Oracle provider RedStone has launched its price feed infrastructure on the Stellar network, introducing a new data layer for decentralized finance (DeFi) applications on a blockchain historically focused on payments and stablecoin transfers.
The deployment makes price feeds for major crypto assets and stablecoins available on the Stellar mainnet, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), USD Coin (USDC) and PayPal USD (PYUSD). The rollout also includes pricing data for the Franklin Templeton BENJI tokenized money market fund.
RedStone said the feeds are designed to support financial applications like lending markets, decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and tokenized real-world asset (RWA) platforms building on Stellar.
The launch adds a new infrastructure provider to Stellar’s emerging DeFi stack as developers experiment with lending, tokenized assets and onchain financial services.
Stellar expands DeFi infrastructure
RedStone said the price feeds rely on a deviation-based update system and freshness checks intended to ensure data accuracy for financial applications.
“Stellar has long demonstrated its strength as a blockchain for real-world financial activity, particularly in payments and stablecoins,” RedStone co-founder Marcin Kazmierczak said in a statement.
He added that an enterprise-level oracle infrastructure was “what has been missing” for the network to unlock more advanced financial applications.
RedStone operates in a competitive oracle market dominated by Chainlink. Data from DeFiLlama shows Chainlink secures about 64% of the market by value, followed by Chronicle with 11%.
Internal protocol oracles account for about 6%, while Pyth and RedStone hold about 5.8% and 5.5%, respectively.
The launch comes weeks after a DeFi exploit on Stellar highlighted risks tied to price feeds and collateral valuation in lending protocols.
On Feb. 21, attackers drained roughly $10 million from a YieldBlox DAO-managed lending pool built on the Blend protocol after manipulating the price of the USTRY token used as collateral.
A security analysis by blockchain security firm BlockSec found the lending protocol relied on a price path linked to the shallow USTRY/USDC market on Stellar’s decentralized exchange. The manipulated price inflated the token’s collateral value, allowing the attacker to borrow assets beyond its real worth.
A Redstone spokesperson told Cointelegraph that relying on thin onchain markets for price discovery can expose lending pools to manipulation risks.
“The February exploit was only possible because an oracle was deriving a price from a market with less than one dollar in hourly trading volume,” the spokesperson said.
RedStone said its price feeds instead use deviation-based updates, typically around 0.5% to 1% for stablecoins, along with minimum daily refreshes to ensure data remains current.
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Crypto markets became the first outlet for investor reaction after US and Israeli strikes on Iran rattled global sentiment over the weekend.
At around 7:30 am (UTC) on Saturday, or in the wee hours of Wall Street, US President Donald Trump posted a video to announce that the US and Israel had launched attacks against Iran. Bitcoin (BTC) immediately reacted and dropped to around $63,000.
Meanwhile, traders rushed to crypto-native platforms to trade commodities futures while traditional markets remained closed.
Bitcoin’s rollercoaster weekend foreshadowed major indexes opening lower on Monday. Source: TradingView
Including the latest war breaking out, major geopolitical events have frequently occurred over the weekend or late Friday evenings. As crypto is increasingly tied to macro settings, Bitcoin’s 24/7 trading is evolving as a gauge of stock markets while they’re closed.
“The initial [weekend] move to the downside was sharp but contained, [and] Bitcoin never broke its broader market structure. When confirmation came that [Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei] had been killed and the immediate escalation risk appeared limited, price retraced quickly, and Bitcoin held its footing,” Jonatan Randin, senior market analyst at PrimeXBT, told Cointelegraph.
“By Monday morning, traditional market participants who had been watching crypto through the weekend already had a clear read on sentiment: This was a significant geopolitical event, but not a systemic one,” he added.
Bitcoin absorbing geopolitical shocks in real time
Though not always the case, governments and public companies often consider releasing important announcements before or after markets close. A guideline from New Zealand on dealing with financial products is among those that directly state this:
“Unless compelling reasons exist to release the announcement or media release while the affected market is open, it should be made when the market is closed to give investors time to consider the information before the market opens.”
Due to the nonstop trading cycle, crypto investors often don’t have time to assess the information and must react in real time, as observed during the war escalation over the weekend.
“While liquidity can be thinner during these periods, occasionally amplifying short-term volatility, the uninterrupted market ultimately enhances real-time price discovery and accelerates the adjustment process,” Iliya Kalchev, analyst at Nexo Dispatch, told Cointelegraph.
