, opening a move toward $76,000-$80,000.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Coinbase Asset Management’s Anthony Bassili says the Bitcoin Yield Fund’s tokenized share class checks “identity and eligibility at the token level” for compliance.
Coinbase has brought its Bitcoin Yield Fund onto its Base blockchain, §launching a tokenized share class for the fund with financial services firm Apex Group.
Apex said in a statement on Thursday that the tokenized share class of Coinbase Asset Management’s fund “is set up to interact with compatible platforms, wallets, and infrastructure without compromising compliance.”
Coinbase Asset Management president Anthony Bassili said that the share class integrates “identity and eligibility at the token level” for regulatory compliance.
Financial institutions have been tokenizing stocks, bonds, funds, commodities and real estate on the blockchain in search of lower costs, faster settlement and round-the-clock trading.
Asset managers like BlackRock, Fidelity Investments and Franklin Templeton have already launched tokenized funds on-chain.
Apex enables institutions to access ERC‑3643 tokens
The tokenized share class of Coinbase’s fund, which offers exposure to Bitcoin (BTC) and yield, will be available on Base only to institutional and accredited investors outside of the US.
The share class uses the ERC‑3643 permissioned token standard to ensure only eligible investors have access to the Bitcoin yield product.
Coinbase plans to launch a tokenized share class of the Coinbase Bitcoin Yield Fund for US investors in the future.
Apex acts as the on-chain transfer agent for the tokenized Coinbase Bitcoin Yield Fund, and is tasked with handling token ownership, enforcing compliance and transfer rules, and maintaining a record of transactions on the Base blockchain.
The non-US version targets a 4% to 8% annual return in Bitcoin. Coinbase said at the time that it launched the product to address Bitcoin’s inability to generate native yield, unlike proof-of-stake assets such as Ether (ETH) and Solana (SOL).
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
Transaction cost analysis (TCA) has long been an important tool in equity trading. With this instrument, traders can see the hidden costs that a transaction carries and minimize the difference between the expected and the actual price.
As crypto matures, it begins to resemble traditional financial markets and functions like other tradable instruments. Crypto transactions also come with costs: fees that investors pay every time they buy or sell crypto.
Yet there is one thing that is clearly not keeping pace with this development. Execution costs for crypto analyzed systematically. Understanding how much it actually costs to execute a deal leaves much to be desired.
This opacity demands the crypto industry urgently adopt transaction cost analysis before it kills market trust.
Invisible costs in the crypto market
To the untrained eye, major crypto pairs can seem liquid; order books are deep, and quoted spreads are competitive. In the end, however, the final execution price can deviate from the expected one due to slippage.
For example, an investor wanted to buy 1 Bitcoin (BTC) for $90,000, but because of the sudden market volatility, the final price was $90,900. The slippage, in this case, would be $900, or 1% of the intended trade amount.
This problem is inherent not only in crypto; it also exists in traditional finance. In equity markets, however, these costs are measured precisely, compared and analyzed with the use of TCA, coupled with best execution.
In contrast, for crypto, the real price of entry or exit is often hard to calculate or predict manually. This is precisely where TCA becomes valuable, as it can allow crypto traders to break down the true cost of execution, knowing exactly bid-ask spreads, market effect and order routing fees.
With TCA tools, crypto transactions can become more transparent, and traders can easily identify the sources of costs associated with executing trades.
Crypto transactions can be hard to price
If it were that easy in real life, however, TCA analysis would already be an integral part of crypto markets. The main issue is that cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, changing every millisecond and trading happens around the clock. It has a significant influence on trade execution costs, as sometimes investors are simply not on time when making purchases.
The liquidity is low, and the fragmentation, due to the existence of a number of exchanges, remains high. This situation worsens as some platforms may have outages or less available liquidity, which causes even more slippage.
Speaking of costs, things get opaque in crypto. Some costs can often be included quietly within the trade prices, complicating the “total consideration.” It’s difficult to really know the full cost of a trade.
