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    What Happens as Europe Enforces MiCA and the US Delays Crypto Rules

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    Key takeaways

    • Europe has moved from drafting to enforcing crypto rules under MiCA, giving companies clear timelines, licensing paths and compliance milestones across all EU member states.

    • The US still relies on a multi-agency, enforcement-led framework, with major questions about token classification and market structure waiting on new federal legislation.

    • MiCA’s single-license model allows crypto firms to operate across the EU after approval in one country, encouraging companies to base early expansion strategies in Europe.

    • Unclear asset classification in the US makes exchanges more cautious about listings and staking, while MiCA’s categories reduce legal uncertainty despite higher compliance costs.

    At the global level, two major economic blocs, the US and Europe, are taking very different approaches to crypto regulation.

    On one side, the European Union has moved from drafting rules to active enforcement. The Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) has entered into force in phases. It already covers crypto asset service providers and market abuse, while the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) aims to integrate its interim MiCA register into formal regulatory systems.

    On the other side, the regulatory framework in the US shows some progress but still lacks a single, full-fledged framework. The regulatory environment remains unclear and has been shaped largely by enforcement actions from multiple agencies.

    The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) and the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) oversee securities, commodities, Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and tax matters, respectively. States also license money transmitters, creating a complex, multi-agency structure.

    This article explores how crypto rules have progressed in Europe and the US, how companies build, list and scale across both economic blocs, and the secondary effects of evolving crypto regulation in these regions.

    What “Europe moves ahead” means: The MiCA framework

    MiCA aims to establish uniform market rules across the EU for crypto assets not already covered by existing financial services law. The framework sets requirements for issuers and for crypto asset service providers such as exchanges, brokers, custodians and other intermediaries. It also includes provisions to address market abuse.

    MiCA came into force in stages:

    • June 29, 2023: MiCA enters into force following publication in the EU Official Journal.

    • June 30, 2024: MiCA’s framework for asset-referenced tokens and e-money tokens becomes applicable.

    • Dec. 30, 2024: MiCA’s regime for crypto asset service providers becomes applicable.

    • Transition window up to July 1, 2026: Providers operating under national regimes before Dec. 30, 2024, may continue operating for a limited period, depending on member-state choices and whether authorization is granted or refused earlier.

    This regulatory clarity has allowed firms in Europe to plan timelines, budgets and product roadmaps around defined regulatory milestones.

    One of MiCA’s biggest structural effects is the introduction of an EU-wide authorization model for crypto asset service providers (CASPs). Firms can obtain a license in one EU country through its competent authority and then offer services across the EU without needing to relicense in each market.

    MiCA covers several functions, including issuance, conduct, authorization, disclosures and service-provider obligations. Europe is also strengthening AML and counter-terrorist financing rules in the context of crypto. The EU’s AML package includes the establishment of the Anti-Money Laundering Authority (AMLA).

    Did you know? MiCA is among the first comprehensive frameworks to regulate crypto uniformly across all 27 EU member states, meaning a license obtained in one country allows firms to serve customers across the entire EU without reapplying in each market.

    What “the US pauses” means: A work in progress

    A pause in the US approach reflects ongoing deliberation over how to define the regulatory perimeter. Regulators are still weighing key questions, including when a token qualifies as a security, when it is treated as a commodity and which agency has primary authority over crypto asset activities.

    Market-structure legislation is still in motion

    The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 aims to establish a federal regulatory structure for digital assets. It categorizes them as either digital commodities or investment contracts. Transactions involving digital commodities would fall under the authority of the CFTC, while those deemed investment contracts would come under the SEC.

    If the Clarity Act becomes law, it would introduce requirements for certain digital asset brokers and exchanges to register with the CFTC. It would also establish standards for the custody of client assets, improving transparency and promoting investor protection.

    Token classification remains the pressure point

    In late 2025, Paul Atkins, chair of the SEC, said the commission was evaluating a “token taxonomy” based on the Howey investment-contract test. The regulator is exploring a classification model for crypto assets and potential exemptions as part of broader market-structure discussions.

    This process matters because token classification is not just an academic exercise; it determines whether platforms must register with the SEC, which disclosures apply and whether certain products become too risky to offer in the US market.

    The regulatory approach regarding stablecoins becomes clear

    The GENIUS Act in the US establishes a federal framework for payment stablecoins, focusing on issuer oversight, reserve backing and consumer protections. It sets standards for who can issue stablecoins, how reserves must be held and disclosed, and how redemption rights should operate.