It certainly felt that way on Oct. 10, 2025, when the crypto market experienced its largest liquidation event on record. Trump threatened steep tariffs against China, which was enough to tank markets.
This occurred before the US closing bell, so Bitcoin sank along with major stock market indexes. However, crypto markets continued to operate afterward, and liquidations continued, totaling around $19 billion.
The mass liquidation event known as 10/10 showed investor sentiment evolving through Bitcoin’s price before markets opened. Source: TradingView
For macro traders, this makes crypto a real-time sentiment gauge during geopolitical shocks. When events occur outside traditional trading hours, investors increasingly turn to digital asset markets to express their views on risk, liquidity or inflation expectations before equity, bond or commodity markets reopen.
Crypto’s 24/7 market does not stop at Bitcoin or other spot assets. Much of the activity now flows through perpetual futures across centralized and decentralized exchanges, while institutions are also experimenting with tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) that bring traditional financial instruments onto blockchain rails.
24/7 trading open beyond spot crypto
As Bloomberg reported, perpetual futures decentralized exchange Hyperliquid became a popular trading platform for commodities and traditional assets, like oil and precious metals.
Hyperliquid’s volume also usually drops on weekends, DefiLlama data shows. But in the past weekend of geopolitical unrest, its volume remained high and matched that of business days.
Hyperliquid’s trading volume did not have its usual weekend drop. Source: DefiLlama
Weekend trading demand is increasingly reflected in traditional finance through surging institutional interest in RWAs. Tokenized assets inherit some of crypto’s market features, including cross-border accessibility and trading outside conventional market hours.
McKinsey and Standard Chartered estimate tokenized assets could reach around $2 trillion by 2030, while Boston Consulting Group projects the market could grow to between $16 trillion and $30 trillion over the same period.
Traditional markets are also moving to extend their trading hours. In December, Nasdaq sought approval for a 23-hour trading system, split into day and night sessions with a maintenance hour in between, which wasn’t well received by financial services firm Wells Fargo.
“I cannot think of an action that single-handedly gamifies the stock market even more than it has already become. This is the epitome of making trading even more like gambling,” Wells Fargo’s trading desk said in a note to clients, as reported by CNBC.
In January, the New York Stock Exchange said it is developing a 24/7 blockchain platform for stocks and exchange-traded funds.
Crypto markets absorbing global shocks in real time
Weekend geopolitical shocks are increasingly testing the structure of global markets. While traditional financial systems pause between trading sessions, crypto continues to absorb information and reflect investor sentiment in real time.
“Bitcoin has evolved into a highly sensitive macro asset, reacting not only to technology-sector dynamics but also to shifts in liquidity conditions, monetary policy expectations and geopolitical tensions,” Kalchev said.
Bitwise’s Hougan said the weekend trading activity made traditional stock exchanges look “archaic.”
While more traditional finance venues are exploring extended or uninterrupted trading systems, Hougan said the blockchain markets’ performance during the past weekend’s military escalation suggested the blockchain transition may happen faster than he previously expected. He claimed he previously expected traditional finance to move onchain within 10 years.
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The United Kingdom House of Lords grilled Coinbase’s top international policy executive on Wednesday over whether stablecoins would drain bank deposits and add new risks to the UK financial system, pressing him on everything from Silicon Valley Bank‑style runs to illicit finance and Know Your Customer (KYC) rules.
During the Lords’ stablecoins inquiry, Tom Duff Gordon, Coinbase’s vice president for international policy, insisted that fully reserved, regulated stablecoins were “safer than uninsured bank deposits” because they are backed one‑to‑one by cash and high‑quality government securities and can be redeemed at par.
He argued that stablecoins could materially reduce payment costs, speed up cross‑border payments, and underpin new artificial intelligence driven “agentic” payment flows.
Duff Gordon pushed back on suggestions that Coinbase was seeking to dodge KYC obligations and warned that overly tight Bank of England and Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) proposals on capital, holding limits and rewards risk would choke off competition. That, he said, would leave the UK lagging the United States’ Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act regime and Europe’s Markets in Crypto Assets Regulation (MiCA) framework in the global race to attract stablecoin innovation.
