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    TRX Price Prediction: TRON Targets $0.35-$0.40 by November 2025 Despite Current Bearish Momentum

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    Rongchai Wang
    Oct 17, 2025 06:16

    TRON (TRX) shows mixed signals with analysts targeting $0.32-$1.03. Technical analysis suggests potential breakout to $0.35+ if key resistance levels hold.





    TRX Price Prediction Summary

    TRX short-term target (1 week): $0.325 (+1.5%) – Conservative upside based on current consolidation • TRON medium-term forecast (1 month): $0.35-$0.40 range – Bullish breakout scenario if resistance breaks • Key level to break for bullish continuation: $0.35 (Upper Bollinger Band and strong resistance) • Critical support if bearish: $0.30 (Strong support and lower Bollinger Band proximity)

    Recent TRON Price Predictions from Analysts

    The latest TRX price prediction landscape shows cautious optimism among crypto analysts. Changelly’s consistent forecasts over the past week have maintained relatively stable expectations, with their TRON forecast ranging from $0.314 to $0.321 in the short term. This represents a conservative outlook that aligns with current market consolidation patterns.

    However, the prediction spectrum widens significantly when examining medium-term targets. PricePredictions.com presents a notably bullish TRX price target of $1.03, representing a potential 222% upside from current levels. Meanwhile, CoinCodex offers a more measured approach with their $0.343686 target, suggesting a 7.97% near-term gain.

    The consensus among analysts indicates TRON is positioned for gradual recovery, though opinions diverge on the magnitude of potential gains. Most predictions carry medium confidence levels, reflecting the current market uncertainty and mixed technical signals.

    TRX Technical Analysis: Setting Up for Potential Breakout

    Current TRON technical analysis reveals a cryptocurrency at a critical juncture. Trading at $0.32, TRX sits precisely at its 7-day SMA and near the middle of its recent trading range. The RSI reading of 37.72 positions TRON in neutral territory, neither oversold nor overbought, providing room for movement in either direction.

    The MACD histogram showing -0.0019 indicates bearish momentum persists, though the magnitude suggests weakening selling pressure. This divergence between neutral RSI and bearish MACD creates an interesting setup for potential trend reversal.

    Volume analysis shows robust daily trading of $134.7 million on Binance, indicating healthy market participation. The Bollinger Bands configuration reveals TRX trading at 0.16 position, placing it closer to the lower band ($0.31) than the upper band ($0.35), suggesting potential for mean reversion toward the middle band at $0.33.

    TRON Price Targets: Bull and Bear Scenarios

    Bullish Case for TRX

    The bullish TRX price prediction scenario targets $0.35-$0.40 within the next 30 days. This trajectory requires breaking above the immediate resistance at $0.35, which coincides with both the upper Bollinger Band and the 52-week high resistance zone.

    Key catalysts supporting this TRON forecast include the current position below the SMA 20 ($0.33) and SMA 50 ($0.34), creating potential for snapback rallies. The 200-day SMA at $0.30 provides strong foundational support, suggesting the long-term trend remains intact despite recent consolidation.

    If TRX successfully breaks $0.35, the next logical TRX price target sits at $0.37-$0.40, representing the previous 52-week high area where profit-taking might emerge.

    Bearish Risk for TRON

    The bearish scenario for this TRX price prediction centers on a break below the critical $0.30 support level. This zone represents both strong technical support and the 200-day moving average, making it a crucial line in the sand for TRON bulls.

    Should $0.30 fail to hold, the next significant support doesn’t appear until the $0.26-$0.28 range, representing potential downside of 15-20% from current levels. The negative MACD histogram and TRX trading below most short-term moving averages support this bearish risk scenario.

    Volume confirmation would be crucial in any bearish breakdown, as current trading volumes suggest institutional interest remains steady.

    Should You Buy TRX Now? Entry Strategy

    Based on current TRON technical analysis, a layered entry approach appears most prudent. The optimal buy zone for TRX sits between $0.31-$0.315, offering proximity to the lower Bollinger Band while maintaining distance from critical support.

    For aggressive traders, a breakout entry above $0.335 (clearing the SMA 20) could signal the beginning of the bullish scenario toward our TRX price target of $0.35+. This strategy requires tight risk management with stops below $0.32.

    Conservative investors might wait for a successful test and hold of the $0.30 support before initiating positions. This approach reduces downside risk but may sacrifice optimal entry pricing if the TRON forecast proves accurate.

    Risk management suggests position sizing at 1-2% of portfolio maximum, with stop-losses placed below $0.295 to protect against significant support breakdown.

    TRX Price Prediction Conclusion

    Our comprehensive TRON forecast suggests a medium confidence prediction for TRX reaching $0.35-$0.40 within the next month, representing 10-25% upside potential. This TRX price prediction relies on maintaining support above $0.30 and eventual breakout above $0.35 resistance.