    The law also limits misleading claims about government backing and clarifies supervisory roles for bank and non-bank issuers. It aims to make stablecoins safer for everyday payments while supporting regulated innovation.

    Did you know? Paul Atkins has been closely involved in crypto policy debates through roles such as co-chair of the Token Alliance. He has advocated clearer token classifications and regulatory exemptions to support blockchain startups.

    How companies build, list and scale in the US and Europe

    Europe has established clear regulatory guidelines, while the US is still debating the perimeter of its crypto regulation. Crypto firms are responding in predictable ways.

    • Licensing strategies diverge: MiCA’s authorization structure encourages firms to choose an EU regulatory “home base” and scale outward. Companies often secure EU licenses first for regulatory certainty and consider US expansion later.

    • Listing policies grow more conservative in the US: Uncertainty around crypto asset classification makes exchanges and brokers more cautious. When it is unclear whether an asset will be treated as a security or a commodity, firms may limit listings or restrict features such as staking. By contrast, MiCA lays out clearer categories and disclosure requirements. While this increases compliance costs, it reduces asset classification risk.

    • Stablecoin availability may not converge as users expect: While both Europe and the US regulate stablecoins, their compliance frameworks differ. Firms’ decisions on building, listing and scaling influence which stablecoins are prioritized, how reserves are structured and how distribution partnerships with banks, fintechs and exchanges are negotiated.

    • Companies want a single rulebook: Large institutions such as banks, asset managers and public companies prefer environments with stable and predictable rules. Europe’s single rulebook can be attractive for crypto firms. While the US offers deep capital markets, companies still need clarity around asset classification and registration pathways.

    Did you know? Crypto licensing often covers not just exchanges, but also custody, brokerage, staking facilitation and token issuance. This means companies must design products around what their specific authorization legally permits them to offer.

    Secondary effects of crypto regulations in Europe and the US

    As Europe has put stable crypto regulation in place under MiCA and the US continues working on its regulatory perimeter, the impact goes beyond compliance checklists:

    • Liquidity pools can fragment: EU-regulated venues may attract flows from firms seeking clearer authorization frameworks. US venues, meanwhile, may remain deep but more selective in what they can list and how products are structured.

    • Compliance costs reshape competition: Large firms can spread the cost of meeting MiCA and AML requirements across their businesses. Smaller companies may need to merge, find partners or exit certain markets due to higher compliance costs.

    • More regulated on-ramps: The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has outlined steps related to listed spot crypto products potentially trading on federally regulated markets.

    While these outcomes are not guaranteed, they illustrate how crypto enterprises may operate differently across Europe and the US as regulatory frameworks evolve.

    Cointelegraph maintains full editorial independence. The selection, commissioning and publication of Features and Magazine content are not influenced by advertisers, partners or commercial relationships.

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    SOL Price Prediction: Solana Eyes $135 Recovery as Technical Indicators Show Mixed Signals

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    Alvin Lang
    Jan 26, 2026 14:39

    SOL Price Prediction Summary • Short-term target (1 week): $127-$135 • Medium-term forecast (1 month): $135-$150 range • Bullish breakout level: $131.58 • Critical support: $118.51…





    SOL Price Prediction Summary

    Short-term target (1 week): $127-$135
    Medium-term forecast (1 month): $135-$150 range
    Bullish breakout level: $131.58
    Critical support: $118.51

    What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Solana

    While specific analyst predictions for the current week are limited, recent forecasts from earlier this January provide insight into Solana’s potential trajectory. According to Rongchai Wang’s analysis from January 14, 2026, “If bullish momentum builds from current consolidation levels, SOL could target the $160–$180 range over the course of January 2026.”

    James Ding’s January 15 assessment noted that “Solana shows bullish momentum above key moving averages with analyst targets ranging from $153 to $480 in 2026.” Additionally, Rebeca Moen’s earlier January analysis highlighted that “Technical analysis reveals key resistance at $142 could unlock 8% upside potential within weeks.”

    According to on-chain data platforms, Solana’s current positioning near lower Bollinger Band levels suggests potential oversold conditions that could present buying opportunities for patient investors.

    SOL Technical Analysis Breakdown

    Solana’s current technical picture presents a mixed outlook. Trading at $123.77, SOL sits below its key moving averages, with the 20-day SMA at $135.05 acting as immediate resistance. The RSI reading of 40.28 places SOL in neutral territory, suggesting neither extreme oversold nor overbought conditions.