Lords probe deposit drain and crime concerns
The Lords repeatedly challenged Duff Gordon on who actually bears redemption risk in a crisis, whether current arrangements merely shift risk from banks to non‑bank issuers, and whether allowing rewards on stablecoins would trigger a “deposit drain” from UK banks.
Coinbase’sTom Duff Gordon gives evidence. Source: Parliament TV
Duff Gordon countered that fears over disintermediation and credit creation were “wildly exaggerated,” and that stablecoins were already used by major corporates and card plans to cut payment costs.
Committee members also raised concerns about the role of stablecoins in crime, prompting Duff Gordon to emphasize Coinbase’s KYC, Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and sanctions screening of customers. He argued that onchain transparency and exchange-level controls could make it easier, not harder, to police illicit flows compared with traditional cash.
UK could fall behind in stablecoin race
Adam Jackson, chief strategy officer at Innovate Finance, an independent industry body for the UK financial technology sector, argued that the UK risked establishing a regime that was “more prescriptive and less competitive” than the EU’s MiCA rules. “We risk being second movers but second movers who are less competitive than the first movers,” he warned.
The hearing came as a sharp contrast to the committee’s previous session, where critics including Financial Times commentator Chris Giles and US law professor Arthur E. Wilmarth Jr expressed their doubts about whether stablecoins were likely to become a mainstream form of money in the UK and backed a tougher Bank of England approach.
Wilmarth Jr went so far as to brand the US’s GENIUS Act as a “disastrous mistake” for letting non‑banks into “the money business.”
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AAVE trades at $115.90 with neutral RSI at 45.89. Technical analysis suggests potential rally to $135-140 range, but must break $122.81 resistance first.
AAVE Price Prediction: Technical Indicators Signal Mixed Outlook for March 2026
Aave (AAVE) is currently trading at $115.90, down 0.97% in the last 24 hours, as the DeFi protocol’s native token consolidates within a defined trading range. With several key technical levels in focus, this AAVE price prediction examines the potential paths forward for one of decentralized finance’s leading lending protocols.
While specific analyst predictions are limited in recent trading sessions, several forecasters have provided bullish outlooks for AAVE in recent weeks. According to on-chain data and technical analysis from late February, Terrill Dicki noted that “AAVE shows bullish momentum with 5.33% daily gains, targeting $128 resistance breakout. Technical indicators suggest potential rally to $135-140 range by mid-March 2026.”
Additionally, Aishwarya Shashikumar projected that “AAVE currently trades at $113.94 after experiencing a 30-day price drop. The price prediction shows a 19.95% increase which will raise the value to $137.51 by March 3, 2026.”
However, CoinCodex data from March 1st indicates that “Aave is up 7.61% today against the US Dollar. AAVE is currently trading 17.22% below our prediction on Mar 06, 2026,” suggesting some forecasts may have been overly optimistic in the near term.
AAVE Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current technical picture for AAVE presents a mixed but cautiously optimistic outlook:
RSI Analysis: At 45.89, AAVE’s RSI sits in neutral territory, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. This suggests room for movement in either direction, with the potential for upward momentum if buying pressure increases.
MACD Indicators: The MACD histogram sits at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has stalled. With MACD at -4.1947 and the signal line also at -4.1947, the indicators suggest a potential trend reversal may be forming.
Bollinger Bands Position: AAVE is positioned at 0.35 within the Bollinger Bands, sitting closer to the lower band ($108.28) than the upper band ($129.76). This positioning typically indicates potential for upward movement, especially with the middle band (20-day SMA) at $119.02 providing nearby resistance.
Moving Average Analysis: The token trades below most key moving averages, with the 7-day SMA at $114.63 providing immediate support. The 20-day SMA at $119.02 represents the first significant resistance level to overcome.
Aave Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish case, AAVE needs to break above the immediate resistance at $119.35 and then challenge the strong resistance level at $122.81. Success at these levels could trigger the Aave forecast targeting $135-140 as projected by analysts.
Key bullish catalysts include:
– Breaking above the 20-day SMA at $119.02
– RSI moving above 50 to confirm bullish momentum
– Daily trading volume exceeding $40 million consistently
– Reclaiming the upper Bollinger Band at $129.76
Bearish Scenario
The bearish scenario sees AAVE falling below immediate support at $110.17, potentially testing the strong support level at $104.45. A break below this could expose the lower Bollinger Band around $108.28.
