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    AVAX Price Prediction: Targeting $32 Breakout After 13% Rally Sets Stage for August Surge

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    Jessie A Ellis
    Aug 23, 2025 10:45

    AVAX price prediction shows potential for $32 target as technical indicators turn bullish following 13.18% daily surge, with key resistance at $25.99 acting as critical breakout level.





    Avalanche has demonstrated impressive momentum with a 13.18% surge in the past 24 hours, pushing AVAX to $25.77 and positioning it near crucial resistance levels. Our comprehensive AVAX price prediction analysis suggests the altcoin is setting up for a potential breakout toward the $32 price target, though several technical factors will determine whether bulls can sustain this momentum.

    AVAX Price Prediction Summary

    AVAX short-term target (1 week): $27.50 (+6.7%) with potential extension to $32.00
    Avalanche medium-term forecast (1 month): $28.00-$34.00 range if breakout confirms
    Key level to break for bullish continuation: $25.99 immediate resistance, then $27.38
    Critical support if bearish: $21.34 immediate support, major support at $17.62

    Recent Avalanche Price Predictions from Analysts

    The latest analyst predictions for AVAX show a notable divergence in short-term versus long-term outlooks. Blockchain.News presents the most compelling Avalanche forecast with a medium-term price target of $27.00-$32.00, aligning closely with our technical analysis of current resistance levels at $25.99 and strong resistance at $27.38.

    Short-term predictions cluster around the $22.00-$22.50 range from sources like Changelly ($22.51) and CaptainAltcoin ($22.12), which now appear conservative given today’s 13% rally that has already pushed AVAX well above these targets. The more aggressive long-term predictions from PricePredictions.com ($75.97) and CoinCu ($44.34) reflect bullish sentiment but require significant fundamental catalysts to materialize.

    The consensus among analysts suggests cautious optimism, with most AVAX price prediction models anticipating gradual appreciation rather than explosive growth. However, the current technical setup suggests the market may be underestimating Avalanche’s near-term potential.

    AVAX Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Breakout

    The current Avalanche technical analysis reveals a compelling bullish setup developing across multiple timeframes. AVAX is trading at $25.77, just below the critical resistance level at $25.99, with the Bollinger Bands position at 0.97 indicating the price is testing the upper boundary of recent trading ranges.

    The RSI reading of 58.48 provides room for additional upside without entering overbought territory, while the MACD histogram showing a positive 0.0727 confirms bullish momentum is building. Most significantly, AVAX is trading above all major moving averages, with the SMA 7 at $24.05, SMA 20 at $23.78, and SMA 200 at $21.45, creating a bullish alignment that supports our AVAX price target projections.

    The daily ATR of $1.66 suggests healthy volatility that could support a move toward the $27.38 strong resistance level. Volume analysis shows robust participation with $156.6 million in 24-hour Binance spot trading, providing the liquidity foundation necessary for sustained price appreciation.

    Avalanche Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

    Bullish Case for AVAX

    Our primary AVAX price prediction scenario targets the $27.00-$32.00 range based on technical breakout patterns and analyst consensus. The immediate catalyst requires breaking above $25.99 resistance, which would likely trigger algorithmic buying and push AVAX toward the $27.38 strong resistance level.

    A successful breach of $27.38 opens the path to our primary Avalanche forecast target of $32.00, representing a 24% gain from current levels. This aligns with the Blockchain.News prediction and finds technical support from the measured move calculation based on the recent consolidation pattern.

    The bullish case strengthens if AVAX can maintain above the $24.63 pivot point while volume remains elevated above the recent average. Key technical confirmation would come from the RSI breaking above 65 and the MACD histogram expanding further into positive territory.

    Bearish Risk for Avalanche

    Despite the bullish setup, our AVAX price prediction acknowledges significant downside risks if current support levels fail. The immediate support at $21.34 represents the first critical test, coinciding with the lower Bollinger Band at $21.66.

    A breakdown below $21.34 would invalidate the near-term bullish thesis and target the strong support at $17.62, representing a potential 32% decline from current levels. This scenario aligns with the more bearish analyst predictions and would likely trigger if broader crypto market sentiment deteriorates.

    Risk factors include the current position near the upper Bollinger Band creating potential for mean reversion, and the Stochastic %K reading of 94.21 suggesting short-term overbought conditions that could prompt profit-taking.