    The MACD histogram at 0.0000 indicates bearish momentum has stalled, potentially setting up for a reversal. Solana’s position at 0.14 on the Bollinger Bands scale (where 0 represents the lower band and 1 the upper band) suggests the token is trading near significant support levels at $119.54.

    Key resistance levels emerge at $127.68 (immediate) and $131.58 (strong), while support rests at $118.51 and $113.24. The daily ATR of $6.17 indicates moderate volatility, providing traders with clear risk parameters.

    Solana Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

    Bullish Scenario

    In a bullish scenario, SOL price prediction models point to a recovery toward $135-$150. A break above the immediate resistance at $127.68 could trigger momentum toward the 20-day moving average at $135.05. Sustained buying pressure beyond this level opens the path to $142-$150, aligning with earlier analyst forecasts.

    Technical confirmation would come from RSI breaking above 50 and MACD turning positive. Volume expansion above the recent average of $631 million would support this Solana forecast.

    Bearish Scenario

    Should bearish pressure persist, SOL could test the lower Bollinger Band support at $119.54. A breakdown below this level targets the strong support zone at $113.24, representing potential downside of 8-10% from current levels.

    Risk factors include broader crypto market weakness, continued institutional selling pressure, and failure to reclaim key moving averages within the next week.

    Should You Buy SOL? Entry Strategy

    For investors considering SOL positions, current levels near $123-$124 offer a reasonable risk-reward setup. Conservative buyers might wait for a test of support at $118.51 before entering, while aggressive traders could accumulate on any dips below $120.

    Stop-loss levels should be placed below $113.24 to limit downside risk. Target profit-taking could begin at $135 with partial exits, holding core positions for the $150+ targets outlined in analyst forecasts.

    Risk management remains crucial given SOL’s daily volatility range of approximately $6.17. Position sizing should account for this inherent price fluctuation.

    Conclusion

    This SOL price prediction suggests cautious optimism for Solana’s near-term prospects. While current technical indicators show mixed signals, the proximity to key support levels and analyst targets in the $135-$150 range provide a constructive backdrop for patient investors.

    The Solana forecast remains dependent on broader market conditions and the token’s ability to reclaim moving average support. With a 60% confidence level, SOL appears positioned for a recovery toward $135 within the next 2-4 weeks, provided key support levels hold.

    Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions are speculative and involve significant risk. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

    Image source: Shutterstock


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    ADA Price Prediction: Targets $0.43 by February Amid Technical Consolidation

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    Lawrence Jengar
    Jan 26, 2026 14:33

    Cardano (ADA) trades at $0.35 with mixed signals. Technical analysis suggests potential move to $0.43 range, but bearish momentum requires careful positioning.





    Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.35 as of January 26, 2026, down 0.77% in the last 24 hours. With technical indicators showing mixed signals and analyst forecasts pointing toward gradual recovery, this ADA price prediction examines the key levels and scenarios for the coming weeks.

    ADA Price Prediction Summary

    Short-term target (1 week): $0.36-$0.37
    Medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.40-$0.45 range
    Bullish breakout level: $0.42 (Upper Bollinger Band)
    Critical support: $0.32-$0.34

    What Crypto Analysts Are Saying About Cardano

    While specific analyst predictions from crypto Twitter are limited in the past 24 hours, recent forecasting platforms provide insight into ADA’s trajectory. According to CoinStats analysis from January 24, 2026, “Cardano’s January 2026 forecast is expected to be $0.40-$0.45, averaging $0.43, driven by steady network development, including smart contract enhancements and scaling upgrades.”

    CoinCodex projected that “over the next five days, Cardano will reach the highest price of $0.3624 on Jan 25, 2026, which would represent 2.98% growth compared to the current price.” However, this target appears modest given current price action.

    On-chain metrics from major data platforms suggest network activity remains steady, though trading volume has moderated to $48.4 million on Binance spot markets.

    ADA Technical Analysis Breakdown

    The current technical picture for Cardano presents a mixed outlook. The RSI reading of 40.18 sits in neutral territory, neither overbought nor oversold, suggesting consolidation rather than strong directional momentum.

    Moving Average Analysis: ADA trades below most key moving averages, with the 7-day SMA at $0.35 matching the current price. The 20-day and 50-day SMAs both sit at $0.38, creating a resistance cluster. Most concerning is the 200-day SMA at $0.63, indicating ADA remains in a longer-term downtrend.