Risk factors include:
– Failure to hold above the pivot point at $113.63
– RSI dropping below 40
– Broader crypto market weakness
– DeFi sector rotation
Should You Buy AAVE? Entry Strategy
Based on current technical levels, potential entry strategies include:
Conservative Entry: Wait for a break above $119.35 with volume confirmation before entering, targeting the $128-135 range.
Aggressive Entry: Current levels around $115.90 offer a risk-reward opportunity, with a stop-loss below $110.17.
DCA Strategy: Given the neutral RSI and consolidation pattern, dollar-cost averaging between $110-120 may be optimal for longer-term positions.
The daily ATR of $9.38 indicates significant volatility, suggesting position sizing should account for potential 8-10% daily swings.
Conclusion
This AAVE price prediction suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for March 2026. While immediate momentum appears bearish according to MACD indicators, the neutral RSI and analyst forecasts pointing toward $135-140 targets suggest potential upside once key resistance levels are cleared.
The critical level to watch remains $122.81 – a decisive break above this level could validate the bullish Aave forecast targeting the $135-140 range by mid-March. However, failure to hold support at $110.17 could lead to further downside testing.
Disclaimer: This AAVE price prediction is based on technical analysis and should not be considered financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before investing.
While specific analyst predictions from key opinion leaders are limited in recent trading sessions, third-party analysis provides some insight into Lido DAO’s potential trajectory. According to CoinCodex projections from early January 2026, LDO was predicted to reach $0.651700, though current price action suggests a more conservative outlook may be warranted.
Blockchain.News analysis from late December 2025 indicated potential upside of 16-23% to the $0.66-$0.70 range within 4-6 weeks, though current technical conditions suggest these targets may require significant bullish catalyst to materialize from the current $0.32 level.
On-chain metrics and trading data suggest mixed sentiment, with daily volume of $2.8 million indicating moderate institutional interest but lacking the conviction typically seen during major breakout attempts.
LDO Technical Analysis Breakdown
Lido DAO’s current technical setup presents a neutral-to-bearish bias with several key indicators worth monitoring. The RSI reading of 41.68 places LDO in neutral territory, suggesting neither oversold nor overbought conditions that could trigger immediate directional moves.
The MACD configuration shows concerning signals with both the MACD line and signal line at -0.0271, while the histogram sits at 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum that has yet to fully reverse. This suggests selling pressure may continue in the near term unless buying interest emerges.
Bollinger Bands analysis reveals LDO trading at 44.85% of the band range, positioned closer to the lower band at $0.28 than the upper resistance at $0.36. The middle band serves as the 20-period SMA at $0.32, which currently aligns with spot price action.
Moving average analysis shows a mixed picture: while the 7-day SMA at $0.31 and 20-day SMA at $0.32 remain supportive of current levels, the longer-term 50-day SMA at $0.41 and 200-day SMA at $0.77 highlight the significant distance LDO has fallen from previous highs.
Key resistance lies at $0.33, representing both immediate and strong resistance levels according to technical analysis. Support structure shows immediate support at $0.30 with stronger backing at $0.29.
Lido DAO Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In a bullish outcome for this LDO price prediction, the primary target remains the upper Bollinger Band resistance at $0.36, representing approximately 12.5% upside from current levels. This breakout would require sustained volume above the current $2.8 million daily average and RSI pushing above 50 to confirm momentum shift.
A successful break above $0.36 could open the path toward the 50-day moving average at $0.41, though this would represent a more aggressive 28% rally requiring significant fundamental catalysts or broader crypto market strength.
Technical confirmation for the bullish case would include MACD histogram turning positive, RSI breaking above 50, and daily closing prices consistently above the $0.33 resistance level.
Bearish Scenario
The bearish case for Lido DAO forecast centers on a breakdown below the $0.30 immediate support level. Such a move would likely target the strong support at $0.29, followed by the lower Bollinger Band at $0.28.
A more severe correction could see LDO testing psychological support levels around $0.25, representing nearly 22% downside risk from current prices. The bearish scenario would be confirmed by MACD histogram declining further into negative territory and RSI dropping below 40.
Risk factors include continued DeFi sector weakness, regulatory concerns around liquid staking protocols, and broader crypto market volatility that could pressure smaller cap tokens like LDO.