    Should You Buy AVAX Now? Entry Strategy

    Based on our Avalanche technical analysis, the optimal entry strategy involves a layered approach rather than a single large position. For those asking whether to buy or sell AVAX, current levels offer reasonable risk-reward if proper risk management is employed.

    Conservative buyers should wait for a pullback to the $24.00-$24.50 range, which would provide better entry positioning near the SMA 7 and EMA 12 levels. Aggressive traders can enter at current levels with a tight stop-loss at $24.00, representing approximately 7% downside risk for potential 24% upside to the $32 AVAX price target.

    Position sizing should reflect the inherent volatility in cryptocurrency markets, with risk management prioritizing capital preservation. A stop-loss below $21.34 is essential for any long position, as a break of this level would signal a broader trend reversal.

    AVAX Price Prediction Conclusion

    Our comprehensive analysis supports a bullish AVAX price prediction with a primary target of $32.00 over the next 4-6 weeks, contingent on breaking key resistance at $25.99. The technical setup shows strong momentum indicators, bullish moving average alignment, and healthy volume participation supporting this Avalanche forecast.

    Confidence level for reaching $27.00 is MEDIUM-HIGH given the strong technical foundation and analyst consensus. Confidence for the full $32.00 target is MEDIUM, requiring sustained market momentum and successful navigation of intermediate resistance levels.

    Key indicators to monitor include maintaining support above $24.63, RSI holding above 50, and volume remaining elevated above recent averages. A break below $21.34 would invalidate this bullish scenario and require reassessment of the medium-term outlook. Timeline for this prediction centers on the next 3-4 weeks, with initial confirmation expected within 5-7 trading days.

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    Korean man arrested over $50M crypto-to-gold laundering scheme

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    Thai authorities have arrested a South Korean man accused of helping a call center gang launder cryptocurrencies into gold worth more than $50 million.

    The Technology Crime Suppression Division (TCSD) said officers apprehended Han, 33, at Bangkok’s Suvarnabhumi Airport on Saturday under a warrant issued in February, according to a report from The Nation. He faces charges of fraud, computer crimes, money laundering, and involvement in a criminal syndicate.

    The case stems from a large-scale call center scam that began in early 2024. Victims were lured into “investment opportunities” promising 30%–50% returns. Initial payouts created a false sense of security, but as deposits grew, withdrawals were blocked with claims that investors had failed to meet requirements.

    Dozens of complaints eventually reached the TCSD, prompting a probe that has already led to the arrest of ten suspects, including five alleged launderers and five mule account holders.

    Thai police arrest Korean man in crypto money laundering case. Source: Bangkok Post

    Related: Real-time crypto laundering exposes CEX vulnerabilities

    Thai police seize crypto accounts

    Investigators discovered Han’s arrival in Thailand and coordinated with the Immigration Bureau to detain him at the airport checkpoint. His mobile phone, containing multiple crypto accounts tied to the laundering network, was seized.

    According to the report, Han previously studied in China before joining a South Korean company that converted cryptocurrencies into gold bars for the scam network. He allegedly oversaw crypto accounts receiving victim funds, which were then used to purchase gold from overseas suppliers before being shipped back to the syndicate.

    Authorities estimate that between January and March 2024, Han’s accounts processed roughly 47.3 million USDt (USDT), funneled into gold. Each laundering round reportedly involved more than 10 kilograms of gold, valued at about $1 million per transaction.

    Han has denied parts of the charges but remains in custody as Thai police continue investigating the wider network.

    Related: Australian regulator orders audit of Binance money laundering controls

    Taiwan indicts 14 in crypto money laundering case

    Taiwanese prosecutors have indicted 14 individuals in what they describe as the nation’s largest cryptocurrency money laundering case, involving more than 1,500 victims and over $70 million in illicit proceeds.

    The Shilin District Prosecutor’s Office filed charges for fraud, money laundering and organized crime, seeking the confiscation of nearly $40 million in illicitly obtained assets.

    Authorities also requested the seizure of 640,000 USDt, undisclosed amounts of Bitcoin (BTC) and Tron (TRX), more than $1.8 million in cash, two luxury cars and $3.13 million in frozen bank deposits.