    Momentum Indicators: The MACD histogram shows 0.0000, indicating bearish momentum has stalled but hasn’t reversed. The Stochastic oscillator at 16.49 (%K) suggests oversold conditions that could support a bounce.

    Bollinger Bands: With a %B position of 0.14, ADA trades near the lower Bollinger Band at $0.34, while the upper band sits at $0.42. This positioning often precedes mean reversion moves toward the middle band ($0.38).

    Cardano Price Targets: Bull vs Bear Case

    Bullish Scenario

    In an optimistic scenario, ADA could target the analyst forecast range of $0.40-$0.45. Key technical confirmation would come from breaking above the immediate resistance cluster at $0.36-$0.38, particularly the 20-day and 50-day moving averages.

    A sustained move above $0.38 could trigger momentum toward the upper Bollinger Band at $0.42, aligning with the bullish breakout level. The Cardano forecast becomes more compelling if RSI can push above 50 and MACD turns positive.

    Bearish Scenario

    The bear case focuses on the failure to reclaim $0.36-$0.37 resistance. A break below the current support at $0.34 could accelerate selling toward the strong support zone at $0.32.

    Given the 200-day SMA remains far above current levels at $0.63, any sustained recovery faces significant overhead resistance. Trading volume of $48.4 million, while decent, lacks the conviction typical of major trend reversals.

    Should You Buy ADA? Entry Strategy

    Based on the technical setup, a layered entry strategy appears prudent. Consider initial positions near current levels ($0.35) with additional accumulation on any dips toward $0.32-$0.34 support.

    Risk Management: Given the bearish longer-term trend, position sizing should remain modest. The ADA price prediction becomes more favorable only above $0.38.

    Conclusion

    This ADA price prediction suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook for February, with potential targets in the $0.40-$0.45 range supported by analyst forecasts. However, technical indicators show consolidation rather than strong bullish momentum.

    The Cardano forecast depends heavily on breaking above the $0.36-$0.38 resistance cluster. Until this occurs, ADA remains range-bound with downside risks to $0.32 support.

    Confidence Level: Moderate (65%) for reaching $0.40-$0.43 by February, contingent on broader crypto market stability.

    Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency price predictions involve significant risk and uncertainty. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

    Image source: Shutterstock


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    Strategy Buys $264M In Bitcoin As January Buying Slows Down

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    Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the world’s largest public Bitcoin holder, disclosed fresh BTC purchases as prices slid during a broader market sell-off.

    Strategy acquired 2,932 Bitcoin (BTC) for $264.1 million last week, according to a US Securities and Exchange Commission filing on Monday.

    The acquisitions were made at an average price of $90,061 per BTC, with Bitcoin starting the week above $93,000 and briefly tumbling below $87,000, according to CoinGecko.

    The purchase brought Strategy’s total Bitcoin holdings to 712,647 BTC, purchased for about $54.19 billion at an average price of $76,037 per coin.

    Strategy’s January purchases exceed the last five months combined

    Strategy’s latest Bitcoin purchase was notably smaller than its two earlier January buys, including the 22,305 BTC acquisition announced last week and a 13,627 BTC purchase the week before, which together accounted for the bulk of its recent accumulation.

    So far this month, Strategy has acquired about 40,100 BTC, exceeding its combined purchases over the previous five months from August to December 2025, highlighting a sharp acceleration in buying activity since the start of the year.

    Details from Strategy’s latest Bitcoin acquisition. Source: SEC

    The buy comes as Bitcoin has fallen more than 6% from recent highs, highlighting Strategy’s preference to purchase smaller amounts of BTC in periods of market weakness.

    Related: Pantera Capital sees ‘brutal pruning’ for crypto treasuries in 2026

    Strategy’s co-founder Saylor in 2024 pledged to keep buying Bitcoin at peak prices, while the company has since appeared more reluctant to make larger purchases during volatile market conditions.

    Strategy sells $257 million in Common A shares

    Strategy’s latest Bitcoin acquisition was largely funded with proceeds of selling its Common A shares (MSTR).

    According to the SEC filing, the company sold around 1.7 million MSTR last week, generating $257 million. Additionally, Strategy sold 70,201 shares of Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock (STRC), netting $7 million.

    Business, Bitcoin Price, SEC, Shares, MicroStrategy, Michael Saylor
    Details on Strategy’s MSTR and STRC sales last week. Source: SEC

    At the time of writing, Strategy (MSTR) shares traded at around $163, down 12% from a January high of $185, according to TradingView data.