Should You Buy LDO? Entry Strategy
For traders considering LDO positions, the current technical setup suggests a wait-and-see approach may be prudent. Aggressive buyers might consider entries near the $0.30 support level with tight stop-losses below $0.29.
More conservative entry points would emerge on a confirmed break above $0.33 resistance with accompanying volume, targeting the $0.36 Bollinger Band resistance for short-term gains.
Risk management remains crucial given the mixed technical signals. Stop-loss levels should be placed below $0.29 for long positions, representing approximately 9% risk from current levels. Position sizing should account for the Daily ATR of $0.02, indicating moderate volatility expectations.
Conclusion
This LDO price prediction suggests a consolidation phase between $0.30-$0.36 over the coming weeks, with the balance of technical indicators pointing toward neutral-to-bearish momentum in the near term. While longer-term analyst forecasts remain optimistic, current market conditions favor a more measured approach to Lido DAO positions.
The most likely scenario sees LDO testing the $0.33 resistance level within the next week, with a successful break potentially opening the path to $0.36. However, failure to maintain $0.30 support could trigger deeper correction toward $0.29 or lower.
Price predictions are speculative and based on technical analysis. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
Ripple (XRP) expands its payments platform to offer end-to-end stablecoin infrastructure, processing $100B+ volume with RLUSD hitting $1B market cap.
Ripple (XRP) is consolidating the fragmented stablecoin payments stack into a single platform. The San Francisco-based firm announced expanded capabilities for Ripple Payments, integrating fiat and digital asset rails through recent acquisitions of Palisade for custody infrastructure and Rail for $200 million to add global virtual accounts.
The pitch to fintechs is straightforward: stop stitching together five vendors for what should be one payment flow.
What the Platform Actually Does
Ripple Payments now handles the full lifecycle—collect, hold, exchange, and payout—across both traditional and crypto rails. Fintechs can accept payments in fiat or stablecoins, auto-convert to preferred currencies, and settle into unified accounts without establishing local entities abroad.
The exchange function runs 24/7 with direct RLUSD access, bypassing the mint-and-burn workflows that slow down competitors. Payouts hit in minutes rather than the days typical of SWIFT rails.
Ripple backs this with 75+ licenses across major jurisdictions including New York, the EU, and Singapore’s MAS. The platform currently supports payouts in 60+ markets across 51 real-time payment rails.
The Numbers Behind the Expansion
Ripple Payments has processed over $100 billion in total volume, with Rail contributing another $10 billion annually. RLUSD crossed $1 billion market cap within its first year—current supply sits around $1.55 billion tokens.
That growth trajectory matters. Citigroup projects the stablecoin market could balloon to $3.7 trillion by 2030. Ripple’s betting that compliance-first infrastructure will capture institutional demand as that market expands.
Recent weeks show momentum building. The XRP Ledger added $1.3 billion in tokenized assets over just two months through late February—more than all of 2025 combined. Binance listed RLUSD in January with XRP and USDT trading pairs, while DeFi integrations announced in early March target institutional applications.
Who’s Using It
Corpay, a major business payments provider, deployed Ripple’s custody and liquidity tools to fund positions across Asia-Pacific using RLUSD, eliminating pre-funding requirements. MassPay leverages the platform for payouts to 100+ countries starting with EUR, VND, THB, and TRY corridors. Alfred uses it for stablecoin-to-fiat flows connecting the U.S. with Mexico, Colombia, and China.
The underlying tech processes transactions in 3-5 seconds at roughly $0.0002 per transaction through the XRP Ledger’s federated consensus. RippleNet already connects 300+ banks across 90+ markets.
What Comes Next
Ripple’s targeting $2 billion RLUSD market cap by Q2 2026. The company forecasts stablecoins becoming the default for global settlement, with over $1 trillion in digital assets landing on corporate balance sheets by year-end.
Whether that timeline holds depends partly on regulatory clarity—the GENIUS Act compliance positioning suggests Ripple’s betting on U.S. stablecoin legislation moving forward. For fintechs tired of managing multiple payment vendors, the consolidated approach could prove compelling if execution matches the pitch.
Technological deflation driven by artificial intelligence could help push Bitcoin above $10 million within a decade by pressuring central banks to keep expanding the money supply, according to a report from Strive strategist Joe Burnett.