There is an issue of a lack of data as well. A meaningful transaction cost analysis requires standardized data. For example, in equity markets, information is typically available from centralized sources. As cryptocurrencies have a decentralized nature, trading activity is fragmented across numerous exchanges and platforms, making it difficult to aggregate data and perform reliable analysis.
The crypto market also suffers from the absence of regulation and a universal definition of TCA or best execution. As a result, the portfolio performance is highly dependent on external factors such as the speed of a trade or the “health” of the venue and not on the capabilities of an asset manager or investor.
Toward measurable execution
Regulators are beginning to recognize this gap in execution. For example, in 2025, the European Securities and Markets Authority updated its standards, including best execution, to extend beyond equities to include asset classes such as foreign exchange, commodities and, most importantly, crypto.
This does not introduce a transaction cost analysis per se and does not prescribe specific performance indicators, but it’s an important precedent. Execution transparency becomes more mandatory for digital assets.
Although regularization alone cannot solve the problem of invisible trading costs, it still makes investors think more about the need for TCA. If market participants can see how much trading really costs and how these additional fees differ between exchanges, the market will become more efficient.
The dilemma of scattered data and lack of standardization is now being solved with cloud computing and big data analysis that made it significantly easier and more cost-effective to collect large volumes of data and process it. Powered by machine learning, platforms can conduct transaction cost analysis across venues and identify patterns that were previously inaccessible.
The massive use of TCA would help traders reduce costs and increase liquidity. Trading volume flows would gradually move to a place where there are better conditions, which would stimulate competition between the exchanges and assets.
Opinion by: Arthur Azizov, founder of B2 Ventures.
This opinion article presents the author’s expert view, and it may not reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. This content has undergone editorial review to ensure clarity and relevance. Cointelegraph remains committed to transparent reporting and upholding the highest standards of journalism. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research before taking any actions related to the company.
Solana shows mixed signals with RSI neutral at 48.28 and bearish MACD momentum. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $94-$102 range if bulls reclaim key levels. SOL Price Prediction S…
Solana shows mixed signals with RSI neutral at 48.28 and bearish MACD momentum. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $94-$102 range if bulls reclaim key levels.
While specific analyst predictions are limited for the immediate term, recent analysis from James Ding suggests a bullish long-term outlook for Solana. According to his January 15, 2026 assessment, “Solana shows bullish momentum above key moving averages with analyst targets ranging from $153 to $480 in 2026.”
However, this optimistic Solana forecast contrasts sharply with current price action. At $87.80, SOL trades significantly below these projected ranges, indicating either a major buying opportunity or overly optimistic projections. On-chain data from major analytics platforms suggests mixed momentum, with network activity remaining robust despite price weakness.
SOL Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current technical picture for SOL presents a neutral-to-bearish setup. The RSI at 48.28 sits in neutral territory, neither oversold nor overbought, suggesting indecision among traders. More concerning is the MACD histogram at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has stalled but hasn’t yet turned positive.
Solana’s position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.51 shows the price trading slightly above the middle band ($87.61), with room to move toward the upper band at $94.92. The current daily volatility measured by ATR stands at $4.59, providing clear expectations for potential price swings.
Key resistance levels emerge at $90.32 (immediate) and $92.85 (strong), while support holds at $86.36 and $84.93. The 24-hour trading range of $91.41 to $87.45 demonstrates the current consolidation phase.
Solana Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
A bullish SOL price prediction scenario requires reclaiming the $90.32 resistance level with volume. Success here would target the upper Bollinger Band at $94.92, followed by the strong resistance at $92.85.
For this Solana forecast to materialize, we need:
– RSI pushing above 55 to confirm momentum
– MACD histogram turning positive
– Volume surge above the recent average of 245 million
Extended targets in a strong bull case could reach $102-$105, aligning with previous support-turned-resistance levels.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case activates if SOL breaks below the critical support at $84.93. This would expose the lower Bollinger Band at $80.30 and potentially trigger a deeper correction toward $75-$78.