    The critical indicators to monitor include RSI movement above 50 for momentum confirmation, MACD histogram turning positive, and daily closing prices above the $0.33 middle Bollinger Band. Volume expansion above 150 million daily would provide additional bullish confirmation.

    Timeline for this prediction centers on the next 2-4 weeks, with November 2025 representing the target window for reaching our primary TRX price target. Failure to hold $0.30 support would invalidate this bullish thesis and trigger our bearish scenario toward $0.26-$0.28.

    Whether to buy or sell TRX depends on individual risk tolerance, but current technical setup favors patient accumulation near support levels with defined risk parameters.

    Image source: Shutterstock


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    How Grayscale brought crypto staking to Wall Street for the first time

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    Key takeaways

    • Grayscale has bridged traditional finance and decentralized crypto by launching the first publicly traded staking investment vehicle.

    • Its staking-enabled ETPs allow investors to earn blockchain rewards without running validator nodes or managing complex technical and custody risks.

    • Grayscale’s Ether and Solana ETPs are the first in the US to combine spot crypto exposure with staking rewards, paying yields through the fund’s NAV or direct payouts.

    • These products face operational challenges, such as validator performance issues and liquidity lock-ups, as well as regulatory and centralization risks linked to institutional staking.

    Wall Street and the crypto world have long operated in separate spaces. While Wall Street was defined by traditional finance and clear regulatory norms, the crypto industry evolved around decentralized systems and shifting regulations. That divide is now narrowing, thanks to the launch of the first publicly traded investment vehicle dedicated to staking cryptocurrency.

    Launched by Grayscale Investments, one of the largest digital asset managers, this staking-enabled exchange-traded product (ETP) signals a new phase in crypto’s maturation and integration with traditional finance. It’s more than a fund; it’s a bridge providing traditional investors a regulated pathway to tap into the growth potential of crypto staking.

    This article discusses what crypto staking is, what has prevented greater institutional participation and how Grayscale has encouraged the institutionalization of crypto investment. It also highlights regulatory and market changes surrounding staking and explains how Grayscale’s spot crypto ETPs deliver staking yields to investors. Finally, it outlines the risks associated with staking funds and shows how Grayscale’s ETPs have shifted crypto from a price-tracking asset to an income-generating one.

    Crypto staking and institutional barriers

    Crypto staking involves committing digital assets like Ether (ETH) or Solana (SOL) to help secure and validate transactions on proof-of-stake (PoS) blockchains. In return, participants earn rewards — similar in concept to earning interest — for supporting network operations.

    Unlike Bitcoin’s proof-of-work (PoW) model, which relies on energy-intensive mining, PoS systems operate differently. They depend on staked capital and validator performance rather than computing power. This design makes them far more energy-efficient and accessible to a wider range of participants.

    In general, both retail and institutional investors continue to focus on buying and holding tokens for price gains rather than staking them. Operating validator nodes requires substantial capital, technical know-how and uninterrupted uptime. It also exposes participants to risks such as slashing penalties and custody challenges. Additionally, in many jurisdictions, the regulatory treatment of staking rewards remains unclear.

    Did you know? The first US Bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund (ETF), the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO), launched on Oct. 19, 2021, and traded more than $1 billion in volume on its first day.

    Grayscale’s role in crypto institutionalization

    Grayscale has played a central role in the institutionalization of crypto. Founded in 2013, it has grown into one of the world’s largest digital asset investment platforms, managing over $35 billion in assets. It has now launched staking-enabled products that bring blockchain yield mechanics into Wall Street’s traditional framework.

    By offering regulated and user-friendly investment products, Grayscale allows investors to gain exposure to cryptocurrencies without the challenges of managing wallets, operating nodes or dealing with validator risks. Through staking-enabled offerings like the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) and Grayscale Solana Trust (GSOL), Grayscale has integrated the yield-generating features of blockchain networks with the regulatory and custodial standards of traditional finance.

    By using trusted custodians, a diversified network of validator partners and transparent reporting, Grayscale has established a secure and compliant way for investors to participate in staking. It has turned staking from a complex, retail-oriented process into a professional investment opportunity.

    Did you know? After years of rejections, the US approved its first spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs in January 2024 — a major milestone in Wall Street’s acceptance of crypto.

    The turning point: Regulatory and market shifts

    Grayscale’s introduction of staking-enabled funds marks a key milestone shaped by evolving oversight and growing market competition. The US Securities and Exchange Commission issued guidance for crypto ETPs in May 2025, clarifying that certain custodial staking activities may operate within existing securities laws when managed through regulated custodians and transparent structures. This development has eased earlier barriers that prevented ETFs from earning onchain rewards.

    Meanwhile, competition has intensified as major players such as BlackRock and Fidelity have entered the crypto ETF arena, driving innovation. In response, Grayscale rolled out staking-enabled ETPs that blend yield generation with traditional fund frameworks. To enhance investor trust, it launched educational initiatives such as “Staking 101: Secure the Blockchain, Earn Rewards” to promote transparency and understanding.