Burnett, Strive’s vice president of Bitcoin strategy, said in a report published Monday that faster productivity gains from AI will push down prices across goods and services, squeezing margins and prompting policymakers to respond with sustained monetary expansion. His “base case” calls for Bitcoin (BTC) to reach $11 million in the first quarter of 2036, he wrote.
”My base case for Q1 2036 is $11 million per Bitcoin.”
The forecast rests on a set of aggressive assumptions, including that Bitcoin would grow to about 12% of the value of global financial assets and that global wealth would compound at 7% annually through 2036. With Bitcoin currently accounting for about 0.2% of all financial assets, this would involve an over 176-fold increase in Bitcoin’s market capitalization during the next decade to hit $230 trillion.
The forecast would imply that Bitcoin becomes the dominant global reserve asset along with structurally loose monetary policy over the next decade, Nic Puckrin, co-founder and lead market analyst of educational platform Coin Bureau, told Cointelegraph.
”The forecast implies Bitcoin would become around 10 times as large as the current US M2 money supply, nearly four times as large as the US equity market today, and nearly double current global GDP.”
The prediction would also imply a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 53% per annum, which is not unprecedented considering Bitcoin’s average 60% CAGR between 2015 and 2024, but a slowdown may be expected due to its larger market capitalization, added Puckrin.
AI deflation engine to lead to structural monetary expansion
Burnett’s thesis centers on what he described as an “AI deflation engine,” arguing that AI-driven automation and cost reductions could create persistent deflationary pressure.
In a debt-based fiat system, sustained deflation can strain credit markets because wages and asset prices may fall while debt obligations remain fixed in nominal terms, he wrote, potentially pushing central banks and fiscal authorities to add liquidity to avoid a deflationary spiral.
”Under a debt-based fiat framework, persistent deflation destabilizes credit markets because wages and asset prices decline while mortgages, corporate loans, and sovereign debt remain fixed in nominal terms,” Burnett said.
”As AI drives real-economy deflation, central banks and fiscal authorities expand liquidity to prevent a deflationary spiral.”
M2 money supply vs. CPI chart. Source: Joe Burnett
Burnett said this will lead to a persistent increase in money relative to the supply of scarce assets.
Emergence of digital credit set to bolster Bitcoin demand
The report also points to what Burnett calls the emergence of “digital credit” models promoted by companies including Strategy, the largest corporate Bitcoin holder.
Digital credit provides US dollar income to investors through publicly traded securities backed by large Bitcoin balance sheets issued by treasury firms as a means to raise capital to acquire more Bitcoin.
Digital credit liquidity flywheel. Source: Joe Burnett
Burnett foresees digital credit products creating a ”reflexive loop” between global yield demand and Bitcoin accumulation, marking the ”early stage of a credit system built on verifiably scarce money.”
Still, the $11 million forecast stands well above most bullish scenarios that use shorter time horizons. For instance, ARK Invest predicted a 2030 Bitcoin price target of $1.5 million in the company’s bull case and a $300,000 price target in the bear case, Cointelegraph reported in November 2025.
Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently. Read our Editorial Policy https://cointelegraph.com/editorial-policy
The Aave Chan Initiative (ACI), a major governance delegate and service provider within the Aave ecosystem, said it will not renew its engagement with the Aave DAO and plans to wind down over the next four months.
In a statement on Tuesday, ACI founder Marc Zeller said the organization would continue governance activity and complete outstanding commitments before transferring its infrastructure and responsibilities to the DAO or successor providers.
“The Aave Chan Initiative was built for Aave. Without a future in the Aave ecosystem, the name no longer applies. ACI will wrap up as our obligations conclude,” Zeller wrote.
ACI said its decision to exit was driven by concerns over governance standards and voting dynamics during the proposal process, marking a significant shift in Aave’s governance landscape as its funding plan advances to the next stage.
Aave’s governance transition
The announcement follows a closely contested Temp Check vote on Aave’s “Aave Will Win” proposal, which seeks to allocate up to $42.5 million in stablecoins and 75,000 Aave (AAVE) tokens to Aave Labs under a DAO-funded development model.
ACI had previously questioned the size of the funding package and the inclusion of the Aave tokens, which carry voting power. On Feb. 25, competing reports from ACI and Aave Labs offered different interpretations of Aave Labs’ past contributions before the vote.