Risk factors include:
– Overall crypto market weakness
– Failed recovery attempts at current resistance
– MACD remaining in bearish territory
Should You Buy SOL? Entry Strategy
For traders considering SOL positions, the current setup offers defined risk-reward opportunities. Conservative entries should wait for a break above $90.32 with confirmation, targeting $94-$96 initially.
Aggressive buyers might consider accumulating in the $86-$88 range, using the strong support at $84.93 as a stop-loss level. This provides a favorable 3:1 risk-reward ratio targeting the $94-$102 range.
Risk management remains crucial given the mixed technical signals. Position sizing should account for the $4.59 daily volatility and potential for extended consolidation.
Conclusion
This SOL price prediction suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for the next 30 days, with targets of $94-$102 representing realistic upside potential. The neutral RSI provides room for upward movement, while the Bollinger Band positioning supports a test of higher levels.
However, the bearish MACD momentum requires careful monitoring. Traders should wait for clearer technical confirmation before committing significant capital. The longer-term Solana forecast remains positive based on fundamental developments, but near-term price action may remain choppy.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.
ADA trades at $0.26 with neutral RSI at 45.47. Technical analysis suggests potential recovery to $0.29 upper Bollinger Band, though bearish MACD signals caution for Cardano investors.
While specific analyst predictions are limited in recent trading sessions, historical analysis from blockchain.news shows consistent targeting of the $0.43 resistance zone by technical analysts. However, current market conditions suggest more conservative near-term expectations.
According to on-chain data platforms, Cardano’s trading volume of $29.7 million on Binance indicates moderate institutional interest, though well below peak activity levels seen in previous bull cycles.
ADA Technical Analysis Breakdown
Cardano’s current technical setup presents a mixed picture for price prediction purposes. Trading at $0.26, ADA sits below all major moving averages, with the 200-day SMA at $0.49 highlighting the significant distance from longer-term bullish territory.
The RSI reading of 45.47 places Cardano in neutral territory, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This positioning typically indicates consolidation phases where directional moves require external catalysts.
MACD indicators show bearish momentum with a histogram reading of 0.0000, indicating minimal momentum in either direction. The convergence of MACD lines suggests potential for trend reversal, though confirmation requires additional technical signals.
Bollinger Bands reveal ADA trading at 0.40 position between bands, with the upper band at $0.29 representing immediate resistance and the lower band at $0.25 marking critical support levels.
Cardano Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
The bullish case for ADA price prediction centers on a break above the immediate resistance at $0.27, which aligns with multiple moving averages. Success here opens the path to the upper Bollinger Band at $0.29, representing a 12% upside potential from current levels.
Technical confirmation would require RSI pushing above 50 and MACD histogram turning positive. Volume expansion above the current $29.7 million daily average would strengthen bullish conviction for this Cardano forecast.
A sustained move above $0.29 could target the next major resistance zone around $0.32, though this requires broader cryptocurrency market cooperation.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish scenario for Cardano involves a breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band at $0.25, which represents the most critical support level in the current technical structure.
Below $0.25, ADA could face a deeper correction toward $0.22-$0.20, where historical support levels converge. The significant gap between current price and the 200-day moving average at $0.49 suggests prolonged consolidation risks.
Risk factors include continued bearish MACD readings, potential volume decline, and broader market weakness affecting altcoin sentiment.
Should You Buy ADA? Entry Strategy
For the ADA price prediction strategy, conservative accumulation near the $0.25 lower Bollinger Band offers favorable risk-reward positioning. This level provides natural stop-loss placement just below $0.24.
Aggressive traders might consider entries on breaks above $0.27 with volume confirmation, targeting the $0.29 upper band resistance. Stop-loss levels should be placed below $0.26 to limit downside exposure.
Risk management remains crucial given the 88% distance from the 200-day moving average, suggesting Cardano remains in a longer-term corrective phase despite near-term consolidation patterns.
Conclusion
This ADA price prediction suggests a cautious approach to Cardano’s near-term prospects. While technical indicators show neutral momentum with potential for recovery to $0.29, the bearish MACD and distance from major moving averages limit upside conviction.