    Did you know? In 2025, Ether ETFs began allowing onchain staking, letting investors earn yield without ever touching a crypto wallet.

    How Grayscale’s spot crypto ETPs are delivering staking yield to investors

    Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE) and Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust (ETH) are spot Ether ETPs that now support onchain staking. Grayscale Solana Trust (GSOL) has also enabled staking while trading over the counter. Together, these offerings are the first US-listed products to combine spot crypto exposure with staking rewards.

    Each fund features a unique reward structure. ETHE pays staking rewards directly to investors, while ETH and GSOL incorporate rewards into the fund’s net asset value (NAV), gradually impacting share price. After deductions for custodian and sponsor fees, investors receive a net yield from validator rewards.

    Operationally, Grayscale uses institutional custodians and a diversified network of validator providers for passive staking. This configuration helps manage risks like slashing or downtime while supporting liquidity. Clear disclosures, reporting and adherence to regulatory frameworks enhance investor confidence.

    Grayscale staked 32,000 ETH (about $150 million) a day after it enabled staking for its Ether ETPs, making it the first US crypto fund issuer to offer staking-based passive income via US-listed spot products.

    Risks and criticisms of Grayscale’s staking funds

    Regulatory uncertainty remains a key issue for staking-enabled products. Unlike fully registered ETFs under the Investment Company Act of 1940, Grayscale’s ETHE and ETH are structured as ETPs with different investor protections and disclosure requirements. GSOL, still traded over the counter, is awaiting regulatory approval for uplisting, creating uncertainty about its long-term status and oversight. Future policy changes or stricter SEC enforcement could further complicate the model or limit staking within regulated funds.

    Operationally, risks such as validator performance, slashing events and downtime persist. Balancing liquidity with staking lock-ups and ensuring fair, transparent distribution of rewards among shareholders adds further complexity to fund management.

    Market adoption poses another challenge. It needs to be seen how staking-enabled ETPs perform when competing with Ether ETFs.

    Decentralization concerns are also significant. Institutional staking may enhance validator control, granting large funds outsized influence over governance and network security of the underlying blockchains. This would be against the core principles of decentralization.

    How Grayscale’s ETPs transform crypto from price tracker to income asset

    Grayscale’s staking-enabled ETPs have had a significant impact on Wall Street and the broader crypto ecosystem. It connects blockchain-based yield with regulated financial products, turning crypto ETPs from simple price trackers into income-generating assets. The initiative marks a key advance in institutional adoption. Regulated staking on Ethereum and Solana could draw substantial new capital to these networks while acting as a model for products linked to other PoS blockchains or tokenized assets.

    At the network level, institutional staking could enhance security and protocol stability. However, it may spark concerns about centralization if large funds dominate validator roles. This could affect yields and governance balance. Grayscale’s staking-enabled ETPs will shape upcoming funds, influencing standards for transparency, risk disclosures, taxation and investor safeguards.

    This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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    Standard Chartered to custody crypto for OKX institutional clients in Europe

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    Standard Chartered, a major global banking group, is deepening ties with cryptocurrency exchange OKX, becoming its institutional custodian in the European Economic Area (EEA).

    Standard Chartered and OKX launched a collateral mirroring program in the EEA, allowing local institutional clients to keep their crypto directly in Standard Chartered’s custody, OKX announced on Wednesday.

    The launch marks an expansion of a pilot initially launched in Dubai in April, aiming to enable institutions to keep their assets with a globally systemically important bank (G-SIB) while mirroring the balances into OKX for trading.

    The program’s expansion in the EEA reinforces OKX’s commitment to Europe after the exchange secured a Maltese license under Europe’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework in early 2025.

    How does the program work?

    Before the deal with Standard Chartered, OKX’s institutional clients mostly kept their crypto on the exchange, with fiat transactions being handled through regular bank partners.

    While OKX’s default custody option was its in-house solution, the exchange also allowed institutions to use third-party custodians, including Copper or Komainu, if they preferred to hold assets off-exchange.

    Source: OKX Europe CEO Erald Ghoos

    With Standard Chartered’s integration, OKX’s institutional clients can keep their assets directly with a major regulated bank, while OKX can mirror those assets back into its trading system.

    Growing trust following October’s flash crash

    OKX’s collaboration with Standard Chartered is crucial for growing trust in the crypto ecosystem amid the market turmoil in October, with exchanges suffering $20 billion liquidations on Friday.

    Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, has faced a massive controversy since the crash, highlighting the vulnerabilities of its price oracles and blaming the platform for investor losses worth millions of dollars.

    Related: Centralized exchanges face claims of massive liquidation undercounts

    “Recent events have reignited the ‘Wild West’ narrative around crypto, but partnerships like ours with Standard Chartered show how far the industry has come,” OKX Europe CEO Erald Ghoos told Cointelegraph.

    “We’re proud to be working with the first and only G-SIB directly integrated with a crypto exchange, proving that regulated, secure and transparent models are the future of digital assets,” he said.