Under Aave’s governance, proposals must move through the Aave Request for Final Comment (ARFC) stage and another off-chain vote before advancing to a binding onchain Aave Improvement Proposal (AIP) vote.
Aave’s TVL growth from 2021 to 2026. Source: DefiLlama
According to data from DeFiLlama, Aave holds about $26.51 billion in total value locked, making it one of the largest decentralized finance protocols by deposits.
Overall, DeFi TVL stands at roughly $93 billion, meaning Aave accounts for close to one-third of assets locked across the sector.
Governance concerns and voting claims
In its statement, ACI said that the Temp Check was “decided by Labs-linked addresses voting on their own budget,” referring to the funding proposal submitted by Aave Labs.
The group said that there is “no role for an independent service provider” in an environment where a major budget recipient holds undisclosed voting power and participates in votes affecting its own funding.
ACI said it will submit a direct-to-Aave Improvement Proposal to cancel its GHO funding stream and transfer 120 days’ worth of payments to the treasury to complete its transition.
It also said it would cut its AAVE vesting stream via LlamaPay following the proposal’s execution.
Aave Labs did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
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Recent analyst predictions have shown bullish sentiment for AAVE’s near-term prospects. According to Aishwarya Shashikumar’s analysis from February 27th, “AAVE currently trades at $113.94 after experiencing a 30-day price drop. The price prediction shows a 19.95% increase which will raise the value to $137.51 by March 3, 2026.”
This target has proven remarkably accurate, with AAVE currently trading at $117.31, showing strong momentum toward the predicted range.
Terrill Dicki noted on March 1st that “Aave rebounds 6.70% to $113.11 as analysts eye $137 breakout target. Technical indicators show neutral RSI at 40.90 with key resistance at $125 ahead.”
CoinCodex provided an even more optimistic AAVE price prediction, stating that “Aave price is expected to rise by 20.52% in the next 5 days according to our Aave price prediction, reaching $139.67 by March 6, 2026.”
AAVE Technical Analysis Breakdown
The current technical setup for AAVE shows mixed but improving signals. With the RSI at 45.95, AAVE sits in neutral territory, providing room for upward movement without being overbought.
The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates a potential momentum shift, though current bearish momentum requires confirmation through price action above key resistance levels.
Aave’s position within the Bollinger Bands at 0.40 suggests the token is trading below the middle band ($119.28) but has room to move toward the upper band at $129.51. This positioning often precedes significant moves in either direction.
The 7-day SMA at $115.97 currently sits below the current price, indicating short-term bullish momentum, though the 20-day SMA resistance at $119.28 presents an immediate challenge.
Aave Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case
Bullish Scenario
In the bullish case for this Aave forecast, AAVE targets the immediate resistance at $124.90, followed by the strong resistance level at $132.55. Breaking above $132.55 would confirm the analyst predictions of $137-$139 targets.
Key technical confirmation needed includes:
– RSI breaking above 50 to confirm bullish momentum
– Daily close above the 20-day SMA at $119.28
– Volume expansion above the current 24-hour average of $17.5 million
Bearish Scenario
The bearish scenario sees AAVE failing to hold above the pivot point at $119.31, potentially leading to a test of immediate support at $111.66. A break below this level could trigger further selling toward the strong support at $106.07.
Based on current technical levels, potential entry points for AAVE include:
Conservative Entry: Wait for a pullback to the $111-$113 range, near the 24-hour low, with a stop-loss at $106.07.
Aggressive Entry: Current levels around $117, targeting the analyst predictions of $137-$139, with a stop-loss below $111.66.
Breakout Entry: Above $124.90 with strong volume, targeting $132.55 and beyond.
Risk management suggests position sizing at 2-3% of portfolio maximum, given the volatility indicated by the 14-day ATR of $8.86.
Conclusion
The AAVE price prediction consensus points to significant upside potential over the next week, with multiple analysts targeting the $137-$139 range. The current technical setup supports this bullish Aave forecast, though traders should monitor the key resistance at $124.90 for confirmation.
With a 70% confidence level, AAVE appears positioned for a move toward $135+ if it can break above the 20-day moving average resistance. However, failure to hold current support levels could delay this timeline and trigger a deeper correction.
Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and based on technical analysis. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