The most probable Cardano forecast indicates continued range-bound trading between $0.25-$0.29 over the coming weeks, with directional clarity dependent on broader market catalysts.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and uncertainty. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
As of Thursday, Polymarket bettors are pricing in about 71% odds of BTC dropping below $55,000 before Dec. 31, a 13% increase from the previous day.
Traders set 59% odds of BTC crossing below the $50,000 psychological level and a 46% chance that it goes as low as $45,000 before the end of the year.
Bitcoin prices target odds before Dec. 31. Source: Polymarket
The lower price target forecasts for BTC mimic those elsewhere. On fellow prediction site Kalshi, traders set 71% odds of Bitcoin dropping below $60,000, with a 65% chance that it drops below $55,000. The lowest price target on Kalshi is $40,000, with a 31% possibility that BTC drops to this level before Dec. 31.
Odds that Strategy sells Bitcoin in 2026. Source: Polymarket.
Polymarket traders still see routine Strategy purchases throughout the year as a high-probability event, with a 96% chance of it holding over 800,000 BTC by Dec. 31.
As Cointelegraph reported, the largest ETF offering from asset manager BlackRock saw $34 million in outflows as investor sentiment returned to “extreme fear.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
Apex Group’s Tokeny has tapped Polygon Labs to launch T-REX Ledger, a compliance-focused blockchain designed to help regulated tokenized assets move across networks without repeating investor checks and transfer restrictions.
In a Thursday release shared with Cointelegraph, the project said it targets a key friction point in tokenized markets. ERC-3643 is an Ethereum-based token standard for permissioned tokens representing real-world assets that can support compliant issuance of RWAs, but identity checks, eligibility rules and transfer restrictions often remain fragmented when the same asset is distributed across multiple blockchains.
T-REX Ledger is being pitched as a shared compliance layer that other chains can query, while settlement continues to take place on external networks. Built with Polygon’s Chain Development Kit and connected to Agglayer, the system is intended to act as a common registry for investor eligibility and transfer rules across tokenized securities.
The launch comes as financial and crypto infrastructure groups race to build infrastructure for tokenized markets. The New York Stock Exchange parent company, Intercontinental Exchange, has outlined plans for a new platform for tokenized stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), while the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) joined the ERC-3643 Association in 2025 as institutions push deeper into tokenized collateral and securities infrastructure.
Fixing fragmented compliance
In the release, the network was described as a “shared source of truth” for investor eligibility and transfer rules.
The core problem T-REX aims to solve is that ERC-3643 enables compliant issuance but does not maintain a shared compliance state across chains. The same security measures applied to Ethereum and Polygon, for example, still run separate eligibility checks, identity attestations and transfer restrictions.
Joachim Lebrun, co-founder of T-REX Network and chief blockchain officer of Tokeny, told Cointelegraph that T-REX Ledger would support the issuance and lifecycle management of regulated digital securities, including bonds, funds, equities and structured products, with identity, eligibility and transfer rules embedded directly into ERC-3643 tokens.
Apex Group will act as the first onchain transfer agent and plans to adopt T-REX Ledger as its default multi-chain orchestration layer with an initial target of $100 billion in tokenized assets by June 2027.
T-REX Ledger centralizes compliance logic in a dedicated chain that other networks can query, while settlement remains on external chains.
Lebrun said, “The market has grown into a multi-chain world for tokenization” and argued that T-REX Ledger turned other blockchains into “distribution channels,” enabling regulated assets to move to “wherever liquidity exists with speed, compliance, and control.”
T-REX is pitching itself as a neutral registry layer that can sit alongside players in the tokenization race. Lebrun said that a security issued via T-REX Ledger “could ultimately settle at DTCC” because “the compliance validation doesn’t need to live on the same network as the settlement.”
The chain itself will run as a sovereign Polygon CDK network governed by a dedicated steering committee, while ERC-3643 and its compliance framework remain open source under the ERC-3643 Association, not Polygon.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
